Vikiiqtibos uzwikiquote https://uz.wikiquote.org/wiki/Bosh_sahifa MediaWiki 1.47.0-wmf.4 first-letter Media Maxsus Munozara Foydalanuvchi Foydalanuvchi munozarasi Vikiiqtibos Vikiiqtibos munozarasi Fayl Fayl munozarasi MediaWiki MediaWiki munozarasi Andoza Andoza munozarasi Yordam Yordam munozarasi Turkum Turkum munozarasi TimedText TimedText talk Modul Modul munozarasi Event Event talk Munozara:Bosh sahifa 1 1785 30863 26693 2026-05-27T17:15:15Z MediaWiki message delivery 916 /* Vote now in the 2026 U4C election */ yangi mavzu 30863 wikitext text/x-wiki * '''uz:''' * '''en:''' This is the community discussion page. Requests for the [[m:bot|bot]] flag should also be made on this page. This wiki uses the [[m:bot policy|standard bot policy]], and allows [[m:bot policy#Global_bots|global bots]] and [[m:bot policy#Automatic_approval|automatic approval of certain types of bots]]. Other bots should apply below, and then [[m:Steward requests/Bot status|request access]] from a steward if there is no objection. ==?== Nima ish qilish kerak? man ochig'i hech nimani tushunmayapman :( --[[Foydalanuvchi:Tashfootball|Tashfootball]] 03:58, 20 may 2007 (UTC) Man Rus WikiQuote dizaynidan foydalanishni tavsiya qilaman --[[Foydalanuvchi:Tashfootball|Tashfootball]] 04:00, 20 may 2007 (UTC) :Dizaynni Turk WikiQuote'dan oldim. --[[Foydalanuvchi:Abdulla|Abdulla]] 06:31, 11 iyul 2007 (UTC) ==WikiQuote nomi== "WikiQuote" so'zini o'zbekchaga "VikiIqtibos", deb o'girdim (quote - rus. цитата - o'zb. iqtibos). Agarda norozi bo'lsangiz, marhamat, o'z variantingizni ko'rsating, muhokamaga qo'yamiz.--[[Foydalanuvchi:Abdulla|Abdulla]] 06:31, 11 iyul 2007 (UTC) ==Bot policy== Hello. To facilitate [[m:steward|steward]] granting of bot access, I suggest implementing the [[m:Bot policy|standard bot policy]] on this wiki. In particular, this policy allows stewards to automatically flag known interlanguage linking bots (if this page says that is acceptable), which form the vast majority of such requests. The policy also enables [[m:Bot policy#Global_bots|global bots]] on this wiki (if this page says that is acceptable), which are trusted bots that will be given bot access on every wiki that allows global bots. This policy makes bot access requesting much easier for local users, operators, and stewards. To implement it we only need to create a redirect to this page from [[Project:Bot policy]], and add a line at the top noting that it is used here. Please read the text at [[m:Bot policy]] before commenting. If you object, please say so; I hope to implement in two weeks if there is no objection, since it is particularly written to streamline bot requests on wikis with little or no community interested in bot access requests. [[Foydalanuvchi:Nemo bis|Nemo bis]] 23:53, 28 sentabr 2009 (UTC) : Implemented. —<small>[[m:User:Pathoschild|Pathoschild]] 19:52:22, 31 mart 2010 (UTC)</small> ==2010 Fundraising Is Almost Here== [[File:Wikimedia_Foundation_RGB_logo_with_text.svg|80px|left]] Hello Wikimedians, my name is Sam and I am working for the Wikimedia Foundation during the 2010 Fundraiser. My job is to be the liaison between the O'zbek community and the Foundation. This year's fundraiser is intended to be a collaborative and global effort; we recognize that banner messages which may perform well in the United States don't necessarily translate well, or appeal to international audiences. <Br> I am currently looking for translators who are willing to contribute to this project by helping translate and localize messages into O'zbek and suggesting messages that would appeal to O'zbek readers on the Fundraising Meta Page. We've started the setup on [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_2010 meta] for both [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_2010/Messages banner submission], [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_2010/Banner_testing statistical analysis], and [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_2010/Committee grouping volunteers together].<br>Use the talk pages on meta, talk to your local communities, talk to others, talk to us, and add your feedback to the proposed messages as well! I look forward to working with you during this year's fundraiser. If someone could translate this message I would really appreciate it so that everyone is able to understand our goals and contribute to this year's campaign.<br>[[m:User:Schapman|Sam Chapman]] 17:14, 21 oktabr 2010 (UTC) == [[User:EleferenBot|EleferenBot]] == Hello, I am operator of a bot [[User:EleferenBot|EleferenBot]], and would like to have the bot flag. * Operator: [[User:Eleferen]]. * Function summary: Using pywikipedia. * Function details: add\change interwiki ([http://toolserver.org/~luxo/contributions/contributions.php?user=EleferenBot&lang= global edits]. For example: [http://pl.wikiquote.org/wiki/Specjalna:Wkład/EleferenBot pl.wikiquote contributions]). * Programming language: python * Flag on: wikiquote: [http://toolserver.org/~quentinv57/tools/sulinfo.php?username=EleferenBot 45 wikiquotes] and 40 wikipedias. --[[Foydalanuvchi:Eleferen|Eleferen]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Eleferen|talk]]) 18:30, 13 aprel 2012 (UTC) == Global AbuseFilter == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Hello, [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Extension:AbuseFilter|AbuseFilter]] is a MediaWiki extension used to detect likely abusive behavior patterns, like pattern vandalism and spam. In 2013, [[m:Special:Mylanguage/Global AbuseFilter|Global AbuseFilters]] were enabled on a limited set of wikis including Meta-Wiki, MediaWiki.org, Wikispecies and (in early 2014) all the "[https://noc.wikimedia.org/conf/highlight.php?file=small.dblist small wikis]". Recently, global abuse filters were enabled on "[https://noc.wikimedia.org/conf/highlight.php?file=medium.dblist medium sized wikis]" as well. These filters are currently managed by stewards on Meta-Wiki and have shown to be very effective in preventing mass spam attacks across Wikimedia projects. However, there is currently no policy on how the global AbuseFilters will be managed although there are proposals. There is an ongoing [[m:Requests for comment/Global AbuseFilter|request for comment]] on policy governing the use of the global AbuseFilters. In the meantime, specific wikis can opt out of using the global AbuseFilter. These wikis can simply add a request to [[m:Global AbuseFilter/Opt-out wikis|this list]] on Meta-Wiki. More details can be found on [[m:Special:Mylanguage/Global AbuseFilter/2014 announcement|this page]] at Meta-Wiki. If you have any questions, feel free to ask on [[m:Talk:Global AbuseFilter|m:Talk:Global AbuseFilter]]. Thanks, [[m:User:PiRSquared17|PiRSquared17]], [[m:User:Glaisher|Glaisher]]</div> — 17:34, 14-Noyabr 2014 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Glaisher@metawiki using the list at http://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Global_AbuseFilter/2014_announcement_distribution_list&oldid=10495115 --> == Wikimania 2015 scholarships == Dear Wikimedians, Wikimedia Polska Association will fund up to two international scholarships to this year's Wikimania conference, to take place in Mexico City, on July 15-19, 2015, covering air fare, conference fee, accomodation and insurance. See [https://pl.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimania_2015/regulamin/en here] for information on how to apply for the scholarship, what the requirements are and how to contact us. Feel free to distribute this message to any relevant Wiki pages and mailing lists. On behalf of the WIkimedia Polska Scholarship Commitee, [[Foydalanuvchi:Wpedzich|Wpedzich]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Wpedzich|munozara]]) 20:44, 24-Fevral 2015 (UTC) == Wikimania 2015 additional scholarships == :Dear Wikimedians, Wikimedia Polska Association has made a decision to fund two more scholarships for this year’s Wikimania, to be hosted in Mexico City 15-19 July 2015, due to some candidates withdrawing from our programme. The procedure is identical to the one described [[:pl:chapter:Wikimania 2015/regulamin/en|here]], so if you have not applied, but meet the criteria and would like to attend Wikimedia’s biggest international event, please submit your application until April 23, midnight. Kind regards, [[Foydalanuvchi:Tufor|Tufor]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Tufor|munozara]]) 11:19, 19-Aprel 2015 (UTC) == Compact Links coming soon to this wiki == {{int:Please-translate}} <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> [[File:Compact-language-links-list.png|thumb|Screenshot of Compact Language Links interlanguage list]] Hello, I wanted to give a heads up about an upcoming feature for this wiki, which you may already seen in the latest issue of [[:m:Tech/News/2016/25|Tech News]]. [[:mw:Universal_Language_Selector/Compact_Language_Links|Compact Language Links]] has been available as a beta-feature on all Wikimedia wikis since 2014. With compact language links enabled, users are shown a much shorter list of languages on the interlanguage link section of an article (see image). This will be enabled as a feature in the coming week for all users, which can be turned on or off using a preference setting. We look forward to your feedback and please do let us know if you have any questions. Details about Compact Language Links can be read in the [[:mw:Universal_Language_Selector/Compact_Language_Links|project documentation]]. Due to the large scale enablement of this feature, we have had to use [[:m:Global_message_delivery|MassMessage]] for this announcement and as a result it is only written in English. We will really appreciate if this message can be translated for other users of this wiki. Thank you. On behalf of the Wikimedia Language team: [[:mw:User:Runab_WMF|Runa Bhattacharjee (WMF)]] ([[mw:User talk:Runab_WMF|talk]]) 14:01, 24-Iyun 2016 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Runab WMF@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Global_message_delivery/Targets/ULS_Compact_Links/28_June&oldid=15721303 --> == Compact Language Links enabled in this wiki today == {{int:Please-translate}} <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> [[File:Compact-language-links-list.png|thumb|Screenshot of Compact Language Links interlanguage list]] [[:mw:Universal_Language_Selector/Compact_Language_Links|Compact Language Links]] has been available as a beta-feature on all Wikimedia wikis since 2014. With compact language links enabled, users are shown a much shorter list of languages on the interlanguage link section of an article (see image). Based on several factors, this shorter list of languages is expected to be more relevant for them and valuable for finding similar content in a language known to them. More information about compact language links can be found in [[:mw:Universal_Language_Selector/Compact_Language_Links|the documentation]]. From today onwards, compact language links has been enabled as the default listing of interlanguage links on this wiki. However, using the button at the bottom, you will be able to see a longer list of all the languages the article has been written in. The setting for this compact list can be changed by using the checkbox under ''User Preferences -> Appearance -> Languages'' The compact language links feature has been tested extensively by the Wikimedia Language team, which developed it. However, in case there are any problems or other feedback please let us know on the [[:mw:Talk:Universal_Language_Selector/Compact_Language_Links|project talk page]]. It is to be noted that on some wikis the presence of an existing older gadget that was used for a similar purpose may cause an interference for compact language list. We would like to bring this to the attention of the admins of this wiki. Full details are on [[phab:T131455|this phabricator ticket]] (in English). Due to the large scale enablement of this feature, we have had to use [[:m:Global_message_delivery|MassMessage]] for this announcement and as a result it is only written in English. We will really appreciate if this message can be translated for other users of this wiki. Thank you. On behalf of the Wikimedia Language team: [[:mw:User:Runab_WMF|Runa Bhattacharjee (WMF)]] ([[mw:User talk:Runab_WMF|talk]])-04:21, 28-Iyun 2016 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Runab WMF@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Global_message_delivery/Targets/ULS_Compact_Links/28_June&oldid=15728024 --> == Columns for references == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr">''{{Int:Please-translate}}'' • ''[[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Editing/Columns for references|Read this in another language]]'' Hello, At the request of Wikipedia editors, a new feature has been added to MediaWiki. Long lists of references (also called citations or footnotes) will automatically be displayed in columns. This will make it easier for most people to read the references, especially on narrow screens. Short lists of references will not be affected. I plan to enable this new feature at this wiki on Monday, 24 July 2017. After that date, use the normal <code><nowiki><references /></nowiki></code> tag on any page with many references to see this feature. If you do not want columns used on that page, then use this wikitext code instead: <code><nowiki><references responsive="0" /></nowiki></code> If you believe that this new feature is not appropriate for this wiki, or if you need help adjusting templates, then please contact me at [[mw:Contributors/Projects/Columns for references]]. [[User:Whatamidoing (WMF)]] ([[User talk:Whatamidoing (WMF)|talk]])</div> 19:26, 17-Iyul 2017 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Whatamidoing_(WMF)/Sandbox&oldid=17006843 --> == Proposal to close this wiki == Sorry, I don't speak Uzbek, but there is a [[m:Proposals for closing projects/Closure of Uzbek Wikiquote|proposal to close this wiki]]. [[Foydalanuvchi:Agusbou2015|Agusbou2015]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Agusbou2015|munozara]]) 01:51, 28-Avgust 2018 (UTC) :Proposal withdrawn, and the project will remain open. [[Foydalanuvchi:StevenJ81|StevenJ81]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:StevenJ81|munozara]]) 14:59, 28-Avgust 2018 (UTC) == New tools and IP masking == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"><div class="plainlinks"> <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Hey everyone, The Wikimedia Foundation wants to work on two things that affect how we patrol changes and handle vandalism and harassment. We want to make the tools that are used to handle bad edits better. We also want to get better privacy for unregistered users so their IP addresses are no longer shown to everyone in the world. We would not hide IP addresses until we have better tools for patrolling. We have an idea of what tools ''could'' be working better and how a more limited access to IP addresses would change things, but we need to hear from more wikis. You can read more about the project [[m:IP Editing: Privacy Enhancement and Abuse Mitigation|on Meta]] and [[m:Talk:IP Editing: Privacy Enhancement and Abuse Mitigation|post comments and feedback]]. Now is when we need to hear from you to be able to give you better tools to handle vandalism, spam and harassment. You can post in your language if you can't write in English. [[User:Johan (WMF)|Johan (WMF)]]</div></div></div> 14:19, 21-Avgust 2019 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Johan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Johan_(WMF)/Tools_and_IP_message/Distribution&oldid=19315232 --> == The consultation on partial and temporary Foundation bans just started == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> <div class="plainlinks"> Hello, In a [[:en:Wikipedia:Community_response_to_the_Wikimedia_Foundation%27s_ban_of_Fram/Official_statements#Board_statement|recent statement]], the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees [[:en:Wikipedia:Community_response_to_the_Wikimedia_Foundation%27s_ban_of_Fram/Official_statements#Board_statement|requested that staff hold a consultation]] to "re-evaluat[e] or add community input to the two new office action policy tools (temporary and partial Foundation bans)". Accordingly, the Foundation's Trust & Safety team invites all Wikimedians [[:m:Office actions/Community consultation on partial and temporary office actions/09 2019|to join this consultation and give their feedback]] from 30 September to 30 October. How can you help? * Suggest how partial and temporary Foundation bans should be used, if they should (eg: On all projects, or only on a subset); * Give ideas about how partial and temporary Foundation bans should ideally implemented, if they should be; and/or * Propose changes to the existing Office Actions policy on partial and temporary bans. We offer our thanks in advance for your contributions, and we hope to get as much input as possible from community members during this consultation! </div> </div>-- [[user:Kbrown (WMF)|Kbrown (WMF)]] 17:14, 30-Sentabr 2019 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=19302497 --> == Feedback wanted on Desktop Improvements project == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{Int:Please-translate}} {{int:Hello}}. The Readers Web team at the WMF will work on some [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements|improvements to the desktop interface]] over the next couple of years. The goal is to increase usability without removing any functionality. We have been inspired by changes made by volunteers, but that currently only exist as local gadgets and user scripts, prototypes, and volunteer-led skins. We would like to begin the process of bringing some of these changes into the default experience on all Wikimedia projects. We are currently in the research stage of this project and are looking for [https://askzones.com/ ideas for improvements], as well as feedback on our current ideas and mockups. So far, we have performed interviews with community members at Wikimania. We have gathered lists of previous volunteer and WMF work in this area. We are examining possible technical approaches for such changes. We would like individual feedback on the following: * Identifying focus areas for the project we have not yet discovered * Expanding the list of existing gadgets and user scripts that are related to providing a better desktop experience. If you can think of some of these from your wiki, please let us know * Feedback on the ideas and mockups we have collected so far We would also like to gather a list of wikis that would be interested in being test wikis for this project - these wikis would be the first to receive the updates once we’re ready to start building. When giving feedback, please consider the following goals of the project: * Make it easier for readers to focus on the content * Provide easier access to everyday actions (e.g. search, language switching, editing) * Put things in logical and useful places * Increase consistency in the interface with other platforms - mobile web and the apps * Eliminate clutter * Plan for future growth As well as the following constraints: * Not touching the content - no work will be done in terms of styling templates or to the structure of page contents themselves * Not removing any functionality - things might move around, but all navigational items and other functionality currently available by default will remain * No drastic changes to the layout - we're taking an evolutionary approach to the changes and want the site to continue feeling familiar to readers and editors Please give all feedback (in any language) at [[mw:Talk:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements|mw:Talk:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements]] After this round of feedback, we plan on building a prototype of suggested changes based on the feedback we receive. You’ll hear from us again asking for feedback on this prototype. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} [[mw:User:Quiddity (WMF)|Quiddity (WMF)]] ([[mw:User talk:Quiddity (WMF)|talk]]) </div> 07:15, 16-Oktabr 2019 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Quiddity_(WMF)/Global_message_delivery_split_2&oldid=19462801 --> == Community Wishlist 2020 == [[File:Magic Wand Icon 229981 Color Flipped.svg|right|48px]] <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> The '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2020|2020 Community Wishlist Survey]]''' is now open! This survey is the process where communities decide what the [[m:Community Tech|Community Tech]] team should work on over the next year. We encourage everyone to submit proposals until the deadline on '''November 11, 2019''', or comment on other proposals to help make them better. '''This year, we’re exclusively focusing on smaller projects (i.e., Wikibooks, Wiktionary, Wikiquote, Wikisource, Wikiversity, Wikispecies, Wikivoyage, and Wikinews).''' We want to help these projects and provide meaningful improvements to diverse communities. If you’re a member of any of these projects, please participate in the survey! To submit proposals, see the guidelines on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2020#Guidelines|survey page]]. You can write proposals in any language, and we will translate them for you. Thank you, and we look forward to seeing your proposals! </div> [[:m:user:IFried (WMF)|IFried (WMF)]] 19:30, 4-Noyabr 2019 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Trizek_(WMF)/sandbox/temp_MassMessage_list&oldid=19523495 --> == Wiki Loves Folklore == [[File:WLL Subtitled Logo (transparent).svg|100px|right|frameless]] '''Hello Folks,''' Wiki Loves Love is back again in 2020 iteration as '''[[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore|Wiki Loves Folklore]]''' from 1 February, 2020 - 29 February, 2020. Join us to celebrate the local cultural heritage of your region with the theme of folklore in the international photography contest at [https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:UploadWizard&campaign=wllove Wikimedia Commons]. Images, videos and audios representing different forms of folk cultures and new forms of heritage that haven’t otherwise been documented so far are welcome submissions in Wiki Loves Folklore. Learn more about the contest at [[m:Wiki Loves Folklore|Meta-Wiki]] and [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore|Commons]]. '''Kind regards,'''<br/> [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore/International Team|'''Wiki Loves Folklore International Team''']]<br/> <small>&mdash;&nbsp;[[User:Tulsi Bhagat|<font color="black">'''Tulsi Bhagat'''</font>]] <small>([[Special:Contributions/Tulsi Bhagat|<font color="black">contribs</font>]] &#124; [[User talk:Tulsi Bhagat|<font color="black">talk</font>]])</small><br/> sent using [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 06:15, 18-Yanvar 2020 (UTC)</small> <!-- Message sent by User:Tulsi Bhagat@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Tiven2240/wll&oldid=19716850 --> == Movement Learning and Leadership Development Project == Hello The Wikimedia Foundation’s Community Development team is seeking to learn more about the way volunteers learn and develop into the many different roles that exist in the movement. Our goal is to build a movement informed framework that provides shared clarity and outlines accessible pathways on how to grow and develop skills within the movement. To this end, we are looking to speak with you, our community to learn about your journey as a Wikimedia volunteer. Whether you joined yesterday or have been here from the very start, we want to hear about the many ways volunteers join and contribute to our movement. To learn more about the project, [[:m:special:MyLanguage/Movement Learning and Leadership Development Project|please visit the Meta page]]. If you are interested in participating in the project, please complete [https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSegM07N1FK_s0VUECM61AlWOthwdn5zQOlVsa2vaKcx13BwZg/viewform?usp=sf_link this simple Google form]. Although we may not be able to speak to everyone who expresses interest, we encourage you to complete this short form if you are interested in participating! -- [[user:LMiranda (WMF)|LMiranda (WMF)]] ([[user talk:LMiranda (WMF)|talk]]) 19:01, 22-Yanvar 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Trizek_(WMF)/sandbox/temp_MassMessage_list&oldid=19738989 --> == Feedback on movement names == {{int:Hello}}. Apologies if you are not reading this message in your native language. {{int:please-translate}} if necessary. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} There are a lot of conversations happening about the future of our movement names. We hope that you are part of these discussions and that your community is represented. Since 16 June, the Foundation Brand Team has been running a [https://wikimedia.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_9G2dN7P0T7gPqpD survey] in 7 languages about [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Communications/Wikimedia brands/2030 movement brand project/Naming convention proposals|3 naming options]]. There are also community members sharing concerns about renaming in a [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community open letter on renaming|Community Open Letter]]. Our goal in this call for feedback is to hear from across the community, so we encourage you to participate in the survey, the open letter, or both. The survey will go through 7 July in all timezones. Input from the survey and discussions will be analyzed and published on Meta-Wiki. Thanks for thinking about the future of the movement, --[[:m:Talk:Communications/Wikimedia brands/2030 movement brand project|The Brand Project team]], 19:39, 2-Iyul 2020 (UTC) ''Note: The survey is conducted via a third-party service, which may subject it to additional terms. For more information on privacy and data-handling, see the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Naming Convention Proposals Movement Feedback Survey Privacy Statement|survey privacy statement]].'' <!-- Message sent by User:Elitre (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Elitre_(WMF)/All_wikis_June_2020&oldid=20238769 --> == Announcing a new wiki project! Welcome, Abstract Wikipedia == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> Hi all, It is my honor to introduce Abstract Wikipedia, a new project that has been unanimously approved by the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees. Abstract Wikipedia proposes a new way to generate baseline encyclopedic content in a multilingual fashion, allowing more contributors and more readers to share more knowledge in more languages. It is an approach that aims to make cross-lingual cooperation easier on our projects, increase the sustainability of our movement through expanding access to participation, improve the user experience for readers of all languages, and innovate in free knowledge by connecting some of the strengths of our movement to create something new. This is our first new project in over seven years. Abstract Wikipedia was submitted as a project proposal by Denny Vrandečić in May 2020 <ref>[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia|Abstract Wikipedia]]</ref> after years of preparation and research, leading to a detailed plan and lively discussions in the Wikimedia communities. We know that the energy and the creativity of the community often runs up against language barriers, and information that is available in one language may not make it to other language Wikipedias. Abstract Wikipedia intends to look and feel like a Wikipedia, but build on the powerful, language-independent conceptual models of Wikidata, with the goal of letting volunteers create and maintain Wikipedia articles across our polyglot Wikimedia world. The project will allow volunteers to assemble the fundamentals of an article using words and entities from Wikidata. Because Wikidata uses conceptual models that are meant to be universal across languages, it should be possible to use and extend these building blocks of knowledge to create models for articles that also have universal value. Using code, volunteers will be able to translate these abstract “articles” into their own languages. If successful, this could eventually allow everyone to read about any topic in Wikidata in their own language. As you can imagine, this work will require a lot of software development, and a lot of cooperation among Wikimedians. In order to make this effort possible, Denny will join the Foundation as a staff member in July and lead this initiative. You may know Denny as the creator of Wikidata, a long-time community member, a former staff member at Wikimedia Deutschland, and a former Trustee at the Wikimedia Foundation <ref>[[m:User:Denny|User:Denny]]</ref>. We are very excited that Denny will bring his skills and expertise to work on this project alongside the Foundation’s product, technology, and community liaison teams. It is important to acknowledge that this is an experimental project, and that every Wikipedia community has different needs. This project may offer some communities great advantages. Other communities may engage less. Every language Wikipedia community will be free to choose and moderate whether or how they would use content from this project. We are excited that this new wiki-project has the possibility to advance knowledge equity through increased access to knowledge. It also invites us to consider and engage with critical questions about how and by whom knowledge is constructed. We look forward to working in cooperation with the communities to think through these important questions. There is much to do as we begin designing a plan for Abstract Wikipedia in close collaboration with our communities. I encourage you to get involved by going to the project page and joining the new mailing list <ref>[[mail:abstract-wikipedia|Abstract Wikipedia mailing list]]</ref>. We recognize that Abstract Wikipedia is ambitious, but we also recognize its potential. We invite you all to join us on a new, unexplored path. Yours, Katherine Maher (Executive Director, Wikimedia Foundation) <references/> </div> <small>Sent by [[:m:User:Elitre (WMF)]] 20:10, 9-Iyul 2020 (UTC) - '''[[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/July 2020 announcement]]''' </small> <!-- Message sent by User:Elitre (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Elitre_(WMF)/All_wikis_June_2020&oldid=20265921 --> == Important: maintenance operation on September 1st == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"><div class="plainlinks"> [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch 2020|Read this message in another language]] • [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch 2020|{{int:please-translate}}]] The [[foundation:|Wikimedia Foundation]] will be testing its secondary data centre. This will make sure that Wikipedia and the other Wikimedia wikis can stay online even after a disaster. To make sure everything is working, the Wikimedia Technology department needs to do a planned test. This test will show if they can reliably switch from one data centre to the other. It requires many teams to prepare for the test and to be available to fix any unexpected problems. They will switch all traffic to the secondary data centre on '''Tuesday, September 1st 2020'''. Unfortunately, because of some limitations in [[mw:Manual:What is MediaWiki?|MediaWiki]], all editing must stop while the switch is made. We apologize for this disruption, and we are working to minimize it in the future. '''You will be able to read, but not edit, all wikis for a short period of time.''' *You will not be able to edit for up to an hour on Tuesday, September 1st. The test will start at [https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/fixedtime.html?iso=20200901T14 14:00 UTC] (15:00 BST, 16:00 CEST, 10:00 EDT, 19:30 IST, 07:00 PDT, 23:00 JST, and in New Zealand at 02:00 NZST on Wednesday September 2). *If you try to edit or save during these times, you will see an error message. We hope that no edits will be lost during these minutes, but we can't guarantee it. If you see the error message, then please wait until everything is back to normal. Then you should be able to save your edit. But, we recommend that you make a copy of your changes first, just in case. ''Other effects'': *Background jobs will be slower and some may be dropped. Red links might not be updated as quickly as normal. If you create an article that is already linked somewhere else, the link will stay red longer than usual. Some long-running scripts will have to be stopped. *There will be code freezes for the week of September 1st, 2020. Non-essential code deployments will not happen. This project may be postponed if necessary. You can [[wikitech:Switch Datacenter#Schedule for 2018 switch|read the schedule at wikitech.wikimedia.org]]. Any changes will be announced in the schedule. There will be more notifications about this. '''Please share this information with your community.''' </div></div> <span dir=ltr>[[m:User:Trizek (WMF)|Trizek (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Trizek (WMF)|talk]])</span> 13:49, 26-Avgust 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=20384955 --> == Invitation to participate in the conversation == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> ''{{int:Hello}}. Apologies for cross-posting, and that you may not be reading this message in your native language: translations of the following announcement may be available on '''[[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Draft review/Invitation (long version)|Meta]]'''. {{int:please-translate}}. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}}'' We are excited to share '''[[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Draft review|a draft of the Universal Code of Conduct]]''', which the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees called for earlier this year, for your review and feedback. The discussion will be open until October 6, 2020. The UCoC Drafting Committee wants to learn which parts of the draft would present challenges for you or your work. What is missing from this draft? What do you like, and what could be improved? Please join the conversation and share this invitation with others who may be interested to join, too. To reduce language barriers during the process, you are welcomed to translate this message and the [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Draft review|Universal Code of Conduct/Draft review]]. You and your community may choose to provide your opinions/feedback using your local languages. To learn more about the UCoC project, see the [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] page, and the [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/FAQ|FAQ]], on Meta. Thanks in advance for your attention and contributions, [[:m:Talk:Trust_and_Safety|The Trust and Safety team at Wikimedia Foundation]], 17:55, 10-Sentabr 2020 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Elitre (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Draft_review/Invitation_(long_version)/List&oldid=20440292 --> == Wiki of functions naming contest == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{int:Please-translate}}. {{int:Hello}}. Please help pick a name for the new Wikimedia wiki project. This project will be a wiki where the community can work together on a library of [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract_Wikipedia/Wiki_of_functions_naming_contest#function|functions]]. The community can create new functions, read about them, discuss them, and share them. Some of these functions will be used to help create language-independent Wikipedia articles that can be displayed in any language, as part of the Abstract Wikipedia project. But functions will also be usable in many other situations. There will be two rounds of voting, each followed by legal review of candidates, with voting beginning on 29 September and 27 October. Our goal is to have a final project name selected on 8 December. If you would like to participate, then '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/Wiki of functions naming contest|please learn more and vote now]]''' at meta-wiki. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} --[[m:User:Quiddity (WMF)|Quiddity (WMF)]]</div> 21:13, 29-Sentabr 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Quiddity_(WMF)/Global_message_delivery_split_2&oldid=20492307 --> == Call for feedback about Wikimedia Foundation Bylaws changes and Board candidate rubric == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> {{int:Hello}}. Apologies if you are not reading this message in your native language. {{Int:Please-translate}}. Today the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees starts two calls for feedback. One is about changes to the Bylaws mainly to increase the Board size from 10 to 16 members. The other one is about a trustee candidate rubric to introduce new, more effective ways to evaluate new Board candidates. The Board welcomes your comments through 26 October. For more details, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board noticeboard/October 2020 - Call for feedback about Bylaws changes and Board candidate rubric|check the full announcement]]. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} [[m:User:Qgil-WMF|Qgil-WMF]] ([[m:User talk:Qgil-WMF|talk]]) 17:10, 7-Oktabr 2020 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Elitre (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Elitre_(WMF)/Board3&oldid=20519858 --> == Important: maintenance operation on October 27 == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="uz" dir="ltr"><div class="plainlinks"> [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch 2020|Ushbu xabarni boshqa tilda oʻqing]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Tech%2FServer+switch+2020&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] [[foundation:|Vikimedia Jamgʻarmasi]] birinchi va ikkinchi maʻlumot markazini sinovdan oʻtkazadi. Bu Vikipediya va boshqa Vikimedia vikilarining falokatdan keyin ham internetda qolishiga ishonch hosil qiladi. Har bir narsa ishlayotganiga ishonch hosil qilish uchun, Wikimedia Technology departamenti rejalashtirilgan sinovni amalga oshirishi kerak. Ushbu test ishonchli tarzda bir maʻlumot markazidan ikkinchisiga oʻtishga imkon beradimi? Koʻplab jamoalar sinovga tayyorgarlik koʻrishlari va kutilmagan muammolarni bartaraf etish uchun foydalanishlari kerak. Ular barcha trafiklarni birlamchi maʻlumot markaziga '''27-oktabr 2020-yil, seshanba''' kuni oʻzgartiradilar. Afsuski, [[mw:Manual:What is MediaWiki?|MediaWiki]] saytidagi baʻzi cheklovlar tufayli, biz barcha tahrirlashlarni toʻxtatishimiz kerak. Ushbu buzilish uchun uzr soʻraymiz va kelajakda uni minimallashtirishga harakat qilamiz. '''Siz ushbu qisqa vaqt ichida barcha vikilarni oʻqishingiz mumkin, lekin tahrirlay olmaysiz.''' *Siz 27-oktabr seshanba kunida bir soat tahrirlay olmaysiz. Test [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1603807200 14:00 UTC] (14:00 WET, 15:00 CET, 10:00 EDT, 19:30 IST, 07:00 PDT, 23:00 JST va Yangi Zelandiyada 03:00 NZST 28-oktabr chorshanbagacha) boshlanadi. *Bu vaqt davomida tahrir qilish yoki saqlashga harakat qilsangiz xato xabari paydo boʻladi. Umid qilamizki, bu daqiqalar davomida hech qanday tahrir yoʻqolib qolmaydi, ammo biz uni kafolatlay olmaymiz. Xato xabarini koʻrsangiz, iltimos, hamma narsa normal holatga kelguncha kuting. Keyin qilgan tahriringizni saqlashingiz mumkin. Lekin, biz avval siz kiritgan oʻzgarishlarning bir nusxasini yaratishni maslahat beramiz. ''Boshqa taʼsirlar'': *Orqa fon vazifalari sekinlashadi va baʻzilari qoldirilishi mumkin. Qizil linklar normal ravishda yangilanib turilmasligi mumkin. Agar siz allaqachon boshqa joyda bogʻlangan maqolani yaratgan boʻlsangiz, havola odatdagidan koʻra koʻproq qizilroq boʻladi. Uzoq vaqt davomida ishlaydigan baʻzi skriptlarni toʻxtatish kerak. *2020-yil 26-oktabr haftasigacha kod buziladi. Standart boʻlmagan kodlarni joylashtirishlar amalga oshirilmaydi. Ushbu loyiha kerak boʻlganda qoldirilishi mumkin. Jadvalni [[wikitech:Switch_Datacenter#Schedule_for_2020_switch|wikitech.wikimedia.org orqali oʻqib chiqishingiz mumkin]]. Har qanday oʻzgarishlar jadvalda eʻlon qilinadi. Bu haqda koʻproq bildirishnoma boʻladi. Ushbu operatsiyadan 30 daqiqa avval barcha vikilarda banner paydo boʻladi. '''Iltimos, ushbu maʻlumotni jamoangiz bilan baham koʻring.'''</div></div> -- <span dir=ltr>[[m:User:Trizek (WMF)|Trizek (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Trizek (WMF)|talk]])</span> 17:11, 21-Oktabr 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=20519839 --> == Wiki of functions naming contest - Round 2 == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{int:Hello}}. Reminder: Please help to choose the name for the new Wikimedia wiki project - the library of functions. The finalist vote starts today. The finalists for the name are: <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Wikicode, Wikicodex, Wikifunctions, Wikifusion, Wikilambda, Wikimedia Functions</span>. If you would like to participate, then '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/Wiki of functions naming contest/Names|please learn more and vote now]]''' at Meta-wiki. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} --[[m:User:Quiddity (WMF)|Quiddity (WMF)]] </div> 22:11, 5-Noyabr 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=20564572 --> == [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021/Invitation|Community Wishlist Survey 2021]] == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> [[File:Magic Wand Icon 229981 Color Flipped.svg|thumb|48px]] The '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021|2021 Community Wishlist Survey]]''' is now open! This survey is the process where communities decide what the [[m:Community Tech|Community Tech]] team should work on over the next year. We encourage everyone to submit proposals until the deadline on '''{{#time:j xg|2020-11-30|{{PAGELANGUAGE}}}}''', or comment on other proposals to help make them better. The communities will vote on the proposals between {{#time:j xg|2020-12-08|{{PAGELANGUAGE}}}} and {{#time:j xg|2020-12-21|{{PAGELANGUAGE}}}}. The Community Tech team is focused on tools for experienced Wikimedia editors. You can write proposals in any language, and we will translate them for you. Thank you, and we look forward to seeing your proposals! </div> <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">[[m:user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]]</span> 18:09, 20-Noyabr 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:SGrabarczuk_(WMF)/sandbox/1&oldid=20689939 --> == Global bot policy proposal: invitation to a Meta discussion == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{int:hello}}! I apologize for sending a message in English. {{int:please-translate}}. According to [[:m:Bot_policy/Implementation#Where_it_is_policy|the list]], your wiki project currently is opted in to the [[:m:Bot_policy#Global_bots|global bot policy]]. Under this policy, bots that fix double redirects or maintain interwiki links are allowed to operate under a global bot flag that is assigned directly by the stewards. As the Wikimedia projects developed, the need for the current global bot policy decreased, and in the past years, no bots were appointed via that policy. That is mainly given Wikidata were estabilished in 2013, and it is no longer necessary to have dozens of bots that maintain interwiki links. A [[:m:Requests for comment/Refine global bot policy|proposal]] was made at Meta-Wiki, which proposes that the stewards will be authorized to determine whether an uncontroversial task may be assigned a global bot flag. The stewards already assign permissions that are more impactful on many wikis, namely, [[:m:GS|global sysops]] and [[:m:GR|global renamers]], and I do not think that trust should be an issue. The stewards will assign the permission only to time-proven bots that are already approved at a number of projects, like [[:m:User:ListeriaBot|ListeriaBot]]. By this message, I would like to invite you to comment [[:m:Requests for comment/Refine global bot policy|in the global RFC]], to voice your opinion about this matter. Thank you for your time. Best regards,<br /> [[User:Martin Urbanec|Martin Urbanec]] ([[:m:User talk:Martin Urbanec|{{int:Talkpagelinktext}}]]) 11:49, 24-Noyabr 2020 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Martin Urbanec@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Martin_Urbanec/sand&oldid=20709229 --> == Wikidata descriptions changes to be included more often in Recent Changes and Watchlist == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> ''Sorry for sending this message in English. Translations are available on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Announcements/Announcement Wikidata descriptions in watchlist|this page]]. Feel free to translate it in more languages!'' As you may know, you can include changes coming from Wikidata in your Watchlist and Recent Changes ([[Special:Preferences#mw-prefsection-watchlist|in your preferences]]). Until now, this feature didn’t always include changes made on Wikidata descriptions due to the way Wikidata tracks the data used in a given article. Starting on December 3rd, the Watchlist and Recent Changes will include changes on the descriptions of Wikidata Items that are used in the pages that you watch. This will only include descriptions in the language of your wiki to make sure that you’re only seeing changes that are relevant to your wiki. This improvement was requested by many users from different projects. We hope that it can help you monitor the changes on Wikidata descriptions that affect your wiki and participate in the effort of improving the data quality on Wikidata for all Wikimedia wikis and beyond. Note: if you didn’t use the Wikidata watchlist integration feature for a long time, feel free to give it another chance! The feature has been improved since the beginning and the content it displays is more precise and useful than at the beginning of the feature in 2015. If you encounter any issue or want to provide feedback, feel free to use [[Phab:T191831|this Phabricator ticket]]. Thanks! [[:d:User:Lea Lacroix (WMDE)|Lea Lacroix (WMDE)]] 14:39, 30-Noyabr 2020 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Lea Lacroix (WMDE)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Lea_Lacroix_(WMDE)/wikis&oldid=20728482 --> == 2020 Coolest Tool Award Ceremony on December 11th == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> Hello all, The ceremony of the 2020 [[m:Coolest_Tool_Award|Wikimedia Coolest Tool Award]] will take place virtually on Friday, December 11th, at 17:00 GMT. This award is highlighting tools that have been nominated by contributors to the Wikimedia projects, and the ceremony will be a nice moment to show appreciation to the tools developers and maybe discover new tools! You will find more information [[m:Coolest_Tool_Award|here]] about the livestream and the discussions channels. Thanks for your attention, [[:d:User:Lea Lacroix (WMDE)|Lea Lacroix (WMDE)]] 10:55, 7-Dekabr 2020 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Lea Lacroix (WMDE)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=20734978 --> == Community Wishlist Survey 2021 == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> [[File:Magic Wand Icon 229981 Color Flipped.svg|thumb|48px]] '''We invite all registered users to vote on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021|2021 Community Wishlist Survey]]. You can vote from now until {{#time:j xg|2020-12-21|en}} for as many different wishes as you want.''' In the Survey, wishes for new and improved tools for experienced editors are collected. After the voting, we will do our best to grant your wishes. We will start with the most popular ones. We, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Tech|Community Tech]], are one of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation|Wikimedia Foundation]] teams. We create and improve editing and wiki moderation tools. What we work on is decided based on results of the Community Wishlist Survey. Once a year, you can submit wishes. After two weeks, you can vote on the ones that you're most interested in. Next, we choose wishes from the survey to work on. Some of the wishes may be granted by volunteer developers or other teams. '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021/Tracking|You can view and vote all proposals here.]]''' We are waiting for your votes. Thank you! </div> [[user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] 00:52, 15-Dekabr 2020 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:SGrabarczuk_(WMF)/sandbox/1&oldid=20689939 --> == Moving Wikimania 2021 to a Virtual Event == <div class="mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> [[File:Wikimania_logo_with_text_2.svg|right|alt=Wikimania's logo.|75px]] ''{{int:Hello}}. Apologies if you are not reading this message in your native language. {{Int:Please-translate}}. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}}'' [[:m:Wikimania 2021|Wikimania will be a virtual event this year]], and hosted by a wide group of community members. Whenever the next in-person large gathering is possible again, [[:m:ESEAP Hub|the ESEAP Core Organizing Team]] will be in charge of it. Stay tuned for more information about how ''you'' can get involved in the planning process and other aspects of the event. [https://lists.wikimedia.org/pipermail/wikimedia-l/2021-January/096141.html Please read the longer version of this announcement on wikimedia-l]. ''ESEAP Core Organizing Team, Wikimania Steering Committee, Wikimedia Foundation Events Team'', 15:16, 27-Yanvar 2021 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Elitre (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Elitre_(WMF)/Wikimania21&oldid=21014617 --> == Project Grant Open Call == This is the announcement for the [[m:Grants:Project|Project Grants program]] open call that started on January 11, with the submission deadline of February 10, 2021.<br> This first open call will be focussed on Community Organizing proposals. A second open call focused on research and software proposals is scheduled from February 15 with a submission deadline of March 16, 2021.<br> For the Round 1 open call, we invite you to propose grant applications that fall under community development and organizing (offline and online) categories. Project Grant funds are available to support individuals, groups, and organizations to implement new experiments and proven ideas, from organizing a better process on your wiki, coordinating a campaign or editathon series to providing other support for community building. We offer the following resources to help you plan your project and complete a grant proposal:<br> * Weekly proposals clinics via Zoom during the Open Call. Join us for [[m:Grants:Project|#Upcoming_Proposal_Clinics|real-time discussions]] with Program Officers and select thematic experts and get live feedback about your Project Grants proposal. We’ll answer questions and help you make your proposal better. We also offer these support pages to help you build your proposal: * [[m:Grants:Project/Tutorial|Video tutorials]] for writing a strong application<br> * General [[m:Grants:Project/Plan|planning page]] for Project Grants <br> * [[m:Grants:Project/Learn|Program guidelines and criteria]]<br> Program officers are also available to offer individualized proposal support upon request. Contact us if you would like feedback or more information.<br> We are excited to see your grant ideas that will support our community and make an impact on the future of Wikimedia projects. Put your idea into motion, and [[m:Grants:Project/Apply|submit your proposal]] by February 10, 2021!<br> Please feel free to get in touch with questions about getting started with your grant application, or about serving on the Project Grants Committee. Contact us at projectgrants{{at}}wikimedia.org. Please help us translate this message to your local language. [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 08:01, 28-Yanvar 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RSharma (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=20808431 --> == Wiki Loves Folklore 2021 is back! == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> {{int:please-translate}} [[File:Wiki Loves Folklore Logo.svg|right|150px|frameless]] You are humbly invited to participate in the '''[[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2021|Wiki Loves Folklore 2021]]''' an international photography contest organized on Wikimedia Commons to document folklore and intangible cultural heritage from different regions, including, folk creative activities and many more. It is held every year from the 1st till the 28th of February. You can help in enriching the folklore documentation on Commons from your region by taking photos, audios, videos, and [https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:UploadWizard&campaign=wlf_2021 submitting] them in this commons contest. Please support us in translating the [[:c:Commons: Wiki Loves Folklore 2021|project page]] and a [https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:Translate?group=Centralnotice-tgroup-wikiloveslove2020&language=en&filter=%21translated&action=translate|one-line banner message] to help us spread the word in your native language. '''Kind regards,''' '''Wiki loves Folklore International Team''' [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 13:25, 6-Fevral 2021 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Tiven2240@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Tiven2240/wll&oldid=21073884 --> == Proposal: Set two-letter project shortcuts as alias to project namespace globally == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{int:please-translate}} Hello everyone, I apologize for posting in English. I would like to inform everyone that I created a new global request for comment (GRFC) at Meta Wiki, which may affect your project: [[:m:Requests for comment/Set short project namespace aliases by default globally]]. In this GRFC, I propose that two-project shortcuts for project names will become a default alias for the project namespace. For instance, on all Wikipedias, WP will be an alias to the Wikipedia: namespace (and similar for other projects). Full list is available in the GRFC. This is already the case for Wikivoyages, and many individual projects asked for this alias to be implemented. I believe this makes it easier to access the materials in the project namespace, as well as creating shortcuts like <tt>WP:NPOV</tt>, as well as helps new projects to use this feature, without having to figure out how to request site configuration changes first. As far as I can see, {{SITENAME}} currently does not have such an alias set. This means that such an alias will be set for you, if the GRFC is accepted by the global community. I would like to ask all community members to participate in the request for comment at Meta-Wiki, see [[:m:Requests for comment/Set short project namespace aliases by default globally]]. Please feel free to [[:m:User talk:Martin Urbanec|ask me]] if you have any questions about this proposal. Best regards,<br /> --[[:m:User:Martin Urbanec|Martin Urbanec]] ([[:m:User talk:Martin Urbanec|talk]]) 14:13, 18-Fevral 2021 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Martin Urbanec@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Martin_Urbanec/MassMessage&oldid=21125035 --> == Wikifunctions logo contest == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{Int:Hello}}. Please help to choose a design concept for the logo of the new Wikifunctions wiki. Voting starts today and will be open for 2 weeks. If you would like to participate, then '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/Wikifunctions logo concept/Vote|please learn more and vote now]]''' at Meta-Wiki. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} --[[m:User:Quiddity (WMF)|Quiddity (WMF)]]</div> 01:49, 2-Mart 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=21087740 --> == Universal Code of Conduct – 2021 consultations == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> === Universal Code of Conduct Phase 2 === {{int:please-translate}} The [[:wmf:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|'''Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC)''']] provides a universal baseline of acceptable behavior for the entire Wikimedia movement and all its projects. The project is currently in Phase 2, outlining clear enforcement pathways. You can read more about the whole project on its [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|'''project page''']]. ==== Drafting Committee: Call for applications ==== The Wikimedia Foundation is recruiting volunteers to join a committee to draft how to make the code enforceable. Volunteers on the committee will commit between 2 and 6 hours per week from late April through July and again in October and November. It is important that the committee be diverse and inclusive, and have a range of experiences, including both experienced users and newcomers, and those who have received or responded to, as well as those who have been falsely accused of harassment. To apply and learn more about the process, see [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Drafting committee|Universal Code of Conduct/Drafting committee]]. ==== 2021 community consultations: Notice and call for volunteers / translators ==== From 5 April – 5 May 2021 there will be conversations on many Wikimedia projects about how to enforce the UCoC. We are looking for volunteers to translate key material, as well as to help host consultations on their own languages or projects using suggested [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/2021 consultations/Discussion|key questions]]. If you are interested in volunteering for either of these roles, please [[:m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/2021 consultations|contact us]] in whatever language you are most comfortable. To learn more about this work and other conversations taking place, see [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/2021 consultations|Universal Code of Conduct/2021 consultations]]. -- [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] ([[User talk:Xeno (WMF)|talk]]) 22:15, 5-Aprel 2021 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:MNadzikiewicz_(WMF)/Without_Russian,_Polish_and_translated/7&oldid=21302340 --> == Global bot policy changes == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> {{int:hello}}! I apologize for sending a message in English. {{int:please-translate}}. According to [[:m:Bot_policy/Implementation#Where_it_is_policy|the list]], your wiki project is currently opted in to the [[:m:Bot_policy#Global_bots|global bot policy]]. As such, I want to let you know about some changes that were made after the [[:m:Requests for comment/Refine global bot policy|global RfC]] was closed. *Global bots are now subject to a 2 week discussion, and it'll be publicized via a MassMessage list, available at [[:m:Bot policy/New global bot discussion|Bot policy/New global bot discussion]] on Meta. Please subscribe yourself or your wiki if you are interested in new global bots proposals. *For a bot to be considered for approval, it must demonstrate it is welcomed in multiple projects, and a good way to do that is to have the bot flag on at least 5 wikis for a single task. *The bot operator should make sure to adhere to the wiki's preference as related to the use of the bot flag (i.e., if a wiki doesn't want a bot to use the flag as it edits, that should be followed). Thank you for your time. Best regards,<br /> —'''''<span style="font-family:Candara">[[User:Tks4Fish|<span style="color:black">Thanks for the fish!</span>]] <sup>[[User Talk:Tks4Fish|<span style="color:blue">talk</span>]]•[[Special:Contribs/Tks4Fish|contribs]]</sup></span>''''' 18:48, 6-Aprel 2021 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Tks4Fish@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Tks4Fish/temp&oldid=21306363 --> == Universal Code of Conduct News – Issue 1 == <div style = "line-height: 1.2"> <span style="font-size:200%;">'''Universal Code of Conduct News'''</span><br> <span style="font-size:120%; color:#404040;">'''Issue 1, June 2021'''</span><span style="font-size:120%; float:right;">[[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1|Read the full newsletter]]</span> ---- Welcome to the first issue of [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct News]]! This newsletter will help Wikimedians stay involved with the development of the new code, and will distribute relevant news, research, and upcoming events related to the UCoC. Please note, this is the first issue of UCoC Newsletter which is delivered to all subscribers and projects as an announcement of the initiative. If you want the future issues delivered to your talk page, village pumps, or any specific pages you find appropriate, you need to [[m:Global message delivery/Targets/UCoC Newsletter Subscription|subscribe here]]. You can help us by translating the newsletter issues in your languages to spread the news and create awareness of the new conduct to keep our beloved community safe for all of us. Please [[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/Participate|add your name here]] if you want to be informed of the draft issue to translate beforehand. Your participation is valued and appreciated. </div><div style="margin-top:3px; padding:10px 10px 10px 20px; background:#fffff; border:2px solid #808080; border-radius:4px; font-size:100%;"> * '''Affiliate consultations''' – Wikimedia affiliates of all sizes and types were invited to participate in the UCoC affiliate consultation throughout March and April 2021. ([[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1#sec1|continue reading]]) * '''2021 key consultations''' – The Wikimedia Foundation held enforcement key questions consultations in April and May 2021 to request input about UCoC enforcement from the broader Wikimedia community. ([[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1#sec2|continue reading]]) * '''Roundtable discussions''' – The UCoC facilitation team hosted two 90-minute-long public roundtable discussions in May 2021 to discuss UCoC key enforcement questions. More conversations are scheduled. ([[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1#sec3|continue reading]]) * '''Phase 2 drafting committee''' – The drafting committee for the phase 2 of the UCoC started their work on 12 May 2021. Read more about their work. ([[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1#sec4|continue reading]]) * '''Diff blogs''' – The UCoC facilitators wrote several blog posts based on interesting findings and insights from each community during local project consultation that took place in the 1st quarter of 2021. ([[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Newsletter/1#sec5|continue reading]])</div> --[[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 23:06, 11-Iyun 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SOyeyele (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:SOyeyele_(WMF)/Announcements/Other_languages&oldid=21578291 --> == Server switch == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"><div class="plainlinks"> [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch 2020|Read this message in another language]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Tech%2FServer+switch+2020&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] The [[foundation:|Wikimedia Foundation]] tests the switch between its first and secondary data centers. This will make sure that Wikipedia and the other Wikimedia wikis can stay online even after a disaster. To make sure everything is working, the Wikimedia Technology department needs to do a planned test. This test will show if they can reliably switch from one data centre to the other. It requires many teams to prepare for the test and to be available to fix any unexpected problems. <!-- They will switch all traffic back to the primary data center on '''Tuesday, October 27 2020'''. --> Unfortunately, because of some limitations in [[mw:Manual:What is MediaWiki?|MediaWiki]], all editing must stop while the switch is made. We apologize for this disruption, and we are working to minimize it in the future. '''You will be able to read, but not edit, all wikis for a short period of time.''' *You will not be able to edit for up to an hour on Tuesday, 29 June 2021. The test will start at [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1624975200 14:00 UTC] (07:00 PDT, 10:00 EDT, 15:00 WEST/BST, 16:00 CEST, 19:30 IST, 23:00 JST, and in New Zealand at 02:00 NZST on Wednesday 30 June). *If you try to edit or save during these times, you will see an error message. We hope that no edits will be lost during these minutes, but we can't guarantee it. If you see the error message, then please wait until everything is back to normal. Then you should be able to save your edit. But, we recommend that you make a copy of your changes first, just in case. ''Other effects'': *Background jobs will be slower and some may be dropped. Red links might not be updated as quickly as normal. If you create an article that is already linked somewhere else, the link will stay red longer than usual. Some long-running scripts will have to be stopped. *There will be code freezes for the week of June 28. Non-essential code deployments will not happen. This project may be postponed if necessary. You can [[wikitech:Switch_Datacenter#Schedule_for_2021_switch|read the schedule at wikitech.wikimedia.org]]. Any changes will be announced in the schedule. There will be more notifications about this. A banner will be displayed on all wikis 30 minutes before this operation happens. '''Please share this information with your community.'''</div></div> [[user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] 01:19, 27-Iyun 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=21463754 --> == Universal Code of Conduct - Enforcement draft guidelines review == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="content"/>The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Drafting_committee#Phase_2|Universal Code of Conduct Phase 2 drafting committee]] would like comments about the '''[[:m:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement draft guidelines review|enforcement draft guidelines]]''' for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] (UCoC). This review period is planned for 17 August 2021 through 17 October 2021. These guidelines are not final but you can help move the progress forward. The committee will revise the guidelines based upon community input. Comments can be shared in any language on the [[m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement draft guidelines review|draft review talk page]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Discussions|multiple other venues]]. Community members are encouraged to organize conversations in their communities. There are planned live discussions about the UCoC enforcement draft guidelines: :[[wmania:2021:Submissions/Universal_Code_of_Conduct_Roundtable|Wikimania 2021 session]] (recorded 16 August) :[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/2021_consultations/Roundtable_discussions#Conversation hours|Conversation hours]] - 24 August, 31 August, 7 September @ 03:00 UTC & 14:00 UTC :[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/2021_consultations/Roundtable_discussions|Roundtable calls]] - 18 September @ 03:00 UTC & 15:00 UTC Summaries of discussions will be posted every two weeks [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Drafting committee/Digests|here]]. Please let me know if you have any questions.<section end="content"/> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 22:36, 17-Avgust 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Xeno_(WMF)/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=21895553 --> == Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees election has come to an end == Thank you for participating in the [[:meta:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2021|2021 Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees election]]! Voting closed August 31 at 23:59. The official data, including the four most voted candidates, will be announced as soon as the [[:meta:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections_committee|Elections Committee]] completes their review of the ballots. The official announcement of the new trustees appointed will happen later, once the selected candidates have been confirmed by the Board. 6,946 community members from 216 wiki projects have voted. This makes 10.2% global participation, 1.1% higher than in the last Board elections. In 2017, 5167 people from 202 wiki projects cast their vote. A full analysis is planned to be published in a few days when the confirmed results are announced. In the meantime, you can check the [[:meta:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2021/Stats|data produced during the election]]. Diversity was an important goal with these elections. Messages about the Board election were translated into 61 languages. This outreach worked well. There were 70 communities with eligible voters voting in this election for the first time. With your help, next year’s Board of Trustees election will be even better. 20:55, 1-Sentabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Xeno_(WMF)/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=21895553 --> == The 2022 Community Wishlist Survey will happen in January == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"> Hello everyone, We hope all of you are as well and safe as possible during these trying times! We wanted to share some news about a change to the Community Wishlist Survey 2022. We would like to hear your opinions as well. Summary: <div style="font-style:italic;"> We will be running the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey|Community Wishlist Survey]] 2022 in January 2022. We need more time to work on the 2021 wishes. We also need time to prepare some changes to the Wishlist 2022. In the meantime, you can use a [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Sandbox|dedicated sandbox to leave early ideas for the 2022 wishes]]. </div> === Proposing and wish-fulfillment will happen during the same year === In the past, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Tech|Community Tech]] team has run the Community Wishlist Survey for the following year in November of the prior year. For example, we ran the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021|Wishlist for 2021]] in November 2020. That worked well a few years ago. At that time, we used to start working on the Wishlist soon after the results of the voting were published. However, in 2021, there was a delay between the voting and the time when we could start working on the new wishes. Until July 2021, we were working on wishes from the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2020|Wishlist for 2020]]. We hope having the Wishlist 2022 in January 2022 will be more intuitive. This will also give us time to fulfill more wishes from the 2021 Wishlist. === Encouraging wider participation from historically excluded communities === We are thinking how to make the Wishlist easier to participate in. We want to support more translations, and encourage under-resourced communities to be more active. We would like to have some time to make these changes. === A new space to talk to us about priorities and wishes not granted yet === We will have gone 365 days without a Wishlist. We encourage you to approach us. We hope to hear from you in the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Talk:Community Wishlist Survey|talk page]], but we also hope to see you at our bi-monthly Talk to Us meetings! These will be hosted at two different times friendly to time zones around the globe. We will begin our first meeting '''September 15th at 23:00 UTC'''. More details about the agenda and format coming soon! === Brainstorm and draft proposals before the proposal phase === If you have early ideas for wishes, you can use the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Sandbox|new Community Wishlist Survey sandbox]]. This way, you will not forget about these before January 2022. You will be able to come back and refine your ideas. Remember, edits in the sandbox don't count as wishes! === Feedback === * What should we do to improve the Wishlist pages? * How would you like to use our new [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Sandbox|sandbox?]] * What, if any, risks do you foresee in our decision to change the date of the Wishlist 2022? * What will help more people participate in the Wishlist 2022? Answer on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Talk:Community Wishlist Survey|talk page]] (in any language you prefer) or at our Talk to Us meetings. </div> [[user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] ([[user talk:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|talk]]) 00:23, 7-Sentabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=21980442 --> == Call for Candidates for the Movement Charter Drafting Committee ending 14 September 2021 == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content"/>Movement Strategy announces [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee|the Call for Candidates for the Movement Charter Drafting Committee]]. The Call opens August 2, 2021 and closes September 14, 2021. The Committee is expected to represent [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Diversity_and_Expertise_Matrices|diversity in the Movement]]. Diversity includes gender, language, geography, and experience. This comprises participation in projects, affiliates, and the Wikimedia Foundation. English fluency is not required to become a member. If needed, translation and interpretation support is provided. Members will receive an allowance to offset participation costs. It is US$100 every two months. We are looking for people who have some of the following [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee#Role_Requirements|skills]]: * Know how to write collaboratively. (demonstrated experience is a plus) * Are ready to find compromises. * Focus on inclusion and diversity. * Have knowledge of community consultations. * Have intercultural communication experience. * Have governance or organization experience in non-profits or communities. * Have experience negotiating with different parties. The Committee is expected to start with 15 people. If there are 20 or more candidates, a mixed election and selection process will happen. If there are 19 or fewer candidates, then the process of selection without election takes place. Will you help move Wikimedia forward in this important role? Submit your candidacy [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee#Candidate_Statements|here]]. Please contact strategy2030[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org with questions.<section end="announcement-content"/> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 17:06, 10-Sentabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Xeno_(WMF)/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22002280 --> == Server switch == <div class="plainlinks mw-content-ltr" lang="en" dir="ltr"><div class="plainlinks"> [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch|Read this message in another language]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Tech%2FServer+switch&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] The [[foundation:|Wikimedia Foundation]] tests the switch between its first and secondary data centers. This will make sure that Wikipedia and the other Wikimedia wikis can stay online even after a disaster. To make sure everything is working, the Wikimedia Technology department needs to do a planned test. This test will show if they can reliably switch from one data centre to the other. It requires many teams to prepare for the test and to be available to fix any unexpected problems. They will switch all traffic back to the primary data center on '''Tuesday, 14 September 2021'''. Unfortunately, because of some limitations in [[mw:Manual:What is MediaWiki?|MediaWiki]], all editing must stop while the switch is made. We apologize for this disruption, and we are working to minimize it in the future. '''You will be able to read, but not edit, all wikis for a short period of time.''' *You will not be able to edit for up to an hour on Tuesday, 14 September 2021. The test will start at [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1631628049 14:00 UTC] (07:00 PDT, 10:00 EDT, 15:00 WEST/BST, 16:00 CEST, 19:30 IST, 23:00 JST, and in New Zealand at 02:00 NZST on Wednesday, 15 September). *If you try to edit or save during these times, you will see an error message. We hope that no edits will be lost during these minutes, but we can't guarantee it. If you see the error message, then please wait until everything is back to normal. Then you should be able to save your edit. But, we recommend that you make a copy of your changes first, just in case. ''Other effects'': *Background jobs will be slower and some may be dropped. Red links might not be updated as quickly as normal. If you create an article that is already linked somewhere else, the link will stay red longer than usual. Some long-running scripts will have to be stopped. * We expect the code deployments to happen as any other week. However, some case-by-case code freezes could punctually happen if the operation require them afterwards. This project may be postponed if necessary. You can [[wikitech:Switch_Datacenter|read the schedule at wikitech.wikimedia.org]]. Any changes will be announced in the schedule. There will be more notifications about this. A banner will be displayed on all wikis 30 minutes before this operation happens. '''Please share this information with your community.'''</div></div> [[user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] ([[user talk:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|<span class="signature-talk">{{int:Talkpagelinktext}}</span>]]) 00:46, 11-Sentabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=21980442 --> == Talk to the Community Tech == [[File:Magic Wand Icon 229981 Color Flipped.svg|{{dir|{{pagelang}}|left|right}}|frameless|50px]] [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Updates/2021-09 Talk to Us|Read this message in another language]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Community_Wishlist_Survey/Updates/2021-09_Talk_to_Us&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] Hello! As we have [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Updates|recently announced]], we, the team working on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey|Community Wishlist Survey]], would like to invite you to an online meeting with us. It will take place on [https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/fixedtime.html?iso=20210915T2300 '''September 15th, 23:00 UTC'''] on Zoom, and will last an hour. [https://wikimedia.zoom.us/j/89828615390 '''Click here to join''']. '''Agenda''' * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021/Status report 1#Prioritization Process|How we prioritize the wishes to be granted]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey/Updates|Why we decided to change the date]] from November 2021 to January 2022 * Update on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021/Warn when linking to disambiguation pages|disambiguation]] and the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Wishlist Survey 2021/Real Time Preview for Wikitext|real-time preview]] wishes * Questions and answers '''Format''' The meeting will not be recorded or streamed. Notes without attribution will be taken and published on Meta-Wiki. The presentation (first three points in the agenda) will be given in English. We can answer questions asked in English, French, Polish, and Spanish. If you would like to ask questions in advance, add them [[m:Talk:Community Wishlist Survey|on the Community Wishlist Survey talk page]] or send to sgrabarczuk@wikimedia.org. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:NRodriguez (WMF)|Natalia Rodriguez]] (the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Community Tech|Community Tech]] manager) will be hosting this meeting. '''Invitation link''' * [https://wikimedia.zoom.us/j/89828615390 Join online] * Meeting ID: 898 2861 5390 * One tap mobile ** +16465588656,,89828615390# US (New York) ** +16699006833,,89828615390# US (San Jose) * [https://wikimedia.zoom.us/u/kctR45AI8o Dial by your location] See you! [[User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] ([[User talk:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|<span class="signature-talk">{{int:Talkpagelinktext}}</span>]]) 03:04, 11-Sentabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=21980442 --> == Voting for the election for the members for the Movement Charter drafting committee is now open == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content"/> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/MCDC Voter Email short 12-10-2021|{{int:otherlanguages}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/MCDC Voter Email short 12-10-2021}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Voting for the election for the members for the Movement Charter drafting committee is now open. In total, 70 Wikimedians from around the world are running for 7 seats in these elections. '''Voting is open from October 12 to October 24, 2021.''' The committee will consist of 15 members in total: The online communities vote for 7 members, 6 members will be selected by the Wikimedia affiliates through a parallel process, and 2 members will be appointed by the Wikimedia Foundation. The plan is to assemble the committee by November 1, 2021. Learn about each candidate to inform your vote in the language that you prefer: <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Candidates> Learn about the Drafting Committee: <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee> We are piloting a voting advice application for this election. Click yourself through the tool and you will see which candidate is closest to you! Check at <https://mcdc-election-compass.toolforge.org/> Read the full announcement: <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Elections> '''Go vote at SecurePoll on:''' <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Elections> Best, Movement Strategy & Governance Team, Wikimedia Foundation <section end="announcement-content"/> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 00:43, 14-Oktabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Xeno_(WMF)/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22185414 --> == Learn how Movement Strategy Implementation Grants can support your Movement Strategy plans == <section begin="announcement-content"/>Movement Strategy Implementation grants now provide more than $2,000 USD to put Movement Strategy plans into action. Find out more about [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Grants:MSIG/About|Movement Strategy Implementation grants, the criteria, and how to apply]].<section end="annoumcent-content"/> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] ([[User talk:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)#top|talk]]) 13:30, 29 October 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:MNadzikiewicz_(WMF)/Delivery&oldid=22247589 --> == Meet the new Movement Charter Drafting Committee members == <section begin="announcement-content"/> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Elections/Results/Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Elections/Results/Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' The Movement Charter Drafting Committee election and selection processes are complete. * The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Elections/Results|election results have been published]]. 1018 participants voted to elect seven members to the committee: '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Richard_Knipel_(Pharos)|Richard Knipel (Pharos)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Anne_Clin_(Risker)|Anne Clin (Risker)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Alice_Wiegand_(lyzzy)|Alice Wiegand (Lyzzy)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Micha%C5%82_Buczy%C5%84ski_(Aegis_Maelstrom)|Michał Buczyński (Aegis Maelstrom)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Richard_(Nosebagbear)|Richard (Nosebagbear)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Ravan_J_Al-Taie_(Ravan)|Ravan J Al-Taie (Ravan)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Ciell_(Ciell)|Ciell (Ciell)]]'''. * The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Candidates#Affiliate-chosen_members|affiliate process]] has selected six members: '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Anass_Sedrati_(Anass_Sedrati)|Anass Sedrati (Anass Sedrati)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#%C3%89rica_Azzellini_(EricaAzzellini)|Érica Azzellini (EricaAzzellini)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Jamie_Li-Yun_Lin_(Li-Yun_Lin)|Jamie Li-Yun Lin (Li-Yun Lin)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Georges_Fodouop_(Geugeor)|Georges Fodouop (Geugeor)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Manavpreet_Kaur_(Manavpreet_Kaur)|Manavpreet Kaur (Manavpreet Kaur)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Candidates#Pepe_Flores_(Padaguan)|Pepe Flores (Padaguan)]]'''. * The Wikimedia Foundation has [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Candidates#Wikimedia_Foundation-chosen_members|appointed]] two members: '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Candidates#Runa_Bhattacharjee_(Runab_WMF)|Runa Bhattacharjee (Runab WMF)]]''', '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Drafting_Committee/Candidates#Jorge_Vargas_(JVargas_(WMF))|Jorge Vargas (JVargas (WMF))]]'''. The committee will convene soon to start its work. The committee can appoint up to three more members to bridge diversity and expertise gaps. If you are interested in engaging with [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|Movement Charter]] drafting process, follow the updates [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee|on Meta]] and join the [https://t.me/joinchat/U-4hhWtndBjhzmSf Telegram group]. With thanks from the Movement Strategy and Governance team<section end="announcement-content"/> 15:53, 5-Noyabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:MNadzikiewicz_(WMF)/Delivery&oldid=22300322 --> == Upcoming Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content /> :''You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback:2022 Board of Trustees election/Upcoming Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback:2022 Board of Trustees election/Upcoming Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' The Board of Trustees is preparing a call for feedback about the upcoming Board Elections, from January 7 - February 10, 2022. While details will be finalized the week before the call, we have confirmed at least two questions that will be asked during this call for feedback: * What is the best way to ensure fair representation of emerging communities among the Board? * What involvement should candidates have during the election? While additional questions may be added, the Movement Strategy and Governance team wants to provide time for community members and affiliates to consider and prepare ideas on the confirmed questions before the call opens. We apologize for not having a complete list of questions at this time. The list of questions should only grow by one or two questions. The intention is to not overwhelm the community with requests, but provide notice and welcome feedback on these important questions. '''Do you want to help organize local conversation during this Call?''' Contact the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance|Movement Strategy and Governance team]] on Meta, on [https://t.me/wmboardgovernancechat Telegram], or via email at msg[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org. Reach out if you have any questions or concerns. The Movement Strategy and Governance team will be minimally staffed until January 3. Please excuse any delayed response during this time. We also recognize some community members and affiliates are offline during the December holidays. We apologize if our message has reached you while you are on holiday. Best, Movement Strategy and Governance<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> {{int:thank-you}} [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 17:39, 27-Dekabr 2021 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22502660 --> == Wiki Loves Folklore is back! == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> {{int:please-translate}} [[File:Wiki Loves Folklore Logo.svg|right|150px|frameless]] You are humbly invited to participate in the '''[[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022|Wiki Loves Folklore 2022]]''' an international photography contest organized on Wikimedia Commons to document folklore and intangible cultural heritage from different regions, including, folk creative activities and many more. It is held every year from the '''1st till the 28th''' of February. You can help in enriching the folklore documentation on Commons from your region by taking photos, audios, videos, and [https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:UploadWizard&campaign=wlf_2022 submitting] them in this commons contest. You can also [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022/Organize|organize a local contest]] in your country and support us in translating the [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022/Translations|project pages]] to help us spread the word in your native language. Feel free to contact us on our [[:c:Commons talk:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022|project Talk page]] if you need any assistance. '''Kind regards,''' '''Wiki loves Folklore International Team''' --[[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 13:15, 9-Yanvar 2022 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Tiven2240@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Tiven2240/wlf&oldid=22560402 --> == Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections is now open == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" />:''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback: Board of Trustees elections/Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections is now open/Short|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback: Board of Trustees elections/Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections is now open/Short|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback: Board of Trustees elections/Call for Feedback about the Board of Trustees elections is now open/Short}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' The Call for Feedback: Board of Trustees elections is now open and will close on 7 February 2022. With this Call for Feedback, the Movement Strategy and Governance team is taking a different approach. This approach incorporates community feedback from 2021. Instead of leading with proposals, the Call is framed around key questions from the Board of Trustees. The key questions came from the feedback about the 2021 Board of Trustees election. The intention is to inspire collective conversation and collaborative proposal development about these key questions. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees/Call for feedback: Board of Trustees elections|Join the conversation.]] Best, Movement Strategy and Governance<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 00:28, 15-Yanvar 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22610045 --> == Subscribe to the This Month in Education newsletter - learn from others and share your stories == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Dear community members, Greetings from the EWOC Newsletter team and the education team at Wikimedia Foundation. We are very excited to share that we on tenth years of Education Newsletter ([[m:Education/News|This Month in Education]]) invite you to join us by [[m:Global message delivery/Targets/This Month in Education|subscribing to the newsletter on your talk page]] or by [[m:Education/News/Newsroom|sharing your activities in the upcoming newsletters]]. The Wikimedia Education newsletter is a monthly newsletter that collects articles written by community members using Wikimedia projects in education around the world, and it is published by the EWOC Newsletter team in collaboration with the Education team. These stories can bring you new ideas to try, valuable insights about the success and challenges of our community members in running education programs in their context. If your affiliate/language project is developing its own education initiatives, please remember to take advantage of this newsletter to publish your stories with the wider movement that shares your passion for education. You can submit newsletter articles in your own language or submit bilingual articles for the education newsletter. For the month of January the deadline to submit articles is on the 20th January. We look forward to reading your stories. Older versions of this newsletter can be found in the [[outreach:Education/Newsletter/Archives|complete archive]]. More information about the newsletter can be found at [[m:Education/News/Publication Guidelines|Education/Newsletter/About]]. For more information, please contact spatnaik{{@}}wikimedia.org. ------ <div style="text-align: center;"><div style="margin-top:10px; font-size:90%; padding-left:5px; font-family:Georgia, Palatino, Palatino Linotype, Times, Times New Roman, serif;">[[m:Education/Newsletter/About|About ''This Month in Education'']] · [[m:Global message delivery/Targets/This Month in Education|Subscribe/Unsubscribe]] · [[m:MassMessage|Global message delivery]] · For the team: [[User:ZI Jony|<span style="color:#8B0000">'''ZI Jony'''</span>]] [[User talk:ZI Jony|<sup><span style="color:Green"><i>(Talk)</i></span></sup>]], {{<includeonly>subst:</includeonly>#time:l G:i, d F Y|}} (UTC)</div></div> </div> <!-- Message sent by User:ZI Jony@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:ZI_Jony/MassMessage/Awareness_of_Education_Newsletter/List_of_Village_Pumps&oldid=21244129 --> == Movement Strategy and Governance News – Issue 5 == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="ucoc-newsletter"/> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5/Global message|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5/Global message}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' <span style="font-size:200%;">'''Movement Strategy and Governance News'''</span><br> <span style="font-size:120%; color:#404040;">'''Issue 5, January 2022'''</span><span style="font-size:120%; float:right;">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5|'''Read the full newsletter''']]</span> ---- Welcome to the fifth issue of Movement Strategy and Governance News (formerly known as Universal Code of Conduct News)! This revamped newsletter distributes relevant news and events about the Movement Charter, Universal Code of Conduct, Movement Strategy Implementation grants, Board elections and other relevant MSG topics. This Newsletter will be distributed quarterly, while more frequent Updates will also be delivered weekly or bi-weekly to subscribers. Please remember to subscribe [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Global message delivery/Targets/MSG Newsletter Subscription|here]] if you would like to receive these updates. <div style="margin-top:3px; padding:10px 10px 10px 20px; background:#fffff; border:2px solid #808080; border-radius:4px; font-size:100%;"> *'''Call for Feedback about the Board elections''' - We invite you to give your feedback on the upcoming WMF Board of Trustees election. This call for feedback went live on 10th January 2022 and will be concluded on 16th February 2022. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5#Call for Feedback about the Board elections|continue reading]]) *'''Universal Code of Conduct Ratification''' - In 2021, the WMF asked communities about how to enforce the Universal Code of Conduct policy text. The revised draft of the enforcement guidelines should be ready for community vote in March. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5#Universal Code of Conduct Ratification|continue reading]]) *'''Movement Strategy Implementation Grants''' - As we continue to review several interesting proposals, we encourage and welcome more proposals and ideas that target a specific initiative from the Movement Strategy recommendations. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5#Movement Strategy Implementation Grants|continue reading]]) *'''The New Direction for the Newsletter''' - As the UCoC Newsletter transitions into MSG Newsletter, join the facilitation team in envisioning and deciding on the new directions for this newsletter. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5#The New Direction for the Newsletter|continue reading]]) *'''Diff Blogs''' - Check out the most recent publications about MSG on Wikimedia Diff. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/5#Diff Blogs|continue reading]])</div><section end="ucoc-newsletter"/> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 03:12, 29-Yanvar 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22704017 --> === Updates on the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines Review === Hello, I have an update on the vote on the enforcement guidelines that was mentioned above. [[Foydalanuvchi:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Xeno (WMF)|munozara]]) 02:34, 4-Fevral 2022 (UTC) ---- <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/2022-02-02 Announcement/Short|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/2022-02-02 Announcement/Short|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/2022-02-02 Announcement/Short}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello everyone, The '''[[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC) Enforcement Guidelines]]''' were published 24 January 2022 as a proposed way to apply the [[m:Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] across the movement. Comments about the guidelines can be shared here or [[m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|the Meta-wiki talk page]]. There will be conversations on Zoom on 4 February 2022 at 15:00 UTC, 25 February 2022 at 12:00 UTC, and 4 March 2022 at 15:00 UTC. '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Conversations|Join the UCoC project team and drafting committee members to discuss the guidelines and voting process]].''' The [[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Project#Timeline|timeline is available on Meta-wiki]]. The voting period is March 7 to 21. '''[[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting|See the voting information page for more details]].''' Thank you to everyone who has participated so far. Sincerely, Movement Strategy and Governance<br/> Wikimedia Foundation<section end="announcement-content" /> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Leadership Development Task Force: Your feedback is appreciated</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" />:''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Task Force/Call for Feedback Announcement|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Task Force/Call for Feedback Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Leadership Development Task Force/Call for Feedback Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' The Community Development team at the Wikimedia Foundation is supporting the creation of a global, community-driven Leadership Development Task Force. The purpose of the task force is to advise leadership development work. The team is looking for feedback about the responsibilities of the Leadership Development Task Force. This Meta page shares the proposal for a [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Task Force|Leadership Development Task Force]] and how [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Task Force/Participate|you can help.]] Feedback on the proposal will be collected from 7 to 25 February 2022.<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 01:30, 9-Fevral 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery/Wikiquote&oldid=22796624 --> == Wiki Loves Folklore is extended till 15th March == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">{{int:please-translate}} [[File:Wiki Loves Folklore Logo.svg|right|frameless|180px]] Greetings from Wiki Loves Folklore International Team, We are pleased to inform you that [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore|Wiki Loves Folklore]] an international photographic contest on Wikimedia Commons has been extended till the '''15th of March 2022'''. The scope of the contest is focused on folk culture of different regions on categories, such as, but not limited to, folk festivals, folk dances, folk music, folk activities, etc. We would like to have your immense participation in the photographic contest to document your local Folk culture on Wikipedia. You can also help with the [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022/Translations|translation]] of project pages and share a word in your local language. Best wishes, '''International Team'''<br /> '''Wiki Loves Folklore''' [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 04:50, 22-Fevral 2022 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Rockpeterson@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=22754428 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Remember to Participate in the UCoC Conversations and Ratification Vote!</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting/Announcement|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting/Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting/Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello everyone, A [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines/Voting|'''vote in SecurePoll from 7 to 21 March 2022''']] is scheduled as part of the ratification process for the Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC) Enforcement guidelines. Eligible voters are invited to answer a poll question and share comments. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines/Voter_information|Read voter information and eligibility details.]] During the poll, voters will be asked if they support the enforcement of the Universal Code of Conduct based on the proposed guidelines. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] (UCoC) provides a baseline of acceptable behavior for the entire movement. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines|revised enforcement guidelines]] were published 24 January 2022 as a proposed way to apply the policy across the movement. A [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_Board_noticeboard/January_2022_-_Board_of_Trustees_on_Community_ratification_of_enforcement_guidelines_of_UCoC|Wikimedia Foundation Board statement]] calls for a [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines/Voting|ratification process]] where eligible voters will have an opportunity to support or oppose the adoption of the UCoC Enforcement guidelines in a vote. Wikimedians are invited to [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines/Voter_information/Volunteer|translate and share important information]]. For more information about the UCoC, please see the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Project|project page]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/FAQ|frequently asked questions]] on Meta-wiki. There are events scheduled to learn more and discuss: * A [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Conversations/Panel_Q&A|community panel]] recorded on 18 February 2022 shares perspectives from small- and medium-sized community participants. * The [[m:Movement Strategy and Governance|Movement Strategy and Governance]] (MSG) team is hosting Conversation Hours on 4 March 2022 at 15:00 UTC. Please [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Conversations|'''sign-up''']] to interact with the project team and the drafting committee about the updated enforcement guidelines and the ratification process. See the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/2022_conversation_hour_summaries|Conversation Hour summaries]] for notes from 4 February 2022 and 25 February 2022. You can comment on Meta-wiki talk pages in any language. You may also contact either team by email: msg[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org or ucocproject[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org Sincerely, Movement Strategy and Governance <br /> Wikimedia Foundation <br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 02:17, 2-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=22916674 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement guidelines ratification voting open from 7 to 21 March 2022</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello everyone, The ratification voting process for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|revised enforcement guidelines]] of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] (UCoC) is now open! '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting|Voting commenced on SecurePoll]]''' on 7 March 2022 and will conclude on 21 March 2022. Please [[m:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voter information|read more on the voter information and eligibility details]]. The Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC) provides a baseline of acceptable behavior for the entire movement. The revised enforcement guidelines were published 24 January 2022 as a proposed way to apply the policy across the movement. You can [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Project|read more about the UCoC project]]. You can also comment on Meta-wiki talk pages in any language. You may also contact the team by email: ucocproject[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org Sincerely, Movement Strategy and Governance Wikimedia Foundation<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 00:52, 8-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=22962850 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Invitation to Hubs event: Global Conversation on 2022-03-12 at 13:00 UTC</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" />Hello! The Movement Strategy and Governance team of the Wikimedia Foundation would like to invite you to the next event about "Regional and Thematic Hubs". The Wikimedia Movement is in the process of understanding what Regional and Thematic Hubs should be. Our workshop in November was a good start ([[m:Special:MyLanguage/Hubs/Documentation/27 November Workshop|read the report]]), but we're not finished yet. Over the last weeks we conducted about 16 interviews with groups working on establishing a Hub in their context ([[m:Special:MyLanguage/Hubs/Dialogue|see Hubs Dialogue]]). These interviews informed a report that will serve as a foundation for discussion on March 12. The report is planned to be published on March 9. The event will take place on March 12, 13:00 to 16:00 UTC on Zoom. Interpretation will be provided in French, Spanish, Arabic, Russian, and Portuguese. Registration is open, and will close on March 10. Anyone interested in the topic is invited to join us. '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Hubs/Global Conversations March 12, 2022|More information on the event on Meta-wiki]]'''. Best regards, [[m:User:KVaidla (WMF)|Kaarel Vaidla]]<br />Movement Strategy <section end="announcement-content" /> </div> 01:31, 10-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=22974079 --> == Wiki Loves Folklore 2022 ends tomorrow == [[File:Wiki Loves Folklore Logo.svg|right|frameless|180px]] International photographic contest [[:c:Commons:Wiki Loves Folklore 2022| Wiki Loves Folklore 2022]] ends on 15th March 2022 23:59:59 UTC. This is the last chance of the year to upload images about local folk culture, festival, cuisine, costume, folklore etc on Wikimedia Commons. Watch out our social media handles for regular updates and declaration of Winners. ([https://www.facebook.com/WikiLovesFolklore/ Facebook] , [https://twitter.com/WikiFolklore Twitter ] , [https://www.instagram.com/wikilovesfolklore/ Instagram]) The writing competition Feminism and Folklore will run till 31st of March 2022 23:59:59 UTC. Write about your local folk tradition, women, folk festivals, folk dances, folk music, folk activities, folk games, folk cuisine, folk wear, folklore, and tradition, including ballads, folktales, fairy tales, legends, traditional song and dance, folk plays, games, seasonal events, calendar customs, folk arts, folk religion, mythology etc. on your local Wikipedia. Check if your [[:m:Feminism and Folklore 2022/Project Page|local Wikipedia is participating]] A special competition called '''Wiki Loves Falles''' is organised in Spain and the world during 15th March 2022 till 15th April 2022 to document local folk culture and [[:en:Falles|Falles]] in Valencia, Spain. Learn more about it on [[:ca:Viquiprojecte:Falles 2022|Catalan Wikipedia project page]]. We look forward for your immense co-operation. Thanks Wiki Loves Folklore international Team [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 14:40, 14-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Rockpeterson@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=22754428 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Leadership Development Working Group: Apply to join! (14 March to 10 April 2022)</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Working Group/Participate/Announcement|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Working Group/Participate/Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Leadership Development Working Group/Participate/Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello everyone, Thank you to everyone who participated in the feedback period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Working Group|Leadership Development Working Group]] initiative. A [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership Development Working Group/Participate#5. Summary of Call for Feedback|summary of the feedback]] can be found on Meta-wiki. This feedback will be shared with the working group to inform their work. The application period to join the Working Group is now open and will close on April 10, 2022. Please [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership_Development_Working_Group/Purpose_and_Structure#3._How_is_the_working_group_formed_and_structured?|review the information about the working group]], share with community members who might be interested, and '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Leadership_Development_Working_Group/Participate#1._How_to_participate|apply if you are interested]]'''. Thank you, From the Community Development team<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 02:20, 18-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=22974079 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement guidelines ratification voting is now closed</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote/Closing message|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote/Closing message|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Vote/Closing message}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Greetings, The ratification voting process for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|revised enforcement guidelines]] of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] (UCoC) came to a close on 21 March 2022. Over {{#expr:2300}} Wikimedians voted across different regions of our movement. Thank you to everyone who participated in this process! The scrutinizing group is now reviewing the vote for accuracy, so please allow up to two weeks for them to finish their work. The final results from the voting process will be announced [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voting/Results|here]], along with the relevant statistics and a summary of comments as soon as they are available. Please check out [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Voter information|the voter information page]] to learn about the next steps. You can comment on the project talk page [[m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|on Meta-wiki]] in any language. You may also contact the UCoC project team by email: ucocproject[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org Best regards, Movement Strategy and Governance<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 01:53, 30-Mart 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23079949 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Movement Strategy and Governance News – Issue 6</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="msg-newsletter"/> <div style = "line-height: 1.2"> <span style="font-size:200%;">'''Movement Strategy and Governance News'''</span><br> <span style="font-size:120%; color:#404040;">'''Issue 6, April 2022'''</span><span style="font-size:120%; float:right;">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6|'''Read the full newsletter''']]</span> ---- Welcome to the sixth issue of Movement Strategy and Governance News! This revamped newsletter distributes relevant news and events about the Movement Charter, Universal Code of Conduct, Movement Strategy Implementation grants, Board of trustees elections and other relevant MSG topics. This Newsletter will be distributed quarterly, while the more frequent Updates will also be delivered weekly. Please remember to subscribe [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Global message delivery/Targets/MSG Newsletter Subscription|here]] if you would like to receive future issues of this newsletter. </div><div style="margin-top:3px; padding:10px 10px 10px 20px; background:#fffff; border:2px solid #808080; border-radius:4px; font-size:100%;"> *'''Leadership Development -''' A Working Group is Forming! - The application to join the Leadership Development Working Group closed on April 10th, 2022, and up to 12 community members will be selected to participate in the working group. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A1|continue reading]]) *'''Universal Code of Conduct Ratification Results are out! -''' The global decision process on the enforcement of the UCoC via SecurePoll was held from 7 to 21 March. Over 2,300 eligible voters from at least 128 different home projects submitted their opinions and comments. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A2|continue reading]]) *'''Movement Discussions on Hubs -''' The Global Conversation event on Regional and Thematic Hubs was held on Saturday, March 12, and was attended by 84 diverse Wikimedians from across the movement. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A3|continue reading]]) *'''Movement Strategy Grants Remain Open! -''' Since the start of the year, six proposals with a total value of about $80,000 USD have been approved. Do you have a movement strategy project idea? Reach out to us! ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A4|continue reading]]) *'''The Movement Charter Drafting Committee is All Set! -''' The Committee of fifteen members which was elected in October 2021, has agreed on the essential values and methods for its work, and has started to create the outline of the Movement Charter draft. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A5|continue reading]]) *'''Introducing Movement Strategy Weekly -''' Contribute and Subscribe! - The MSG team have just launched the updates portal, which is connected to the various Movement Strategy pages on Meta-wiki. Subscriber to get up-to-date news about the various ongoing projects. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A6|continue reading]]) *'''Diff Blogs -''' Check out the most recent publications about Movement Strategy on Wikimedia Diff. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/6#A7|continue reading]]) </div><section end="msg-newsletter"/> </div> Also, a draft of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Annual Plan/2022-2023/draft|'''2022-23 Wikimedia Foundation Annual Plan''']] has been published. Input is being sought on-wiki and during [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Annual Plan/2022-2023/Conversations|'''several conversations''' with Wikimedia Foundation CEO Maryana Iskander]]. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Annual Plan/2022-2023/Conversations/Announcement|See full announcement on Meta-wiki]]. [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 01:46, 22-Aprel 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23184989 --> == 2022 Board of Trustees Call for Candidates == <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Call for Candidates/Short|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Call for Candidates/Short|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Call for Candidates/Short}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' The Board of Trustees seeks candidates for the 2022 Board of Trustees election. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Announcement/Call_for_Candidates|'''Read more on Meta-wiki.''']] The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022|2022 Board of Trustees election]] is here! Please consider submitting your candidacy to serve on the Board of Trustees. The Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees oversees the Wikimedia Foundation's operations. Community-and-affiliate selected trustees and Board-appointed trustees make up the Board of Trustees. Each trustee serves a three year term. The Wikimedia community has the opportunity to vote for community-and-affiliate selected trustees. The Wikimedia community will vote to fill two seats on the Board in 2022. This is an opportunity to improve the representation, diversity, and expertise of the Board as a team. ;Who are potential candidates? Are you a potential candidate? Find out more on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Apply to be a Candidate|Apply to be a Candidate page]]. Thank you for your support, Movement Strategy and Governance on behalf of the Elections Committee and the Board of Trustees<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> 10:39, 10-May 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23215441 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Revisions to the Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC) Enforcement Guidelines</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Revision discussions/Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines/Revision discussions/Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello all, We'd like to provide an update on the work on the Enforcement Guidelines for the Universal Code of Conduct. After the conclusion of the community vote on the guidelines in March, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee|Community Affairs committee (CAC)]] of the Board [https://lists.wikimedia.org/hyperkitty/list/wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org/thread/JAYQN3NYKCHQHONMUONYTI6WRKZFQNSC/ asked that several areas of the guidelines be reviewed for improvements] before the Board does its final review. These areas were identified based on community discussions and comments provided during the vote. The CAC also requested review of the controversial Note in 3.1 of the UCoC itself. Once more, a big thank you to all who voted, especially to all who left constructive feedback and comments! The project team is working with the Board to establish a timeline for this work, and will communicate this next month. Members of the two prior [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Drafting committee|UCoC Drafting Committees]] have generously offered their time to help shape improvements to the Guidelines. You can read more about them and their work [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Drafting committee#Revisions_Committee|here]], as well as read [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Drafting_committee/Phase_2_meeting_summaries#2022|summaries of their weekly meetings in 2022]]. Wikimedians have provided many valuable comments together with the vote and in other conversations. Given the size and diversity of the Wikimedia community, there are even more voices out there who can give ideas on how to improve the enforcement guidelines and add even more valuable ideas to the process. To help the Revisions committee identify improvements, input on several questions for the committee’s review is requested. Visit the Meta-wiki pages ([[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines/Revision_discussions|Enforcement Guidelines revision discussions]], [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Policy text/Revision_discussions|Policy text revision discussions]]) to get your ideas to the Committee - it is very important that viewpoints are heard from different communities before the Committee begins drafting revision proposals. On behalf of the UCoC project team <br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 22:57, 3-Iyun 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23215441 --> == Propose statements for the 2022 Election Compass == :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Propose statements for the 2022 Election Compass| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Propose statements for the 2022 Election Compass|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Propose statements for the 2022 Election Compass}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hi all, Community members in the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022|2022 Board of Trustees election]] are invited to [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Community_Voting/Election_Compass|propose statements to use in the Election Compass.]] An Election Compass is a tool to help voters select the candidates that best align with their beliefs and views. The community members will propose statements for the candidates to answer using a Lickert scale (agree/neutral/disagree). The candidates’ answers to the statements will be loaded into the Election Compass tool. Voters will use the tool by entering in their answer to the statements (agree/disagree/neutral). The results will show the candidates that best align with the voter’s beliefs and views. ;Here is the timeline for the Election Compass: * July 8 - 20: Community members propose statements for the Election Compass * July 21 - 22: Elections Committee reviews statements for clarity and removes off-topic statements * July 23 - August 1: Volunteers vote on the statements * August 2 - 4: Elections Committee selects the top 15 statements * August 5 - 12: candidates align themselves with the statements * August 15: The Election Compass opens for voters to use to help guide their voting decision The Elections Committee will select the top 15 statements at the beginning of August. The Elections Committee will oversee the process, supported by the Movement Strategy and Governance team. MSG will check that the questions are clear, there are no duplicates, no typos, and so on. Best, Movement Strategy and Governance ''This message was sent on behalf of the Board Selection Task Force and the Elections Committee''<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] ([[User talk:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|talk]]) 11:34, 14-Iyul 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23215441 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Movement Strategy and Governance News – Issue 7</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="msg-newsletter"/> <div style = "line-height: 1.2"> <span style="font-size:200%;">'''Movement Strategy and Governance News'''</span><br> <span style="font-size:120%; color:#404040;">'''Issue 7, July-September 2022'''</span><span style="font-size:120%; float:right;">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7|'''Read the full newsletter''']]</span> ---- Welcome to the 7th issue of Movement Strategy and Governance News! The newsletter distributes relevant news and events about the implementation of Wikimedia's [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy/Initiatives|Movement Strategy recommendations]], other relevant topics regarding Movement governance, as well as different projects and activities supported by the Movement Strategy and Governance (MSG) team of the Wikimedia Foundation. The MSG Newsletter is delivered quarterly, while the more frequent [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy/Updates|Movement Strategy Weekly]] will be delivered weekly. Please remember to subscribe [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Global message delivery/Targets/MSG Newsletter Subscription|here]] if you would like to receive future issues of this newsletter. </div><div style="margin-top:3px; padding:10px 10px 10px 20px; background:#fffff; border:2px solid #808080; border-radius:4px; font-size:100%;"> * '''Movement sustainability''': Wikimedia Foundation's annual sustainability report has been published. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A1|continue reading]]) * '''Improving user experience''': recent improvements on the desktop interface for Wikimedia projects. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A2|continue reading]]) * '''Safety and inclusion''': updates on the revision process of the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A3|continue reading]]) * '''Equity in decisionmaking''': reports from Hubs pilots conversations, recent progress from the Movement Charter Drafting Committee, and a new white paper for futures of participation in the Wikimedia movement. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A4|continue reading]]) * '''Stakeholders coordination''': launch of a helpdesk for Affiliates and volunteer communities working on content partnership. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A5|continue reading]]) * '''Leadership development''': updates on leadership projects by Wikimedia movement organizers in Brazil and Cape Verde. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A6|continue reading]]) * '''Internal knowledge management''': launch of a new portal for technical documentation and community resources. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A7|continue reading]]) * '''Innovate in free knowledge''': high-quality audiovisual resources for scientific experiments and a new toolkit to record oral transcripts. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A8|continue reading]]) * '''Evaluate, iterate, and adapt''': results from the Equity Landscape project pilot ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A9|continue reading]]) * '''Other news and updates''': a new forum to discuss Movement Strategy implementation, upcoming Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees election, a new podcast to discuss Movement Strategy, and change of personnel for the Foundation's Movement Strategy and Governance team. ([[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Newsletter/7#A10|continue reading]]) </div><section end="msg-newsletter"/> </div> Thank you for reading! [[User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 01:38, 18-Iyul 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23529147 --> == Announcing the six candidates for the 2022 Board of Trustees election == <section begin="announcement-content"/> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Announcing the six candidates for the 2022 Board of Trustees election| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Announcing the six candidates for the 2022 Board of Trustees election|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Announcing the six candidates for the 2022 Board of Trustees election}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hi everyone, '''The Affiliate voting process has concluded.''' Representatives from each Affiliate organization learned about the candidates by reading candidates’ statements, reviewing candidates’ answers to questions, and considering the candidates’ ratings provided by the Analysis Committee. The selected 2022 Board of Trustees candidates are: * Tobechukwu Precious Friday ([[:m:User:Tochiprecious|Tochiprecious]]) * Farah Jack Mustaklem ([[:m:User:Fjmustak|Fjmustak]]) * Shani Evenstein Sigalov ([[:m:User:Esh77|Esh77]]) * Kunal Mehta ([[:m:User:Legoktm|Legoktm]]) * Michał Buczyński ([[:m:User:Aegis Maelstrom|Aegis Maelstrom]]) * Mike Peel ([[:m:User:Mike Peel|Mike Peel]]) You may see more information about the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Results|Results]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Stats|Statistics]] of this Board election. Please take a moment to appreciate the Affiliate Representatives and Analysis Committee members for taking part in this process and helping to grow the Board of Trustees in capacity and diversity. These hours of volunteer work connect us across understanding and perspective. Thank you for your participation. Thank you to the community members who put themselves forward as candidates for the Board of Trustees. Considering joining the Board of Trustees is no small decision. The time and dedication candidates have shown to this point speaks to their commitment to this movement. Congratulations to those candidates who have been selected. A great amount of appreciation and gratitude for those candidates not selected. Please continue to share your leadership with Wikimedia. Thank you to those who followed the Affiliate process for this Board election. You may review the results of the Affiliate selection process. '''The next part of the Board election process is the community voting period.''' [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022#Timeline|You may view the Board election timeline here]]. To prepare for the community voting period, there are several things community members can engage with in the following ways: * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Candidates|Read candidates’ statements]] and read the candidates’ answers to the questions posed by the Affiliate Representatives. * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Community_Voting/Questions_for_Candidates|Propose and select the 6 questions for candidates to answer during their video Q&A]]. * See the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Candidates|Analysis Committee’s ratings of candidates on each candidate’s statement]]. * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Community Voting/Election Compass|Propose statements for the Election Compass]] voters can use to find which candidates best fit their principles. * Encourage others in your community to take part in the election. Best, Movement Strategy and Governance ''This message was sent on behalf of the Board Selection Task Force and the Elections Committee'' </div><section end="announcement-content"/> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] 14:03, 27-Iyul 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23530132 --> :[[Caren]] [[Maxsus:Contributions/187.221.71.179|187.221.71.179]] 17:54, 7-Aprel 2023 (UTC) == Vote for Election Compass Statements == <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Vote for Election Compass Statements| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Vote for Election Compass Statements|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/Vote for Election Compass Statements}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hi all, Volunteers in the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022|2022 Board of Trustees election]] are invited to [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Community_Voting/Election_Compass/Statements|vote for statements to use in the Election Compass]]. You can vote for the statements you would like to see included in the Election Compass on Meta-wiki. An Election Compass is a tool to help voters select the candidates that best align with their beliefs and views. The community members will propose statements for the candidates to answer using a Lickert scale (agree/neutral/disagree). The candidates’ answers to the statements will be loaded into the Election Compass tool. Voters will use the tool by entering in their answer to the statements (agree/disagree/neutral). The results will show the candidates that best align with the voter’s beliefs and views. Here is the timeline for the Election Compass: *<s>July 8 - 20: Volunteers propose statements for the Election Compass</s> *<s>July 21 - 22: Elections Committee reviews statements for clarity and removes off-topic statements</s> *July 23 - August 1: Volunteers vote on the statements *August 2 - 4: Elections Committee selects the top 15 statements *August 5 - 12: candidates align themselves with the statements *August 15: The Election Compass opens for voters to use to help guide their voting decision The Elections Committee will select the top 15 statements at the beginning of August Best, Movement Strategy and Governance ''This message was sent on behalf of the Board Selection Task Force and the Elections Committee'' </div><section end="announcement-content" /> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] 21:01, 27-Iyul 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23530132 --> == The 2022 Board of Trustees election Community Voting period is now open == <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/The 2022 Board of Trustees election Community Voting period is now open| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/The 2022 Board of Trustees election Community Voting period is now open|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Announcement/The 2022 Board of Trustees election Community Voting period is now open}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hi everyone, The Community Voting period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022|2022 Board of Trustees election]] is now open. Here are some helpful links to get you the information you need to vote: * Try the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Community_Voting/Election_Compass|Election Compass]], showing how candidates stand on 15 different topics. * Read the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Candidates|candidate statements]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Affiliate_Organization_Participation/Candidate_Questions|answers to Affiliate questions]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Apply to be a Candidate|Learn more about the skills the Board seeks]] and how the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2022/Candidates|Analysis Committee found candidates align with those skills]] If you are ready to vote, you may go to [[Special:SecurePoll/vote/Wikimedia_Foundation_Board_Elections_2022|SecurePoll voting page]] to vote now. '''You may vote from August 23 at 00:00 UTC to September 6 at 23:59 UTC.''' To see about your voter eligibility, please visit the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Voter_eligibility_guidelines|voter eligibility page]]. Best, Movement Strategy and Governance ''This message was sent on behalf of the Board Selection Task Force and the Elections Committee''<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> [[User:MNadzikiewicz_(WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23708360 --> == Invitation to join the Movement Strategy Forum == :''{{More languages}}'' <section begin="announcement-content" /> Hello everyone, The [https://forum.movement-strategy.org/ Movement Strategy Forum] (MS Forum) is a multilingual collaborative space for all conversations about Movement Strategy implementation. We are inviting all Movement participants to collaborate on the MS Forum. The goal of the forum is to build community collaboration, using an inclusive multilingual platform. The [[m:Movement Strategy|Movement Strategy]] is a collaborative effort to imagine and build the future of the Wikimedia Movement. Anyone can contribute to the Movement Strategy, from a comment to a full-time project. ;Join this forum with your Wikimedia account, engage in conversations, and ask questions in your language. The Movement Strategy and Governance team (MSG) launched the proposal for the MS Forum in May 2022. There was a 2-month community review period, which ended on 24 July 2022. The community review process included several questions that resulted in interesting conversations. You can read the [https://forum.movement-strategy.org/t/ms-forum-community-review-report/1436 Community Review Report]. We look forward to seeing you at the MS Forum! Best regards, the Movement Strategy and Governance Team [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] 11:32, 29-Avgust 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23720620 --> == Sanjar Xo`ja == Iltimos, "Sanjar Xoʻja" ga oʻtkazing. [[Foydalanuvchi:Kwamikagami|Kwamikagami]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Kwamikagami|munozara]]) 21:50, 8-Sentabr 2022 (UTC) Sana diapazonlari uchun ''m''-chiziqcha (&mdash;) yoki ''n''-chiziqcha (&ndash;) qoʻyishimiz kerakmi? WP-uz nomuvofiq. [[Foydalanuvchi:Kwamikagami|Kwamikagami]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Kwamikagami|munozara]]) 22:21, 8-Sentabr 2022 (UTC) == The Vector 2022 skin as the default in two weeks? == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> [[File:Wikimania 2022 Vector (2022) Presentation.pdf|thumb|The slides for our presentation at Wikimania 2022|page=26]] Hello. I'm writing on behalf of the [[mw:Reading/Web|Wikimedia Foundation Web team]]. '''In two weeks, we would like to make the Vector 2022 skin the default on this wiki.''' We have been working on it for the past three years. So far, it has been the default on more than 30 wikis, including sister projects, all accounting for more than 1 billion pageviews per month. On average [[phab:T317529#8246686|87% of active logged-in users]] of those wikis use Vector 2022. It would become the default for all logged-out users, and also all logged-in users who currently use Vector legacy. Logged-in users can at any time switch to [[Special:Preferences#mw-prefsection-rendering|any other skins]]. No changes are expected for users of these skins. <div style="width:100%; margin:auto;"><gallery widths="220" heights="150" mode="packed" caption="Top of an article"> Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2010 top.png|Vector legacy (current default) Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2022 top.png|Vector 2022 </gallery><gallery widths="220" heights="150" mode="packed" caption="A section of an article"> Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2010 scrolled.png|Vector legacy (current default) Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2022 scrolled.png|Vector 2022 </gallery></div> === About the skin === '''[Why is a change necessary]''' The current default skin meets the needs of the readers and editors as these were 13 years ago. Since then, new users have begun using Wikimedia projects. [https://diff.wikimedia.org/2022/08/18/prioritizing-equity-within-wikipedias-new-desktop/ The old Vector doesn't meet their needs.] '''[Objective]''' The objective for the new skin is to make the interface more welcoming and comfortable for readers and useful for advanced users. It draws inspiration from previous requests, the [[metawiki:Special:MyLanguage/Community_Wishlist_Survey|Community Wishlist Surveys]], and gadgets and scripts. The work helped our code follow the standards and improve all other skins. [[phab:phame/post/view/290/how_and_why_we_moved_our_skins_to_mustache/|We reduced PHP code in Wikimedia deployed skins by 75%]]. The project has also focused on making it easier to support gadgets and use APIs. '''[Changes and test results]''' The skin introduces a [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Features|series of changes]] that improve readability and usability. The new skin does not remove any functionality currently available on the Vector skin. * The sticky header makes it easier to find tools that editors use often. It decreases scrolling to the top of the page by 16%. * The new table of contents makes it easier to navigate to different sections. Readers and editors jumped to different sections of the page 50% more than with the old table of contents. It also looks a bit different on talk pages. * The new search bar is easier to find and makes it easier to find the correct search result from the list. This increased the amount of searches started by 30% on the wikis we tested on. * The skin does not negatively affect pageviews, edit rates, or account creation. There is evidence of increases in pageviews and account creation across partner communities. '''[Try it out]''' Try out the new skin by going to the appearance tab in [[Special:Preferences#mw-prefsection-rendering|your preferences]] and selecting Vector 2022 from the list of skins. === How can editors change and customize this skin? === It's possible to configure and personalize our changes. We support volunteers who create new gadgets and user scripts. Check out [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Repository|our repository]] for a list of currently available customizations, or add your own. === Our plan === '''If no large concerns are raised, we plan on deploying in the week of October 3, 2022'''. If your community would like to request more time to discuss the changes, hit the button and write to us. We can adjust the calendar. <div style="text-align: center;">[[mw:Talk:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements|<span class="plainlinks mw-ui-button">Request for more time to discuss the change</span>]]</div> If you'd like ask our team anything, if you have questions, concerns, or additional thoughts, please ping me here or write on the [[mw:Talk:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements|talk page of the project]]. We will gladly answer! Also, [[mw:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Frequently asked questions|see our FAQ]]. Thank you! [[mw:User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] ([[mw:User talk:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|talk]]) 04:15, 22-Sentabr 2022 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:SGrabarczuk_(WMF)/sandbox/MM/Varia&oldid=23838600 --> == Invitation to attend “Ask Me Anything about Movement Charter” Sessions == <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Community Consultation/Announcement/Ask Me Anything Sessions|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Community Consultation/Announcement/Ask Me Anything Sessions|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Community Consultation/Announcement/Ask Me Anything Sessions}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] Hello all, During the 2022 Wikimedia Summit, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee|Movement Charter Drafting Committee]] (MCDC) presented the first outline of the Movement Charter, giving a glimpse on the direction of its future work, and the Charter itself. The MCDC then integrated the initial feedback collected during the Summit. Before proceeding with writing the Charter for the whole Movement, the MCDC wants to interact with community members and gather feedback on the drafts of the three sections: Preamble, Values & Principles, and Roles & Responsibilities (intentions statement). The Movement Charter drafts will be available on the Meta page [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Content|here]] on November 14, 2022. Community wide consultation period on MC will take place from November 20 to December 18, 2022. Learn more about it [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Community Consultation|here]]. With the goal of ensuring that people are well informed to fully participate in the conversations and are empowered to contribute their perspective on the Movement Charter, three '''“Ask Me Anything about Movement Charter"''' sessions have been scheduled in different time zones. Everyone in the Wikimedia Movement is invited to attend these conversations. The aim is to learn about Movement Charter - its goal, purpose, why it matters, and how it impacts your community. MCDC members will attend these sessions to answer your questions and hear community feedback. The “Ask Me Anything” sessions accommodate communities from different time zones. Only the presentation of the session is recorded and shared afterwards, no recording of conversations. Below is the list of planned events: *<s>'''Asia/Pacific''': November 4, 2022 at 09:00 UTC ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1667552400 your local time]). Interpretation is available in Chinese and Japanese.</s> * '''Europe/MENA/Sub Saharan Africa''': November 12, 2022 at 15:00 UTC ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1668265257 your local time]). Interpretation is available in Arabic, French and Russian. * '''North and South America/ Western Europe''': November 12, 2022 at 15:00 UTC ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1668265257 your local time]). Interpretation is available in Spanish and Portuguese. On the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Community Consultation|Meta page]] you will find more details; Zoom links will be shared 48 hours ahead of the call. '''Call for Movement Charter Ambassadors''' Individuals or groups from all communities who wish to help include and start conversations in their communities on the Movement Charter are encouraged to become [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Movement Charter Ambassadors Program/About|Movement Charter Ambassadors]] (MC Ambassadors). MC Ambassadors will carry out their own activities and get financial support for enabling conversations in their own languages. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Team|Regional facilitators]] from the Movement Strategy and Governance team are available to support applicants with MC Ambassadors grantmaking. If you are interested please sign up [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy and Governance/Movement Charter Ambassadors Program/About|here]]. Should you have specific questions, please reach out to the MSG team via email: strategy2030@wikimedia.org or on the MS forum. We thank you for your time and participation. On behalf of the Movement Charter Drafting Committee,<section end="announcement-content" /> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] 15:33, 7-Noyabr 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23914777 --> == Apply for Funding through the Movement Strategy Community Engagement Package to Support Your Community == :''{{More languages}}'' <section begin="announcement-content" /> The Wikimedia Movement Strategy implementation is a collaborative effort for all Wikimedians. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Grants:MSIG/About|Movement Strategy Implementation Grants]] support projects that take the current state of a [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Strategy/Initiatives|Movement Strategy Initiative]] and push it one step forward. If you are looking for an example or some guide on how to engage your community further on Movement Strategy and the Movement Strategy Implementation Grants specifically, you may find this '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Grants:MSIG/Community Engagement Package|community engagement package]]''' helpful. The goal of this community engagement package is to support more people to access the funding they might need for the implementation work. By becoming a recipient of this grant, you will be able to support other community members to develop further grant applications that fit with your local contexts to benefit your own communities. With this package, the hope is to break down language barriers and to ensure community members have needed information on Movement Strategy to connect with each other. Movement Strategy is a two-way exchange, we can always learn more from the experiences and knowledge of Wikimedians everywhere. We can train and support our peers by using this package, so more people can make use of this great funding opportunity. If this information interests you or if you have any further thoughts or questions, please do not hesitate to reach out to us as your [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Team|regional facilitators]] to discuss further. We will be more than happy to support you. When you are ready, follow the steps on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Grants:MSIG/About |this page]] to apply. We look forward to receiving your application. Best regards, <br> Movement Strategy and Governance Team <br> Wikimedia Foundation<section end="announcement-content" /> [[User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)|MNadzikiewicz (WMF)]] 16:26, 14-Noyabr 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23914777 --> == Opportunities open for the Ombuds commission and the Case Review Committee == <section begin="announcement-content" /> <div style="margin:.2em 0 .5em;margin-{{#switch:{{PAGELANGUAGE}}|ar|arc|ary|arz|azb|bcc|bgn|ckb|bqi|dv|fa|fa-af|glk|ha-arab|he|kk-arab|kk-cn|ks|ku-arab|ms-arab|mzn|pnb|prd|ps|sd|ug|ur|ydd|yi=right|left}}:3ex;"> [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Announcement/2023 OC and CRC appointments process|''You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.'']] ''<span class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Announcement/2023 OC and CRC appointments process|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Announcement/2023 OC and CRC appointments process}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</span>'' </div> Hi everyone! The Ombuds commission (OC) and the Case Review Committee (CRC) are looking for members. People are encouraged to nominate themselves or encourage others they feel would contribute to these groups to do so. There is more information below about the opportunity and the skills that are needed. '''About the Ombuds commission''' The Ombuds commission (OC) works on all Wikimedia projects to investigate complaints about violations of the privacy policy, especially in use of [[m:Special:MyLanguage/CheckUser policy|CheckUser]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Oversight policy|Oversight]] (also known as Suppression) tools. The Commission mediates between the parties of the investigation and, when violations of the policies are identified, advises the Wikimedia Foundation on best handling. They may also assist the General Counsel, the Chief Executive Officer, or the Board of Trustees of the Foundation in these investigations when legally necessary. For more on the OC's duties and roles, '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Ombuds commission|see Ombuds commission on Meta-Wiki]]'''. Volunteers serving in this role should be experienced Wikimedians, active on any project, who have previously used the CheckUser/Oversight tools OR who have the technical ability to understand these tools and the willingness to learn them. They must be able to communicate in English, the common language of the commission. They are expected to be able to engage neutrally in investigating these concerns and to know when to recuse when other roles and relationships may cause conflict. Commissioners will serve '''two-year terms''' (note that this is different from past years, when the terms have been for one year). '''About the Case Review Committee''' The Case Review Committee (CRC) reviews appeals of eligible Trust & Safety office actions. The CRC is a critical layer of oversight to ensure that Wikimedia Foundation office actions are fair and unbiased. They also make sure the Wikimedia Foundation doesn’t overstep established practices or boundaries. For more about the role, '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Case Review Committee|see Case Review Committee on Meta-Wiki]]'''. We are looking for current or former functionaries and experienced volunteers with an interest in joining this group. Applicants must be fluent in English (additional languages are a strong plus) and willing to abide by the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Trust_and_Safety/Case_Review_Committee/Charter|terms of the Committee charter]]. If the work resonates and you qualify, please apply. Committee members will serve '''two-year terms''' (note that this is different from past years, when the terms have been for one year). '''Applying to join either of these groups''' Members are required to sign the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Confidentiality agreement for nonpublic information|Confidentiality agreement for nonpublic information]] and must be willing to comply with the appropriate Wikimedia Foundation board policies (such as the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Access to nonpublic information policy|access to non-public information policy]] and the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Privacy policy|Foundation privacy policy]]). These positions requires a high degree of discretion and trust. Members must also be over 18 years of age. '''If you are interested in serving in either capacity listed above,''' please write in English to the Trust and Safety team at ca[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org (to apply to the OC) or to the Legal Team at legal[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org (to apply to the CRC) with information about: * Your primary projects * Languages you speak/write * Any experience you have serving on committees, whether movement or non-movement * Your thoughts on what you could bring to the OC or CRC if appointed * Any experience you have with the Checkuser or Oversight tools (OC only) * Any other information you think is relevant '''The deadline for applications is 31 December 2022 in any timezone.''' Please feel free to pass this invitation along to any users who you think may be qualified and interested. Thank you! On behalf of the Committee Support team,<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> <!-- Message sent by User:MNadzikiewicz (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Movement_Strategy_and_Governance/Delivery&oldid=23914777 --> == Community Wishlist Survey 2023 opens in January == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> ''{{int:Please-translate}}'' (There is [[m:Community Wishlist Survey 2023 opens in January|a translatable version of this message on MetaWiki]]) {{int:Hello}} The [[m:Community Wishlist Survey 2023|'''Community Wishlist Survey (CWS) 2023''']], which lets contributors propose and vote for tools and improvements, starts next month on Monday, [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1674496831 23 January 2023, at 18:00 UTC] and will continue annually. We are inviting you to share your ideas for technical improvements to our tools and platforms. Long experience in editing or technical skills is not required. If you have ever used our software and thought of an idea to improve it, this is the place to come share those ideas! The dates for the phases of the Survey will be as follows: * Phase 1: Submit, discuss, and revise proposals – Monday, Jan 23, 2023 to Sunday, Feb 6, 2023 * Phase 2: WMF/Community Tech reviews and organizes proposals – Monday, Jan 30, 2023 to Friday, Feb 10, 2023 * Phase 3: Vote on proposals – Friday, Feb 10, 2023 to Friday, Feb 24, 2023 * Phase 4: Results posted – Tuesday, Feb 28, 2023 If you want to start writing out your ideas ahead of the Survey, you can start thinking about your proposals and draft them in [[m:Community Wishlist Survey/Sandbox|the CWS sandbox]]. We are grateful to all who participated last year. See you in January 2023! </div> {{int:Feedback-thanks-title}} <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr">Community Tech, [[m:User:STei (WMF)|STei (WMF)]]</bdi> 16:44, 15-Dekabr 2022 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Sannita (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Community_Wishlist_list_for_non-Wikipedias&oldid=24239678 --> == Global ban for PlanespotterA320/RespectCE == Per the [[m:Global bans|Global bans]] policy, I'm informing the project of this request for comment: [[m:Requests for comment/Global ban for PlanespotterA320 (2) ]] about banning a member from your community. Thank you.--[[User:Lemonaka|Lemonaka]] ([[User talk:Lemonaka|talk]]) 21:40, 6 February 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Zabe@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Lemonaka/Massmessagelist&oldid=24501599 --> == Your wiki will be in read only soon == <section begin="server-switch"/><div class="plainlinks"> [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Tech/Server switch|Bu xabarni boshqa tilda oʻqing]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Tech%2FServer+switch&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}] [[foundation:|Vikimedia Jamgʻarmasi]] birlamchi va ikkilamchi maʻlumotlar markazlari oʻrtasida oʻzgarishni sinovdan oʻtkazadi. Bu biror halokat yuz bergan taqdirda ham Vikipediya va boshqa Vikimedia vikilaridan foydalanish mumkin boʻlishini kafolatlaydi. Wikimedia Technology departamenti hamma narsa muammosiz ishlayotganiga amin boʻlishi uchun rejali sinovni amalga oshirishi zarur. Mazkur sinov bir maʼlumotlar markazidan boshqasiga ishonchli ravishda oʻtish mumkin yoki yoʻqligini koʻrsatadi. Koʻplab ishchi guruhlardan ushbu sinovga tayyorgarlik koʻrishlari va kutilmagan muammolarni bartaraf etishga shay turishlari talab etiladi. <span class="mw-translate-fuzzy">Ular barcha trafiklarni birlamchi maʻlumot markaziga '''{{#time:j xg|2023-03-01|uz}}''' kuni oʻzgartiradilar.</span> Sinov soat '''[https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/{{#time:U|2023-03-01T14:00|en}} {{#time:H:i e|2023-03-01T14:00}}]''' da boshlanadi. Taassufki, [[mw:Manual:What is MediaWiki?|MediaWiki]]dagi ayrim cheklovlar sabab serverning oʻzgarishi paytida Vikimedia loyihalarining hammasida tahrirlash imkoniyati vaqtinchalik muddatga toʻxtatilib turiladi. Bunday noqulayliklar uchun uzr soʻraymiz. '''Serverning oʻzgarishi chogʻida, barcha viki-loyihalardagi sahifalarni oʻqishingiz mumkin, biroq ularni tahrirlay olmaysiz.''' *Tahrirlash imkoniyati {{#time:l j xg Y|2023-03-01|uz}} kuni uzogʻi bir soatgacha mavjud boʻlmaydi. *Bu vaqt mobaynida biror sahifani tahrirlash va oʻzgarishlarni saqlashga urinsangiz, ekraningizga xatolik haqida ogohlantirish xabari chiqariladi. Bu vaqt mobaynida amalga oshirgan tahrirlaringiz yoʻqolib qolmasligiga umid qilamiz, biroq bunga kafolat bermaymiz. Xatolik haqida ogohlantirish xabarini koʻrsangiz, iltimos, hamma narsa joyiga tushgunga qadar kuting. Keyin, biror sahifada amalga oshirgan oʻzgarishingizni saqlash imkoniyatiga ega boʻlasiz. Ammo, „Saqlash“ tugmasini bosishdan avval amalga oshirgan oʻzgarishlaringizdan har ehtimolga qarshi nusxa olib qoʻyishingizni tavsiya etamiz. ''Boshqa taʼsirlari'': *Orqa fon vazifalari sekinlashadi va baʻzilari qoldirilishi mumkin. Qizil havolalar odatdagidek tezda yangilab turilmasligi mumkin. Yaʼni, biror sahifaga bogʻlangan maqola yaratsangiz, shu sahifadagi siz yaratgan maqolaga ishorat tezda koʻkarmasligi mumkin. Ayrim skriptlarni toʻxtatib turish kerak boʻladi. * <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">We expect the code deployments to happen as any other week.</span> <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">However, some case-by-case code freezes could punctually happen if the operation require them afterwards.</span> * <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">[[mw:Special:MyLanguage/GitLab|GitLab]] will be unavailable for about 90 minutes.</span> Mazkur rejalar lozim boʻlsa, keyinga qoldirilishi ham mumkin. Jadval bilan [[wikitech:Switch_Datacenter|wikitech.wikimedia.org saytida tanishib chiqishingiz]] mumkin. Har qanday oʻzgarishlar jadvalda eʻlon qilinib boriladi. Bu haqda koʻproq bildirishnoma boʻladi. Ushbu operatsiya boshlanishidan 30 daqiqa avval barcha vikilarda ogohlantirish banneri koʻrsatiladi. '''Iltimos, ushbu maʻlumotni jamoangiz bilan baham koʻring.'''</div><section end="server-switch"/> <span dir=ltr>[[m:User:Trizek (WMF)|Trizek (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Trizek (WMF)|{{int:talk}}]])</span> 21:21, 27-Fevral 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Trizek (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=24390465 --> :@ [[Maxsus:Contributions/187.221.71.179|187.221.71.179]] 17:51, 7-Aprel 2023 (UTC) == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Wikimania 2023 Welcoming Program Submissions</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="wikimania-program-submissions"/>[[File:Wikimania Singapore Logo.svg|right|frameless]]Do you want to host an in-person or virtual session at Wikimania 2023? Maybe a hands-on workshop, a lively discussion, a fun performance, a catchy poster, or a memorable lightning talk? [[wmania:Special:MyLanguage/2023:Program/Submissions|'''Submissions are open until March 28''']]. The event will have dedicated hybrid blocks, so virtual submissions and pre-recorded content are also welcome. If you have any questions, please join us at an upcoming conversation on March 12 or 19, or reach out by email at wikimania@wikimedia.org or on Telegram. More information on-wiki.<section end="wikimania-program-submissions"/> </div> <!-- Message sent by User:CKoerner (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=24390465 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Seeking volunteers for the next step in the Universal Code of Conduct process</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/U4C Building Committee/Nominations/Announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/U4C Building Committee/Nominations/Announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello, As follow-up to [https://lists.wikimedia.org/hyperkitty/list/wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org/message/IOMVS7W75ZYMABQGOQ2QH2JAURC3CHGH/ the message about the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines] by Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees Vice Chair, Shani Evenstein Sigalov, I am reaching out about the next steps. I want to bring your attention to the next stage of the Universal Code of Conduct process, which is forming a building committee for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C). I invite community members with experience and deep interest in community health and governance to nominate themselves to be part of the U4C building committee, which needs people who are: * Community members in good standing * Knowledgeable about movement community processes, such as, but not limited to, policy drafting, participatory decision making, and application of existing rules and policies on Wikimedia projects * Aware and appreciative of the diversity of the movement, such as, but not limited to, languages spoken, identity, geography, and project type * Committed to participate for the entire U4C Building Committee period from mid-May - December 2023 * Comfortable with engaging in difficult, but productive conversations * Confidently able to communicate in English The Building Committee shall consist of volunteer community members, affiliate board or staff, and Wikimedia Foundation staff. The Universal Code of Conduct has been a process strengthened by the skills and knowledge of the community and I look forward to what the U4C Building Committee creates. If you are interested in joining the Building Committee, please either [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/U4C_Building_Committee/Nominations|sign up on the Meta-Wiki page]], or contact ucocproject[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org by May 12, 2023. '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/U4C_Building_Committee|Read more on Meta-Wiki]]'''. Best regards,<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:Xeno (WMF)|Xeno (WMF)]] 19:01, 26-Aprel 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Xeno (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=24941045 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Selection of the U4C Building Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> The next stage in the Universal Code of Conduct process is establishing a Building Committee to create the charter for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C). The Building Committee has been selected. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/U4C_Building_Committee|Read about the members and the work ahead on Meta-wiki]].<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> -- [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Project|UCoC Project Team]], 04:21, 27-May 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25018085 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Announcing the new Elections Committee members</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections committee/Nominatons/2023/Announcement - new members|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections committee/Nominatons/2023/Announcement - new members|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections committee/Nominatons/2023/Announcement - new members}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello there, We are glad to announce [[listarchive:list/wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org/message/4TALOUFPAP2VDBR27GKRVOP7IGQYU3DB/|the new members and advisors of the Elections Committee]]. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections_committee|Elections Committee]] assists with the design and implementation of the process to select Community- and Affiliate-Selected trustees for the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees. After an open nomination process, the strongest candidates spoke with the Board and four candidates were asked to join the Elections Committee. Four other candidates were asked to participate as advisors. Thank you to all the community members who submitted their names for consideration. We look forward to working with the Elections Committee in the near future. On behalf of the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees,<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 18:00, 28-Iyun 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25018085 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Review the Charter for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/U4C Building Committee/Announcement - Review|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/U4C Building Committee/Announcement - Review}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Hello all, I am pleased to share the next step in the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal Code of Conduct|Universal Code of Conduct]] work. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) draft charter]] is now ready for your review. The [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal Code of Conduct/Enforcement guidelines|Enforcement Guidelines]] require a [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines#4.5_U4C_Building_Committee|Building Committee]] form to draft a charter that outlines procedures and details for a global committee to be called the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines#4._UCoC_Coordinating_Committee_(U4C)|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C)]]. Over the past few months, the U4C Building Committee worked together as a group to discuss and draft the U4C charter. The U4C Building Committee welcomes feedback about the draft charter now through 22 September 2023. After that date, the U4C Building Committee will revise the charter as needed and a community vote will open shortly afterward. Join the conversation during the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/U4C Building Committee#Conversation hours|conversation hours]] or on [[m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|Meta-wiki]]. Best,<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]], on behalf of the U4C Building Committee, 15:35, 28-Avgust 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25392152 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">== Opportunities open for the Affiliations Committee, Ombuds commission, and the Case Review Committee ==</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> <div style="margin:.2em 0 .5em;margin-{{#switch:{{PAGELANGUAGE}}|ar|arc|ary|arz|azb|bcc|bgn|ckb|bqi|dv|fa|fa-af|glk|ha-arab|he|kk-arab|kk-cn|ks|ku-arab|ms-arab|mzn|pnb|prd|ps|sd|ug|ur|ydd|yi=right|left}}:3ex;"> [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Committee appointments/Announcement/Short|''You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.'']] ''<span class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Committee appointments/Announcement/Short|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Committee appointments/Announcement/Short}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</span>''</div> Hi everyone! The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Affiliations Committee|Affiliations Committee]] (AffCom), [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Ombuds_commission|Ombuds commission]] (OC), and the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Trust_and_Safety/Case_Review_Committee|Case Review Committee]] (CRC) are looking for new members. These volunteer groups provide important structural and oversight support for the community and movement. People are encouraged to nominate themselves or encourage others they feel would contribute to these groups to apply. There is more information about the roles of the groups, the skills needed, and the opportunity to apply on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Legal department/Committee appointments|'''Meta-wiki page''']]. On behalf of the Committee Support team,<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> ~ [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 16:41, 9-Oktyabr 2023 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25570445 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Review and comment on the 2024 Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees selection rules package</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/wiki/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Rules package review - short| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/wiki/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Rules package review - short|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:wiki/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Rules package review - short}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Dear all, Please review and comment on the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees selection rules package from now until 29 October 2023. The selection rules package was based on older versions by the Elections Committee and will be used in the 2024 Board of Trustees selection. Providing your comments now will help them provide a smoother, better Board selection process. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024|More on the Meta-wiki page]]. Best, Katie Chan <br> Chair of the Elections Committee<br /><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> 01:13, 17-Oktyabr 2023 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25570445 --> == The Vector 2022 skin as the default in two weeks? == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> ''[[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Updates/2023-10 for sister projects|Read this in your language]] • <span class=plainlinks>[https://mediawiki.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-Reading%2FWeb%2FDesktop+Improvements%2FUpdates%2F2023-10+for+sister+projects&language=&action=page&filter= {{Int:please-translate}}]</span> • Please tell other users about these changes'' Hello. I'm writing on behalf of the [[mw:Reading/Web|Wikimedia Foundation Web team]]. '''In two weeks, we would like to make the Vector 2022 skin the default on this wiki.''' [[File:Desktop Improvements - how to enable globally.png|thumb|[[Special:GlobalPreferences|{{int:globalpreferences}}]]]] '''If you prefer keeping the current skin''' select "Vector legacy (2010)" on [[Special:GlobalPreferences#mw-prefsection-rendering|the appearance tab of the global preferences]] and save the change. We encourage you to give the new skin a try, though. Since I last came to you with this question, many things have changed. The skin is now the default on most Wikipedias, and all logos are done! We have also made some tweaks in the skin itself. Below is the text I've sent to you once, but I'm sending it again, just slightly edited, for those who haven't seen it. If you know what this is about, jump straight to the section "Our plan": <div style="margin-left:.5em; border-left:3px dotted #a2a9b1; padding-left:.5em;"> It would become the default for all logged-out users, and also all logged-in users who currently use Vector legacy as a [[Special:Preferences#mw-prefsection-rendering|local]] (but not global) preference. Logged-in users can at any time switch to any other skin. No changes are expected for these skins. <div style="width:100%; margin:auto;"><gallery widths="250" heights="180" mode="packed" caption="Top of an article"> Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2010 top.png|Vector legacy (current default) Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2022 top.png|Vector 2022 </gallery><gallery widths="250" heights="180" mode="packed" caption="A section of an article"> Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2010 scrolled.png|Vector legacy (current default) Screenshot Historia da moeda do Tíbet - 2022-09-22 - Vector 2022 scrolled.png|Vector 2022 </gallery></div> === About the skin === [[File:Wikimania 2022 Vector (2022) Presentation.pdf|thumb|Slides to our Wikimania 2022 presentation. [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yC-ItaXDe2A You may also listen to the recording on YouTube (in English)].]] '''[Why is a change necessary]''' When the current default skin was created, it reflected the needs of the readers and editors as these were 14 years ago. Since then, new users have begun using the Internet and Wikimedia projects in different ways. [[wmfblog:2022/08/18/prioritizing-equity-within-wikipedias-new-desktop/|The old Vector does not meet their needs]]. '''[Objective]''' The objective for the Vector 2022 skin is to make the interface more welcoming and comfortable for readers and useful for advanced users. It introduces a series of changes that aim to improve problems new and existing readers and editors were having with the old skin. It draws inspiration from previous user requests, the [[metawiki:Special:MyLanguage/Community_Wishlist_Survey|Community Wishlist Surveys]], and gadgets and scripts. The work helped our code follow the standards and improve all other skins. [[phab:phame/post/view/290/how_and_why_we_moved_our_skins_to_mustache/|The PHP code in the other available skins has been reduced by 75%]]. The project has also focused on making it easier to support gadgets and use APIs. [[File:Screenshot of the Vector-2022 skin's fullscreen toggle.png|thumb]] '''[Changes in a nutshell]''' The skin introduces changes that improve readability and usability. The new skin does not remove any functionality currently available on the Vector skin. * The limited width and pin-able menus allow to adjust the interface to the screen size, and focus on editing or reading. Logged-in and logged-out users may use a toggle button to keep the full width, though. * The sticky header makes it easier to find tools that editors use often. It decreases scrolling to the top of the page by 16%. * The new table of contents makes it easier to navigate to different sections. Readers and editors jump to different sections of the page 50% more than with the old table of contents. It also looks a bit different on talk pages. * The new search bar is easier to find and makes it easier to find the correct search result from the list. This increased the amount of searches started by 30% on the tested wikis. * The skin does not negatively affect pageviews, edit rates, or account creation. There is evidence of increases in pageviews and account creation across partner communities. '''[Customize this skin]''' It's possible to configure and personalize our changes. We support volunteers who create new gadgets and user scripts. Check out [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Repository|the repository]] for a list of currently available customizations and changes, or add your own. </div> === Our plan === '''If no large concerns are raised, we plan on deploying on 31 October'''. If you'd like to ask our team anything, if you have questions, concerns, or additional thoughts, please comment in any language. If this is the first comment to my message, make sure to ping me. We will gladly answer! Also, check out [[mw:Reading/Web/Desktop Improvements/Frequently asked questions|our FAQ]]. Thank you! [[User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]] ([[User talk:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|<span class="signature-talk">munozara</span>]]) 23:51, 18-Oktyabr 2023 (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:SGrabarczuk (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:SGrabarczuk_(WMF)/sandbox/MM/Varia&oldid=25764915 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Vote on the Charter for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - voting opens|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - voting opens}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello all, I am reaching out to you today to announce that the voting period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) Charter is now open. Community members may [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter/Voter_information|cast their vote and provide comments about the charter via SecurePoll]] now through '''2 February 2024'''. Those of you who voiced your opinions during the development of the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines|UCoC Enforcement Guidelines]] will find this process familiar. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|current version of the U4C Charter]] is on Meta-wiki with translations available. Read the charter, go vote and share this note with others in your community. I can confidently say the U4C Building Committee looks forward to your participation. On behalf of the UCoC Project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 18:09, 19-Yanvar 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25853527 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Last days to vote on the Charter for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - voting reminder|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - voting reminder}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello all, I am reaching out to you today to remind you that the voting period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) charter will close on '''2 February 2024'''. Community members may [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter/Voter_information|cast their vote and provide comments about the charter via SecurePoll]]. Those of you who voiced your opinions during the development of the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines|UCoC Enforcement Guidelines]] will find this process familiar. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|current version of the U4C charter]] is on Meta-wiki with translations available. Read the charter, go vote and share this note with others in your community. I can confidently say the U4C Building Committee looks forward to your participation. On behalf of the UCoC Project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 17:00, 31-Yanvar 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=25853527 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Announcing the results of the UCoC Coordinating Committee Charter ratification vote</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - results|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:wiki/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Announcement - results}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Dear all, Thank you everyone for following the progress of the Universal Code of Conduct. I am writing to you today to announce the outcome of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter/Voter_information|ratification vote]] on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee Charter]]. 1746 contributors voted in this ratification vote with 1249 voters supporting the Charter and 420 voters not. The ratification vote process allowed for voters to provide comments about the Charter. A report of voting statistics and a summary of voter comments will be published on Meta-wiki in the coming weeks. Please look forward to hearing about the next steps soon. On behalf of the UCoC Project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 18:24, 12-Fevral 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26160150 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Report of the U4C Charter ratification and U4C Call for Candidates now available</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – call for candidates| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – call for candidates}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello all, I am writing to you today with two important pieces of information. First, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter/Vote results|report of the comments from the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) Charter ratification]] is now available. Secondly, the call for candidates for the U4C is open now through April 1, 2024. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. Community members are invited to submit their applications for the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, please [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Per the charter, there are 16 seats on the U4C: eight community-at-large seats and eight regional seats to ensure the U4C represents the diversity of the movement. Read more and submit your application on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024|Meta-wiki]]. On behalf of the UCoC project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 16:25, 5-Mart 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26276337 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees 2024 Selection</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> : ''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Selection announcement| You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]]'' : ''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Selection announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Announcement/Selection announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div>'' Dear all, This year, the term of 4 (four) Community- and Affiliate-selected Trustees on the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees will come to an end [1]. The Board invites the whole movement to participate in this year’s selection process and vote to fill those seats. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections committee|Elections Committee]] will oversee this process with support from Foundation staff [2]. The Board Governance Committee created a Board Selection Working Group from Trustees who cannot be candidates in the 2024 community- and affiliate-selected trustee selection process composed of Dariusz Jemielniak, Nataliia Tymkiv, Esra'a Al Shafei, Kathy Collins, and Shani Evenstein Sigalov [3]. The group is tasked with providing Board oversight for the 2024 trustee selection process, and for keeping the Board informed. More details on the roles of the Elections Committee, Board, and staff are here [4]. Here are the key planned dates: * May 2024: Call for candidates and call for questions * June 2024: Affiliates vote to shortlist 12 candidates (no shortlisting if 15 or less candidates apply) [5] * June-August 2024: Campaign period * End of August / beginning of September 2024: Two-week community voting period * October–November 2024: Background check of selected candidates * Board's Meeting in December 2024: New trustees seated Learn more about the 2024 selection process - including the detailed timeline, the candidacy process, the campaign rules, and the voter eligibility criteria - on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024|this Meta-wiki page]], and make your plan. '''Election Volunteers''' Another way to be involved with the 2024 selection process is to be an Election Volunteer. Election Volunteers are a bridge between the Elections Committee and their respective community. They help ensure their community is represented and mobilize them to vote. Learn more about the program and how to join on this [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Election Volunteers|Meta-wiki page]]. Best regards, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Pundit|Dariusz Jemielniak]] (Governance Committee Chair, Board Selection Working Group) [1] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2021/Results#Elected [2] https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Committee:Elections_Committee_Charter [3] https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Minutes:2023-08-15#Governance_Committee [4] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections_committee/Roles [5] Even though the ideal number is 12 candidates for 4 open seats, the shortlisting process will be triggered if there are more than 15 candidates because the 1-3 candidates that are removed might feel ostracized and it would be a lot of work for affiliates to carry out the shortlisting process to only eliminate 1-3 candidates from the candidate list.<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:MPossoupe_(WMF)|MPossoupe_(WMF)]]19:57, 12-Mart 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MPossoupe (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26349432 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Vote now to select members of the first U4C</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – vote opens|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – vote opens}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Dear all, I am writing to you to let you know the voting period for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) is open now through May 9, 2024. Read the information on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024|voting page on Meta-wiki]] to learn more about voting and voter eligibility. The Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. Community members were invited to submit their applications for the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, please [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this message with members of your community so they can participate as well. On behalf of the UCoC project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 20:20, 25-Aprel 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26390244 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Sign up for the language community meeting on May 31st, 16:00 UTC</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="message"/>Hello all, The next language community meeting is scheduled in a few weeks - May 31st at 16:00 UTC. If you're interested, you can [https://www.mediawiki.org/w/index.php?title=Wikimedia_Language_engineering/Community_meetings#31_May_2024 sign up on this wiki page]. This is a participant-driven meeting, where we share language-specific updates related to various projects, collectively discuss technical issues related to language wikis, and work together to find possible solutions. For example, in the last meeting, the topics included the machine translation service (MinT) and the languages and models it currently supports, localization efforts from the Kiwix team, and technical challenges with numerical sorting in files used on Bengali Wikisource. Do you have any ideas for topics to share technical updates related to your project? Any problems that you would like to bring for discussion during the meeting? Do you need interpretation support from English to another language? Please reach out to me at ssethi(__AT__)wikimedia.org and [[etherpad:p/language-community-meeting-may-2024|add agenda items to the document here]]. We look forward to your participation! <section end="message"/> </div> <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr">[[User:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]]</bdi> 21:22, 14-May 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SSethi (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26390244 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Feedback invited on Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle/Invitation for feedback (MM)|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle/Invitation for feedback (MM)}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' [[File:Sibling Project Lifecycle Conversation 3.png|150px|right|link=:m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle]] Dear community members, The [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee|Community Affairs Committee]] (CAC) of the [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees|Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees]] invites you to give feedback on a '''[[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle|draft Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle]]'''. This draft Procedure outlines proposed steps and requirements for opening and closing Wikimedia Sibling Projects, and aims to ensure any newly approved projects are set up for success. This is separate from the procedures for opening or closing language versions of projects, which is handled by the [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Language committee|Language Committee]] or [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Closing_projects_policy|closing projects policy]]. You can find the details on [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Talk:Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Procedure for Sibling Project Lifecycle#Review|this page]], as well as the ways to give your feedback from today until the end of the day on '''June 23, 2024''', anywhere on Earth. You can also share information about this with the interested project communities you work with or support, and you can also help us translate the procedure into more languages, so people can join the discussions in their own language. On behalf of the CAC,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 02:25, 22-May 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26390244 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Announcing the first Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – results|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024/Announcement – results}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello, The scrutineers have finished reviewing the vote results. We are following up with the results of the first [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) election]]. We are pleased to announce the following individuals as regional members of the U4C, who will fulfill a two-year term: * North America (USA and Canada) ** – * Northern and Western Europe ** [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Ghilt|Ghilt]] * Latin America and Caribbean ** – * Central and East Europe (CEE) ** — * Sub-Saharan Africa ** – * Middle East and North Africa ** [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Ibrahim.ID|Ibrahim.ID]] * East, South East Asia and Pacific (ESEAP) ** [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:0xDeadbeef|0xDeadbeef]] * South Asia ** – The following individuals are elected to be community-at-large members of the U4C, fulfilling a one-year term: * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Barkeep49|Barkeep49]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Superpes15|Superpes15]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Civvì|Civvì]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/User:Luke081515|Luke081515]] * – * – * – * – Thank you again to everyone who participated in this process and much appreciation to the candidates for your leadership and dedication to the Wikimedia movement and community. Over the next few weeks, the U4C will begin meeting and planning the 2024-25 year in supporting the implementation and review of the UCoC and Enforcement Guidelines. Follow their work on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Meta-wiki]]. On behalf of the UCoC project team,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 08:15, 3-Iyun 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26390244 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">The final text of the Wikimedia Movement Charter is now on Meta</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Final draft available|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Final draft available}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hi everyone, The final text of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|Wikimedia Movement Charter]] is now up on Meta in more than 20 languages for your reading. '''What is the Wikimedia Movement Charter?''' The Wikimedia Movement Charter is a proposed document to define roles and responsibilities for all the members and entities of the Wikimedia movement, including the creation of a new body – the Global Council – for movement governance. '''Join the Wikimedia Movement Charter “Launch Party”''' Join the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Event:Movement Charter Launch Party|“Launch Party”]] on '''June 20, 2024''' at '''14.00-15.00 UTC''' ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1718892000 your local time]). During this call, we will celebrate the release of the final Charter and present the content of the Charter. Join and learn about the Charter before casting your vote. '''Movement Charter ratification vote''' Voting will commence on SecurePoll on '''June 25, 2024''' at '''00:01 UTC''' and will conclude on '''July 9, 2024''' at '''23:59 UTC.''' You can read more about the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Ratification/Voting|voting process, eligibility criteria, and other details]] on Meta. If you have any questions, please leave a comment on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Talk:Movement Charter|Meta talk page]] or email the MCDC at [mailto:mcdc@wikimedia.org mcdc@wikimedia.org]. On behalf of the MCDC,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 08:45, 11-Iyun 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26390244 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Voting to ratify the Wikimedia Movement Charter is now open – cast your vote</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Ratification vote opens|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Ratification vote opens}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello everyone, The voting to ratify the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|'''Wikimedia Movement Charter''']] is now open. The Wikimedia Movement Charter is a document to define roles and responsibilities for all the members and entities of the Wikimedia movement, including the creation of a new body – the Global Council – for movement governance. The final version of the Wikimedia Movement Charter is [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|available on Meta in different languages]] and attached [https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Wikimedia_Movement_Charter_(June_2024).pdf here in PDF format] for your reading. Voting commenced on SecurePoll on '''June 25, 2024''' at '''00:01 UTC''' and will conclude on '''July 9, 2024''' at '''23:59 UTC'''. Please read more on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Ratification/Voting|voter information and eligibility details]]. After reading the Charter, please [[Special:SecurePoll/vote/398|'''vote here''']] and share this note further. If you have any questions about the ratification vote, please contact the Charter Electoral Commission at [mailto:cec@wikimedia.org '''cec@wikimedia.org''']. On behalf of the CEC,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 10:52, 25-Iyun 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26989444 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Voting to ratify the Wikimedia Movement Charter is ending soon</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Final reminder|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Final reminder}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello everyone, This is a kind reminder that the voting period to ratify the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|Wikimedia Movement Charter]] will be closed on '''July 9, 2024''', at '''23:59 UTC'''. If you have not voted yet, please vote [[m:Special:SecurePoll/vote/398|on SecurePoll]]. On behalf of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement_Charter/Ratification/Voting#Electoral_Commission|Charter Electoral Commission]],<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 03:47, 8-Iyul 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26989444 --> :Hello. I voted. [[Foydalanuvchi:Umarxon III|Umarxon III]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Umarxon III|munozara]]) 10:36, 15-Iyul 2024 (UTC). == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">U4C Special Election - Call for Candidates</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – call for candidates|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – call for candidates}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello all, A special election has been called to fill additional vacancies on the U4C. The call for candidates phase is open from now through July 19, 2024. The [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the [[:foundation:Wikimedia Foundation Universal Code of Conduct|UCoC]]. Community members are invited to submit their applications in the special election for the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, please review the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|U4C Charter]]. In this special election, according to [[Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter#2. Elections and Terms|chapter 2 of the U4C charter]], there are 9 seats available on the U4C: '''four''' community-at-large seats and '''five''' regional seats to ensure the U4C represents the diversity of the movement. [[Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter#5. Glossary|No more than two members of the U4C can be elected from the same home wiki]]. Therefore, candidates must not have English Wikipedia, German Wikipedia, or Italian Wikipedia as their home wiki. Read more and submit your application on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election|Meta-wiki]]. In cooperation with the U4C,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> -- [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 00:03, 10-Iyul 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26989444 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Wikimedia Movement Charter ratification voting results</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Results of the ratification vote|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Movement Charter/Drafting Committee/Announcement - Results of the ratification vote}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello everyone, After carefully tallying both individual and affiliate votes, the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter/Ratification/Voting#Electoral Commission|Charter Electoral Commission]] is pleased to announce the final results of the Wikimedia Movement Charter voting.   As [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Talk:Movement Charter#Thank you for your participation in the Movement Charter ratification vote!|communicated]] by the Charter Electoral Commission, we reached the quorum for both Affiliate and individual votes by the time the vote closed on '''July 9, 23:59 UTC'''. We thank all 2,451 individuals and 129 Affiliate representatives who voted in the ratification process. Your votes and comments are invaluable for the future steps in Movement Strategy. The final results of the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Movement Charter|Wikimedia Movement Charter]] ratification voting held between 25 June and 9 July 2024 are as follows: '''Individual vote:''' Out of 2,451 individuals who voted as of July 9 23:59 (UTC), 2,446 have been accepted as valid votes. Among these, '''1,710''' voted “yes”; '''623''' voted “no”; and '''113''' selected “–” (neutral). Because the neutral votes don’t count towards the total number of votes cast, 73.30% voted to approve the Charter (1710/2333), while 26.70% voted to reject the Charter (623/2333). '''Affiliates vote:''' Out of 129 Affiliates designated voters who voted as of July 9 23:59 (UTC), 129 votes are confirmed as valid votes. Among these, '''93''' voted “yes”; '''18''' voted “no”; and '''18''' selected “–” (neutral). Because the neutral votes don’t count towards the total number of votes cast, 83.78% voted to approve the Charter (93/111), while 16.22% voted to reject the Charter (18/111). '''Board of Trustees of the Wikimedia Foundation:''' The Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees voted '''not to ratify''' the proposed Charter during their special Board meeting on July 8, 2024. The Chair of the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees, Nataliia Tymkiv, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_Board_noticeboard/Board_resolution_and_vote_on_the_proposed_Movement_Charter|shared the result of the vote, the resolution, meeting minutes and proposed next steps]].   With this, the Wikimedia Movement Charter in its current revision is '''not ratified'''. We thank you for your participation in this important moment in our movement’s governance. The Charter Electoral Commission, [[m:User:Abhinav619|Abhinav619]], [[m:User:Borschts|Borschts]], [[m:User:Iwuala Lucy|Iwuala Lucy]], [[m:User:Tochiprecious|Tochiprecious]], [[m:User:Der-Wir-Ing|Der-Wir-Ing]]<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 17:53, 18-iyul 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26989444 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Vote now to fill vacancies of the first U4C</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – voting opens|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – voting opens}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Dear all, I am writing to you to let you know the voting period for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) is open now through '''August 10, 2024'''. Read the information on the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election|voting page on Meta-wiki]] to learn more about voting and voter eligibility. The Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. Community members were invited to submit their applications for the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, please [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this message with members of your community so they can participate as well. In cooperation with the U4C,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 02:47, 27-iyul 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=26989444 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Reminder! Vote closing soon to fill vacancies of the first U4C</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – reminder to vote|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement – reminder to vote}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Dear all, The voting period for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) is closing soon. It is open through 10 August 2024. Read the information on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Election/2024_Special_Election#Voting|the voting page on Meta-wiki to learn more about voting and voter eligibility]]. If you are eligible to vote and have not voted in this special election, it is important that you vote now. '''Why should you vote?''' The U4C is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. Community input into the committee membership is critical to the success of the UCoC. Please share this message with members of your community so they can participate as well. In cooperation with the U4C,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> -- [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 15:30, 6-avgust 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27183190 --> == Logotip == @[[Foydalanuvchi:Umarxon III|Umarxon III]] ogʻa, Vikiiqtibosni logotipi inglizchaga almashib qolibdi. Oʻzgartirish kerak. [[Foydalanuvchi:Bekipediya|<span style="font-family:Hoefler Text; font-size:18px"><span style="color:#0063BF">B<small>EKIPEDIY</small>A</span></span>]]&nbsp;[[User talk:Bekipediya|<span style="color:#0063BF"><sup>''#yozishma''</sup></span>]] 14:31, 13-avgust 2024 (UTC) : Salom. Oʻzi doim shu logotipda edi. Qiladigan ishlarimiz hali juda koʻp. Vaqt boʻlganda, bu xatolikni tuzatamiz. [[Foydalanuvchi:Umarxon III|Umarxon III]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:Umarxon III|munozara]]) 16:59, 13-avgust 2024 (UTC). == Sign up for the language community meeting on August 30th, 15:00 UTC == Hi all, The next language community meeting is scheduled in a few weeks—on August 30th at 15:00 UTC. If you're interested in joining, you can [https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Language_and_Product_Localization/Community_meetings#30_August_2024 sign up on this wiki page]. This participant-driven meeting will focus on sharing language-specific updates related to various projects, discussing technical issues related to language wikis, and working together to find possible solutions. For example, in the last meeting, topics included the Language Converter, the state of language research, updates on the Incubator conversations, and technical challenges around external links not working with special characters on Bengali sites. Do you have any ideas for topics to share technical updates or discuss challenges? Please add agenda items to the document [https://etherpad.wikimedia.org/p/language-community-meeting-aug-2024 here] and reach out to ssethi(__AT__)wikimedia.org. We look forward to your participation! [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 23:20, 22-avgust 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SSethi (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27183190 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Announcing the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[https://lists.wikimedia.org/hyperkitty/list/board-elections@lists.wikimedia.org/thread/OKCCN2CANIH2K7DXJOL2GPVDFWL27R7C/ Original message at wikimedia-l]. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement - results|You can find this message translated into additional languages on Meta-wiki.]] [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Announcement - results}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Hello all, The scrutineers have finished reviewing the vote and the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Elections Committee|Elections Committee]] have certified the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election/Results|results]] for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2024 Special Election|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) special election]]. I am pleased to announce the following individual as regional members of the U4C, who will fulfill a term until 15 June 2026: * North America (USA and Canada) ** Ajraddatz The following seats were not filled during this special election: * Latin America and Caribbean * Central and East Europe (CEE) * Sub-Saharan Africa * South Asia * The four remaining Community-At-Large seats Thank you again to everyone who participated in this process and much appreciation to the candidates for your leadership and dedication to the Wikimedia movement and community. Over the next few weeks, the U4C will begin meeting and planning the 2024-25 year in supporting the implementation and review of the UCoC and Enforcement Guidelines. You can follow their work on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Meta-Wiki]]. On behalf of the U4C and the Elections Committee,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:RamzyM (WMF)|RamzyM (WMF)]] 14:06, 2-sentyabr 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27183190 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Have your say: Vote for the 2024 Board of Trustees!</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Hello all, The voting period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024|2024 Board of Trustees election]] is now open. There are twelve (12) candidates running for four (4) seats on the Board. Learn more about the candidates by [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024/Candidates|reading their statements]] and their [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2024/Questions_for_candidates|answers to community questions]]. When you are ready, go to the [[Special:SecurePoll/vote/400|SecurePoll]] voting page to vote. '''The vote is open from September 3rd at 00:00 UTC to September 17th at 23:59 UTC'''. To check your voter eligibility, please visit the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2024/Voter_eligibility_guidelines|voter eligibility page]]. Best regards, The Elections Committee and Board Selection Working Group<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 12:15, 3-sentyabr 2024 (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27183190 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Preliminary results of the 2024 Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees elections</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Hello all, Thank you to everyone who participated in the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2024|2024 Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees election]]. Close to 6000 community members from more than 180 wiki projects have voted. The following four candidates were the most voted: # [[User:Kritzolina|Christel Steigenberger]] # [[User:Nadzik|Maciej Artur Nadzikiewicz]] # [[User:Victoria|Victoria Doronina]] # [[User:Laurentius|Lorenzo Losa]] While these candidates have been ranked through the vote, they still need to be appointed to the Board of Trustees. They need to pass a successful background check and meet the qualifications outlined in the Bylaws. New trustees will be appointed at the next Board meeting in December 2024. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2024/Results|Learn more about the results on Meta-Wiki.]] Best regards, The Elections Committee and Board Selection Working Group <section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[User:MPossoupe_(WMF)|MPossoupe_(WMF)]] 08:26, 2024-yil 14-oktyabr (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:MPossoupe (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27183190 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Seeking volunteers to join several of the movement’s committees</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Each year, typically from October through December, several of the movement’s committees seek new volunteers. Read more about the committees on their Meta-wiki pages: * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Affiliations_Committee|Affiliations Committee (AffCom)]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Ombuds_commission|Ombuds commission (OC)]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation/Legal/Community Resilience and Sustainability/Trust and Safety/Case Review Committee|Case Review Committee (CRC)]] Applications for the committees open on 16 October 2024. Applications for the Affiliations Committee close on 18 November 2024, and applications for the Ombuds commission and the Case Review Committee close on 2 December 2024. Learn how to apply by [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation/Legal/Committee_appointments|visiting the appointment page on Meta-wiki]]. Post to the talk page or email [mailto:cst@wikimedia.org cst@wikimedia.org] with any questions you may have. For the Committee Support team, <section end="announcement-content" /> </div> -- [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 23:09, 2024-yil 16-oktyabr (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27601062 --> == Sign up for the language community meeting on November 29th, 16:00 UTC == Hello everyone, The next language community meeting is coming up next week, on November 29th, at 16:00 UTC (Zonestamp! For your timezone <https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1732896000>). If you're interested in joining, you can sign up on this wiki page: <https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Language_and_Product_Localization/Community_meetings#29_November_2024>. This participant-driven meeting will be organized by the Wikimedia Foundation’s Language Product Localization team and the Language Diversity Hub. There will be presentations on topics like developing language keyboards, the creation of the Moore Wikipedia, and the language support track at Wiki Indaba. We will also have members from the Wayuunaiki community joining us to share their experiences with the Incubator and as a new community within our movement. This meeting will have a Spanish interpretation. Looking forward to seeing you at the language community meeting! Cheers, [[User:SSethi (WMF)|Srishti]] 19:54, 2024-yil 21-noyabr (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SSethi (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27746256 --> == Universal Code of Conduct annual review: provide your comments on the UCoC and Enforcement Guidelines == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> My apologies for writing in English. {{Int:Please-translate}}. I am writing to you to let you know the annual review period for the Universal Code of Conduct and Enforcement Guidelines is open now. You can make suggestions for changes through 3 February 2025. This is the first step of several to be taken for the annual review. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review|Read more information and find a conversation to join on the UCoC page on Meta]]. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review was planned and implemented by the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter|you may review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this information with other members in your community wherever else might be appropriate. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 01:11, 2025-yil 24-yanvar (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=27746256 --> == Reminder: first part of the annual UCoC review closes soon == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> My apologies for writing in English. {{Int:Please-translate}}. This is a reminder that the first phase of the annual review period for the Universal Code of Conduct and Enforcement Guidelines will be closing soon. You can make suggestions for changes through [[d:Q614092|the end of day]], 3 February 2025. This is the first step of several to be taken for the annual review. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review|Read more information and find a conversation to join on the UCoC page on Meta]]. After review of the feedback, proposals for updated text will be published on Meta in March for another round of community review. Please share this information with other members in your community wherever else might be appropriate. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 00:49, 2025-yil 3-fevral (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28198931 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr"> Upcoming Language Community Meeting (Feb 28th, 14:00 UTC) and Newsletter</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="message"/> Hello everyone! [[File:WP20Symbols WIKI INCUBATOR.svg|right|frameless|150x150px|alt=An image symbolising multiple languages]] We’re excited to announce that the next '''Language Community Meeting''' is happening soon, '''February 28th at 14:00 UTC'''! If you’d like to join, simply sign up on the '''[[mw:Wikimedia_Language_and_Product_Localization/Community_meetings#28_February_2025|wiki page]]'''. This is a participant-driven meeting where we share updates on language-related projects, discuss technical challenges in language wikis, and collaborate on solutions. In our last meeting, we covered topics like developing language keyboards, creating the Moore Wikipedia, and updates from the language support track at Wiki Indaba. '''Got a topic to share?''' Whether it’s a technical update from your project, a challenge you need help with, or a request for interpretation support, we’d love to hear from you! Feel free to '''reply to this message''' or add agenda items to the document '''[[etherpad:p/language-community-meeting-feb-2025|here]]'''. Also, we wanted to highlight that the sixth edition of the Language & Internationalization newsletter (January 2025) is available here: [[:mw:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Language and Product Localization/Newsletter/2025/January|Wikimedia Language and Product Localization/Newsletter/2025/January]]. This newsletter provides updates from the October–December 2024 quarter on new feature development, improvements in various language-related technical projects and support efforts, details about community meetings, and ideas for contributing to projects. To stay updated, you can subscribe to the newsletter on its wiki page: [[:mw:Wikimedia Language and Product Localization/Newsletter|Wikimedia Language and Product Localization/Newsletter]]. We look forward to your ideas and participation at the language community meeting, see you there! <section end="message"/> </div> <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr">[[User:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]]</bdi> 08:29, 2025-yil 22-fevral (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:SSethi (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28217779 --> == Universal Code of Conduct annual review: proposed changes are available for comment == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> My apologies for writing in English. {{Int:Please-translate}}. I am writing to you to let you know that [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review/Proposed_Changes|proposed changes]] to the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines|Universal Code of Conduct (UCoC) Enforcement Guidelines]] and [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) Charter]] are open for review. '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review/Proposed_Changes|You can provide feedback on suggested changes]]''' through the [[d:Q614092|end of day]] on Tuesday, 18 March 2025. This is the second step in the annual review process, the final step will be community voting on the proposed changes. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review|Read more information and find relevant links about the process on the UCoC annual review page on Meta]]. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review was planned and implemented by the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter|you may review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this information with other members in your community wherever else might be appropriate. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] 18:51, 2025-yil 7-mart (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28307738 --> == Final proposed modifications to the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines and U4C Charter now posted == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> The proposed modifications to the [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Enforcement_guidelines|Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines]] and the U4C Charter [[m:Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review/2025/Proposed_Changes|are now on Meta-wiki for community notice]] in advance of the voting period. This final draft was developed from the previous two rounds of community review. Community members will be able to vote on these modifications starting on 17 April 2025. The vote will close on 1 May 2025, and results will be announced no later than 12 May 2025. The U4C election period, starting with a call for candidates, will open immediately following the announcement of the review results. More information will be posted on [[m:Special:MyLanguage//Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Election|the wiki page for the election]] soon. Please be advised that this process will require more messages to be sent here over the next two months. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C)]] is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review was planned and implemented by the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, you may [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this message with members of your community so they can participate as well. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User_talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 02:05, 2025-yil 4-aprel (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28469465 --> == Vote now on the revised UCoC Enforcement Guidelines and U4C Charter == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> The voting period for the revisions to the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines ("UCoC EG") and the UCoC's Coordinating Committee Charter is open now through the end of 1 May (UTC) ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1746162000 find in your time zone]). [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Annual_review/2025/Voter_information|Read the information on how to participate and read over the proposal before voting]] on the UCoC page on Meta-wiki. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C)]] is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review of the EG and Charter was planned and implemented by the U4C. Further information will be provided in the coming months about the review of the UCoC itself. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, you may [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this message with members of your community so they can participate as well. In cooperation with the U4C -- [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User_talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 00:35, 2025-yil 17-aprel (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28469465 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Vote on proposed modifications to the UCoC Enforcement Guidelines and U4C Charter</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> The voting period for the revisions to the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines and U4C Charter closes on 1 May 2025 at 23:59 UTC ([https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1746162000 find in your time zone]). [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Annual review/2025/Voter information|Read the information on how to participate and read over the proposal before voting]] on the UCoC page on Meta-wiki. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C)]] is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review was planned and implemented by the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, you may [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this message with members of your community in your language, as appropriate, so they can participate as well. In cooperation with the U4C -- <section end="announcement-content" /> </div> <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 03:41, 2025-yil 29-aprel (UTC)</div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28618011 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Call for Candidates for the Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C)</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> The results of voting on the Universal Code of Conduct Enforcement Guidelines and Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee (U4C) Charter is [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Annual review/2025#Results|available on Meta-wiki]]. You may now [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2025/Candidates|submit your candidacy to serve on the U4C]] through 29 May 2025 at 12:00 UTC. Information about [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2025|eligibility, process, and the timeline are on Meta-wiki]]. Voting on candidates will open on 1 June 2025 and run for two weeks, closing on 15 June 2025 at 12:00 UTC. If you have any questions, you can ask on [[m:Talk:Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Election/2025|the discussion page for the election]]. -- in cooperation with the U4C, </div><section end="announcement-content" /> </div> <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr">[[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User_talk:Keegan (WMF)|munozara]])</bdi> 22:07, 2025-yil 15-may (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28618011 --> == RfC ongoing regarding Abstract Wikipedia (and your project) == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> ''(Apologies for posting in English, if this is not your first language)'' Hello all! We opened a discussion on Meta about a very delicate issue for the development of [[:m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia|Abstract Wikipedia]]: where to store the abstract content that will be developed through functions from Wikifunctions and data from Wikidata. Since some of the hypothesis involve your project, we wanted to hear your thoughts too. We want to make the decision process clear: we do not yet know which option we want to use, which is why we are consulting here. We will take the arguments from the Wikimedia communities into account, and we want to consult with the different communities and hear arguments that will help us with the decision. The decision will be made and communicated after the consultation period by the Foundation. You can read the various hypothesis and have your say at [[:m:Abstract Wikipedia/Location of Abstract Content|Abstract Wikipedia/Location of Abstract Content]]. Thank you in advance! -- [[User:Sannita (WMF)|Sannita (WMF)]] ([[User talk:Sannita (WMF)|<span class="signature-talk">{{int:Talkpagelinktext}}</span>]]) 15:27, 2025-yil 22-may (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Sannita (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Sannita_(WMF)/Mass_sending_test&oldid=28768453 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees 2025 Selection & Call for Questions</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Announcement/Selection announcement|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Announcement/Selection announcement}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]'' Dear all, This year, the term of 2 (two) Community- and Affiliate-selected Trustees on the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees will come to an end [1]. The Board invites the whole movement to participate in this year’s selection process and vote to fill those seats. The Elections Committee will oversee this process with support from Foundation staff [2]. The Governance Committee, composed of trustees who are not candidates in the 2025 community-and-affiliate-selected trustee selection process (Raju Narisetti, Shani Evenstein Sigalov, Lorenzo Losa, Kathy Collins, Victoria Doronina and Esra’a Al Shafei) [3], is tasked with providing Board oversight for the 2025 trustee selection process and for keeping the Board informed. More details on the roles of the Elections Committee, Board, and staff are here [4]. Here are the key planned dates: * May 22 – June 5: Announcement (this communication) and call for questions period [6] * June 17 – July 1, 2025: Call for candidates * July 2025: If needed, affiliates vote to shortlist candidates if more than 10 apply [5] * August 2025: Campaign period * August – September 2025: Two-week community voting period * October – November 2025: Background check of selected candidates * Board’s Meeting in December 2025: New trustees seated Learn more about the 2025 selection process - including the detailed timeline, the candidacy process, the campaign rules, and the voter eligibility criteria - on this Meta-wiki page [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025|[link]]]. '''Call for Questions''' In each selection process, the community has the opportunity to submit questions for the Board of Trustees candidates to answer. The Election Committee selects questions from the list developed by the community for the candidates to answer. Candidates must answer all the required questions in the application in order to be eligible; otherwise their application will be disqualified. This year, the Election Committee will select 5 questions for the candidates to answer. The selected questions may be a combination of what’s been submitted from the community, if they’re alike or related. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/Questions_for_candidates|[link]]] '''Election Volunteers''' Another way to be involved with the 2025 selection process is to be an Election Volunteer. Election Volunteers are a bridge between the Elections Committee and their respective community. They help ensure their community is represented and mobilize them to vote. Learn more about the program and how to join on this Meta-wiki page [[m:Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/Election_volunteers|[link].]] Thank you! [1] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2022/Results [2] https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Committee:Elections_Committee_Charter [3] https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Resolution:Committee_Membership,_December_2024 [4] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections_committee/Roles [5] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/FAQ [6] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/Questions_for_candidates Best regards, Victoria Doronina Board Liaison to the Elections Committee Governance Committee<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 03:08, 2025-yil 28-may (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28618011 --> == „Bosh Sahifa“ yoki „Bosh sahifa“ == Hormang, @[[Foydalanuvchi:Umarxon III|Umarxon III]] aka. Bosh sahifa yozuvini qanday yozishni kelishib olsak yaxshi boʻlardi. Mening nazdimda „Bosh sahifa“ deb yozish imlo qoidalariga ham mos keladi. Siz nima deysiz? [[User:Bekipediya|<span style="font-family:Georgia"><span style="color:#049DFF">BEKIPEDIYA</span></span>]]&nbsp;[[User talk:Bekipediya|<span style="color:#049DFF"><sup>''<small>#yozishma</small>''</sup></span>]] 14:00, 2025-yil 9-iyun (UTC) == Vote now in the 2025 U4C Election == <div lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Apologies for writing in English. {{Int:Please-translate}} Eligible voters are asked to participate in the 2025 [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] election. More information–including an eligibility check, voting process information, candidate information, and a link to the vote–are available on Meta at the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Election/2025|2025 Election information page]]. The vote closes on 17 June 2025 at [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1750161600 12:00 UTC]. Please vote if your account is eligible. Results will be available by 1 July 2025. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 23:01, 2025-yil 13-iyun (UTC) </div> <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28848819 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees 2025 - Call for Candidates</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> :''<div class="plainlinks">[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Announcement/Call for candidates|{{int:interlanguage-link-mul}}]] • [https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Translate&group=page-{{urlencode:Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Announcement/Call for candidates}}&language=&action=page&filter= {{int:please-translate}}]</div> Hello all, The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025|call for candidates for the 2025 Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees selection is now open]] from June 17, 2025 – July 2, 2025 at 11:59 UTC [1]. The Board of Trustees oversees the Wikimedia Foundation's work, and each Trustee serves a three-year term [2]. This is a volunteer position. This year, the Wikimedia community will vote in late August through September 2025 to fill two (2) seats on the Foundation Board. Could you – or someone you know – be a good fit to join the Wikimedia Foundation's Board of Trustees? [3] Learn more about what it takes to stand for these leadership positions and how to submit your candidacy on [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Candidate application|this Meta-wiki page]] or encourage someone else to run in this year's election. Best regards, Abhishek Suryawanshi<br /> Chair of the Elections Committee On behalf of the Elections Committee and Governance Committee [1] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/Call_for_candidates [2] https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Legal:Bylaws#(B)_Term. [3] https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia_Foundation_elections/2025/Resources_for_candidates<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 17:44, 2025-yil 17-iyun (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=28866958 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Sister Projects Task Force reviews Wikispore and Wikinews</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="message"/> Dear Wikimedia Community, The [[m:Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee|Community Affairs Committee (CAC)]] of the Wikimedia Foundation Board of Trustees assigned [[m:Wikimedia Foundation Community Affairs Committee/Sister Projects Task Force|the Sister Projects Task Force (SPTF)]] to update and implement a procedure for assessing the lifecycle of Sister Projects – wiki [[m:Wikimedia projects|projects supported by Wikimedia Foundation (WMF)]]. A vision of relevant, accessible, and impactful free knowledge has always guided the Wikimedia Movement. As the ecosystem of Wikimedia projects continues to evolve, it is crucial that we periodically review existing projects to ensure they still align with our goals and community capacity. Despite their noble intent, some projects may no longer effectively serve their original purpose. '''Reviewing such projects is not about giving up – it's about responsible stewardship of shared resources'''. Volunteer time, staff support, infrastructure, and community attention are finite, and the non-technical costs tend to grow significantly as our ecosystem has entered a different age of the internet than the one we were founded in. Supporting inactive projects or projects that didn't meet our ambitions can unintentionally divert these resources from areas with more potential impact. Moreover, maintaining projects that no longer reflect the quality and reliability of the Wikimedia name stands for, involves a reputational risk. An abandoned or less reliable project affects trust in the Wikimedia movement. Lastly, '''failing to sunset or reimagine projects that are no longer working can make it much harder to start new ones'''. When the community feels bound to every past decision – no matter how outdated – we risk stagnation. A healthy ecosystem must allow for evolution, adaptation, and, when necessary, letting go. If we create the expectation that every project must exist indefinitely, we limit our ability to experiment and innovate. Because of this, SPTF reviewed two requests concerning the lifecycle of the Sister Projects to work through and demonstrate the review process. We chose Wikispore as a case study for a possible new Sister Project opening and Wikinews as a case study for a review of an existing project. Preliminary findings were discussed with the CAC, and a community consultation on both proposals was recommended. === Wikispore === The [[m:Wikispore|application to consider Wikispore]] was submitted in 2019. SPTF decided to review this request in more depth because rather than being concentrated on a specific topic, as most of the proposals for the new Sister Projects are, Wikispore has the potential to nurture multiple start-up Sister Projects. After careful consideration, the SPTF has decided '''not to recommend''' Wikispore as a Wikimedia Sister Project. Considering the current activity level, the current arrangement allows '''better flexibility''' and experimentation while WMF provides core infrastructural support. We acknowledge the initiative's potential and seek community input on what would constitute a sufficient level of activity and engagement to reconsider its status in the future. As part of the process, we shared the decision with the Wikispore community and invited one of its leaders, Pharos, to an SPTF meeting. Currently, we especially invite feedback on measurable criteria indicating the project's readiness, such as contributor numbers, content volume, and sustained community support. This would clarify the criteria sufficient for opening a new Sister Project, including possible future Wikispore re-application. However, the numbers will always be a guide because any number can be gamed. === Wikinews === We chose to review Wikinews among existing Sister Projects because it is the one for which we have observed the highest level of concern in multiple ways. Since the SPTF was convened in 2023, its members have asked for the community's opinions during conferences and community calls about Sister Projects that did not fulfil their promise in the Wikimedia movement.[https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:WCNA_2024._Sister_Projects_-_opening%3F_closing%3F_merging%3F_splitting%3F.pdf <nowiki>[1]</nowiki>][https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Foundation_Community_Affairs_Committee/Sister_Projects_Task_Force#Wikimania_2023_session_%22Sister_Projects:_past,_present_and_the_glorious_future%22 <nowiki>[2]</nowiki>][https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/WikiConvention_francophone/2024/Programme/Quelle_proc%C3%A9dure_pour_ouvrir_ou_fermer_un_projet_%3F <nowiki>[3]</nowiki>] Wikinews was the leading candidate for an evaluation because people from multiple language communities proposed it. Additionally, by most measures, it is the least active Sister Project, with the greatest drop in activity over the years. While the Language Committee routinely opens and closes language versions of the Sister Projects in small languages, there has never been a valid proposal to close Wikipedia in major languages or any project in English. This is not true for Wikinews, where there was a proposal to close English Wikinews, which gained some traction but did not result in any action[https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Proposals_for_closing_projects/Closure_of_English_Wikinews <nowiki>[4]</nowiki>][https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/WikiConvention_francophone/2024/Programme/Quelle_proc%C3%A9dure_pour_ouvrir_ou_fermer_un_projet_%3F <nowiki>[5]</nowiki>, see section 5] as well as a draft proposal to close all languages of Wikinews[https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Talk:Proposals_for_closing_projects/Archive_2#Close_Wikinews_completely,_all_languages? <nowiki>[6]</nowiki>]. [[:c:File:Sister Projects Taskforce Wikinews review 2024.pdf|Initial metrics]] compiled by WMF staff also support the community's concerns about Wikinews. Based on this report, SPTF recommends a community reevaluation of Wikinews. We conclude that its current structure and activity levels are the lowest among the existing sister projects. SPTF also recommends pausing the opening of new language editions while the consultation runs. SPTF brings this analysis to a discussion and welcomes discussions of alternative outcomes, including potential restructuring efforts or integration with other Wikimedia initiatives. '''Options''' mentioned so far (which might be applied to just low-activity languages or all languages) include but are not limited to: *Restructure how Wikinews works and is linked to other current events efforts on the projects, *Merge the content of Wikinews into the relevant language Wikipedias, possibly in a new namespace, *Merge content into compatibly licensed external projects, *Archive Wikinews projects. Your insights and perspectives are invaluable in shaping the future of these projects. We encourage all interested community members to share their thoughts on the relevant discussion pages or through other designated feedback channels. === Feedback and next steps === We'd be grateful if you want to take part in a conversation on the future of these projects and the review process. We are setting up two different project pages: [[m:Public consultation about Wikispore|Public consultation about Wikispore]] and [[m:Public consultation about Wikinews|Public consultation about Wikinews]]. Please participate between 27 June 2025 and 27 July 2025, after which we will summarize the discussion to move forward. You can write in your own language. I will also host a community conversation 16th July Wednesday 11.00 UTC and 17th July Thursday 17.00 UTC (call links to follow shortly) and will be around at Wikimania for more discussions. <section end="message"/> </div> -- [[User:Victoria|Victoria]] on behalf of the Sister Project Task Force, 20:57, 2025-yil 27-iyun (UTC) <!-- Message sent by User:Johan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Johan_(WMF)/Sister_project_MassMassage_on_behalf_of_Victoria/Target_list&oldid=28911188 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Temporary accounts will be rolled out soon</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="body"/> Hello, we are the Wikimedia Foundation [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Product Safety and Integrity|Product Safety and Integrity]] team. We would like to announce that '''we plan to enable [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/Temporary Accounts|temporary accounts]] for this wiki in the week of September 1'''. Temporary accounts are successfully live on 30 wikis, including many large ones like German, Japanese, and French. The change they bring is especially relevant to logged-out editors, who this feature is designed to protect. But it is also relevant to community members like mentors, patrollers, and admins – anyone who reverts edits, blocks users, or otherwise interacts with logged-out editors as part of keeping the wikis safe and accurate. '''Why we are building temporary accounts''' Our wikis should be safer to edit by default for logged-out editors. Temporary accounts allow people to continue editing the wikis without creating an account, while avoiding publicly tying their edits to their IP address. We believe this is in the best interest of our logged-out editors, who make valuable contributions to the wikis and who may later create accounts and grow our community of editors, admins, and other roles. Even though the wikis do warn logged-out editors that their IP address will be associated with their edit, many people may not understand what an IP address is, or that it could be used to connect them to other information about them in ways they might not expect. Additionally, our moderation software and tools rely too heavily on network origin (IP addresses) to identify users and patterns of activity, especially as IP addresses themselves are becoming less stable as identifiers. Temporary accounts allow for more precise interactions with logged-out editors, including more precise blocks, and can help limit how often we unintentionally end up blocking good-faith users who use the same IP addresses as bad-faith users. '''How temporary accounts work''' [[File:Temporary account banner and empty talk page.png|thumb]] Any time a logged-out user publishes an edit on this wiki, a cookie will be set in this user's browser, and a temporary account tied with this cookie will be automatically created. This account's name will follow the pattern: <code dir=ltr>~2025-12345-67</code> (a tilde, current year, a number). On pages like Recent Changes or page history, this name will be displayed. The cookie will expire 90 days after its creation. As long as it exists, all edits made from this device will be attributed to this temporary account. It will be the same account even if the IP address changes, unless the user clears their cookies or uses a different device or web browser. A record of the IP address used at the time of each edit will be stored for 90 days after the edit. However, only some logged-in users will be able to see it. '''What does this mean for different groups of users?''' '''For logged-out editors''' * This increases privacy: currently, if you do not use a registered account to edit, then everybody can see the IP address for the edits you made, even after 90 days. That will no longer be possible on this wiki. * If you use a temporary account to edit from different locations in the last 90 days (for example at home and at a coffee shop), the edit history and the IP addresses for all those locations will now be recorded together, for the same temporary account. Users who [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Access_to_temporary_account_IP_addresses|meet the relevant requirements]] will be able to view this data. If this creates any personal security concerns for you, please contact talktohumanrights at wikimedia.org for advice. '''For community members interacting with logged-out editors''' * A temporary account is uniquely linked to a device. In comparison, an IP address can be shared with different devices and people (for example, different people at school or at work might have the same IP address). * Compared to the current situation, it will be safer to assume that a temporary user's talk page belongs to only one person, and messages left there will be read by them. As you can see in the screenshot, temporary account users will receive notifications. It will also be possible to thank them for their edits, ping them in discussions, and invite them to get more involved in the community. '''For users who use IP address data to moderate and maintain the wiki''' * '''For patrollers''' who track persistent abusers, investigate violations of policies, etc.: Users who [[foundation:Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Access_to_temporary_account_IP_addresses|meet the requirements]] will be able to reveal temporary users' IP addresses and all contributions made by temporary accounts from a specific IP address or range ([[Special:IPContributions]]). They will also have access to useful information about the IP addresses thanks to the [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/IP Info|IP Info]] feature. Many other pieces of software have been built or adjusted to work with temporary accounts, including AbuseFilter, global blocks, Global User Contributions, and more. (For information for volunteer developers on how to update the code of your tools – see the last part of the message.) * '''For admins blocking logged-out editors''': ** It will be possible to block many abusers by just blocking their temporary accounts. A blocked person won't be able to create new temporary accounts quickly if the admin selects the [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Autoblock|autoblock]] option. ** It will still be possible to block an IP address or IP range. * Temporary accounts will not be retroactively applied to contributions made before the deployment. On Special:Contributions, you will be able to see existing IP user contributions, but not new contributions made by temporary accounts on that IP address. Instead, you should use Special:IPContributions for this. '''Our requests for you, and next steps''' * If you know of any tools, bots, gadgets etc. using data about IP addresses or being available for logged-out users, you may want to test if they work on [[testwiki:Main_Page|testwiki]] or [[test2wiki:Main_Page|test2wiki]]. If you are a volunteer developer, [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/Temporary Accounts/For developers|read our documentation for developers]], and in particular, the section on [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/Temporary Accounts/For developers#How should I update my code?|how your code might need to be updated]]. * If you want to test the temporary account experience, for example just to check what it feels like, go to testwiki or test2wiki and edit without logging in. * Tell us if you know of any difficulties that need to be addressed. We will try to help, and if we are not able, we will consider the available options. * Look at our [[m:Meta:Babel#Temporary_Accounts:_access_to_IP_addresses_and_next_steps|previous message]] about requirements for users without extended rights who may need access to IP addresses. To learn more about the project, check out [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/Temporary Accounts/FAQ|our FAQ]] – you will find many useful answers there. You may also [[mw:Special:MyLanguage/Trust and Safety Product/Temporary Accounts/Updates|look at the updates]] (we have just posted one) and [[mw:Newsletter:Product Safety and Integrity|subscribe to our new newsletter]]. If you'd like to talk to me (Szymon) off-wiki, you will find me on Discord and Telegram. Thank you!<section end="body" /> </div> <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr">[[m:user:NKohli (WMF)|NKohli (WMF)]], [[m:user:SGrabarczuk (WMF)|SGrabarczuk (WMF)]]</bdi> 21:36, 2025-yil 26-avgust (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Quiddity (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=User:Quiddity_(WMF)/sandbox6&oldid=29181713 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Have your say: vote for the 2025 Board of Trustees</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Hello all, The voting period for the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025|2025 Board of Trustees election]] is now open. Candidates are running for two (2) seats on the Board. To check your voter eligibility, please visit the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Voter eligibility guidelines|voter eligibility page]]. Learn more about them by [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation elections/2025/Candidates|reading their application statements and watch their candidacy videos]]. When you are ready, go to the [[m:Special:SecurePoll/vote/405|SecurePoll voting page to vote]]. '''The vote is open from October 8 at 00:00 UTC to October 22 at 23:59 UTC.''' Best regards, Abhishek Suryawanshi<br />Chair, Elections Committee<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 04:48, 2025-yil 9-oktyabr (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:RamzyM (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=29360896 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Help us decide the name of the new Abstract Wikipedia project</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="function1"/> {{int:Hello}}. Please help pick a name for the new Abstract Wikipedia wiki project. This project will be a wiki that will enable users to combine functions from [[:f:|Wikifunctions]] and data from Wikidata in order to generate natural language sentences in any supported languages. These sentences can then be used by any Wikipedia (or elsewhere). There will be two rounds of voting, each followed by legal review of candidates, with votes beginning on 20 October and 17 November 2025. Our goal is to have a final project name selected on mid-December 2025. If you would like to participate, then '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/Abstract Wikipedia naming contest|please learn more and vote now]]''' at meta-wiki. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} <section end="function1"/> </div> -- [[User:Sannita (WMF)|User:Sannita (WMF)]] ([[User talk:Sannita (WMF)|talk]]) 11:43, 2025-yil 20-oktyabr (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Sannita (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=29432175 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Seeking volunteers to join several of the movement’s committees</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Each year, typically from October through December, several of the movement’s committees seek new volunteers. Read more about the committees on their Meta-wiki pages: * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Affiliations Committee|Affiliations Committee (AffCom)]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Ombuds commission|Ombuds commission (OC)]] * [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation/Legal/Community Resilience and Sustainability/Trust and Safety/Case Review Committee|Case Review Committee (CRC)]] Applications for the committees open on October 30, 2025. Applications for the Affiliations Committee, Ombuds commission and the Case Review Committee close on December 11, 2025. Learn how to apply by [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Wikimedia Foundation/Legal/Committee appointments|visiting the appointment page on Meta-wiki]]. Post to the talk page or email cst[[File:At sign.svg|16x16px|link=|(_AT_)]]wikimedia.org with any questions you may have. For the Committee Support team, <section end="announcement-content" /> </div> -[[m:User:MKaur (WMF)| MKaur (WMF)]] 14:13, 2025-yil 30-oktyabr (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:MKaur (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=29517125 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Reminder: Help us decide the name of the new Abstract Wikipedia project</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="function2"/> {{int:Hello}}. Reminder: Please help to choose name for the new Abstract Wikipedia wiki project. The finalist vote starts today. The finalists for the name are: <span lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr">Abstract Wikipedia, Multilingual Wikipedia, Wikiabstracts, Wikigenerator, Proto-Wiki</span>. If you would like to participate, then '''[[m:Special:MyLanguage/Abstract Wikipedia/Abstract Wikipedia naming contest|please learn more and vote now]]''' at meta-wiki. {{Int:Feedback-thanks-title}} <section end="function2"/> </div> -- [[User:Sannita (WMF)|User:Sannita (WMF)]] ([[User talk:Sannita (WMF)|talk]]) 14:22, 2025-yil 20-noyabr (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Sannita (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=29583860 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Annual review of the Universal Code of Conduct and Enforcement Guidelines</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> I am writing to you to let you know the annual review period for the Universal Code of Conduct and Enforcement Guidelines is open now. You can make suggestions for changes through 9 February 2026. This is the first step of several to be taken for the annual review. [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Annual review/2026|Read more information and find a conversation to join on the UCoC page on Meta]]. The [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] (U4C) is a global group dedicated to providing an equitable and consistent implementation of the UCoC. This annual review was planned and implemented by the U4C. For more information and the responsibilities of the U4C, [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal Code of Conduct/Coordinating Committee/Charter|you may review the U4C Charter]]. Please share this information with other members in your community wherever else might be appropriate. -- In cooperation with the U4C, [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]])<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> 21:02, 2026-yil 19-yanvar (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=29905753 --> == Request for comment (global AI policy) == <bdi lang="en" dir="ltr" class="mw-content-ltr"> Apologies for writing in English. {{int:Please-translate}} A [[:m:Requests for comment/Artificial intelligence policy|request for comment]] is currently being held to decide on a global AI policy. {{int:Feedback-thanks-title}} [[Foydalanuvchi:MediaWiki message delivery|MediaWiki message delivery]] ([[Foydalanuvchi munozarasi:MediaWiki message delivery|munozara]]) 00:58, 2026-yil 26-aprel (UTC) </bdi> (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Codename Noreste@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=30424282 --> == <span lang="en" dir="ltr">Vote now in the 2026 U4C election</span> == <div lang="en" dir="ltr"> <section begin="announcement-content" /> Eligible voters are asked to participate in the 2026 [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee|Universal Code of Conduct Coordinating Committee]] election. More information–including an eligibility check, voting process information, candidate information, and a link to the vote–are available on Meta at the [[m:Special:MyLanguage/Universal_Code_of_Conduct/Coordinating_Committee/Election/2026|2026 Election information page]]. The vote closes on 2 June 2026 at [https://zonestamp.toolforge.org/1780358400 00:00 UTC]. Please vote if your account is eligible. Results will be available by 14 June 2026. -- In cooperation with the U4C,<section end="announcement-content" /> </div> [[m:User:Keegan (WMF)|Keegan (WMF)]] ([[m:User talk:Keegan (WMF)|talk]]) 17:15, 2026-yil 27-may (UTC) (This message was sent to [[:Munozara:Bosh Sahifa]] and is being posted here due to a redirect.) <!-- Message sent by User:Keegan (WMF)@metawiki using the list at https://meta.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Distribution_list/Global_message_delivery&oldid=30513860 --> osfv8uq0vctabvqzf8ka90o4m1qn90e Jang klubi 0 1813 30872 6970 2026-05-28T09:07:50Z Bekipediya 2189 30872 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Qartacha | Sarlavha = Jang klubi | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Vikipediya = Jang klubi | Vikilugʻat = | Vikimanba = | Vikiombor = | Vikiyangiliklar = }} '''''Jang klubi''''' — 1999-yilda suratga olingan film. David Fincher tomonidan suratga olingan. Ssenariy muallifi Jim Uhls, [[:w:Chuck Palahniuk|Chuck Palahniuk]] asari boʻyicha. == Soʻylovchi == * Odamlar doimo mendan Tyler Durdenni bilamanmi yoʻqmi soʻrayverishadi. * Aytishadiki, mayiblayotgan odamingni sen yaxshi koʻrasan. Yoki aksimidi — esimda yoʻq. * Men Tyler Durden bilgani sababli bilaman. * Va birdaniga tushunaman, bularning hammasi: pistolet, bomba, revolutsiya, — bularning hammasi qandaydir yoʻl bilan Marla ismli qiz bilan bogʻliq. * Men olti oy davomida uhlay olmagan edim. Uyqusizlikda sen uchun hamma narsa haqiqat emas; hammasi sendan ancha uzoqda, hamma harsa nushalarning nushasini nushasi. * Qanday qilib in-yan shaklidagi qahva stolchasidan voz kechish mumkin? * Qachondir biz pornografiyadan koʻz uzolmas edik — hozir esa Ikea kataloglaridan. * Men jim edim — shuning uchun odamlar mening ahvolim juda yomon deb oʻylashar edi. Ular yigʻlashardi — ammo men balandroq yigʻlardim. * Har kecha men vafot etardim, va har kecha qayta tugʻilar edim — bu Qayta Tirilish edi. * Marla... gastrolchi. Uning yolgʻoni mening yolgʻonimning oynadagi aksi edi, va birdaniga, men he-ch nar-sa-ni sezmay qoldim: men yigʻlolmay qoldim! Yana uyqusizligim qaytib keldi. * Uygʻonasan... samolyotdasan. Qayerda: Los-Anjeles, San-Fransisko? Uygʻonasan... Dallasda, Fortvordda. Qayerda boʻlmasang ham, markaziy shtatlardasan, — bu sening hayoting va u sekin-asta tugamoqda. * Sen samolyotda yashaysan. Agar boshqa vaqtda boshqa joyda uygʻonish mumkin boʻlsa, unda nega bir kun boshqa odam boʻlib uygʻonish mumkin emas? * Qayerga uchmayin, hamma joyda — hamma joyda — bir xil hayot: bir ulush shakar, bir ulush qaymoq, bir ulush sariyogʻ, mikrovolnovkada pishirilgan tovuq, paketchalardagi sovun qismlari, kichik tish tozalagichlar. Men uchratadigan odamlar ham "bir marta ishlatishlik odamlar". Ular bilan samolyot uchishi va qoʻnishi orasida gaplashishimiz mumkin — bizni boshqa vaqtimiz yoʻq! (— Xush kelibsiz!) == Tyler Durden == *— Shunday qilib: sen bu yerdasan, men u yerdaman; u yerda hojatxona. *— Janoblar, Jang klubiga xush kelibsiz. Jang klubining birinchi qoidasi: Jang klubi haqida gapirmaslik. Jang klubining ikkinchi qoidasi: Jang klubi haqida gapirmaslik! Jang klubining uchinchi qoidasi: jang boshlash uchun kimdir kimdirga tashlanadi, magʻlubligini imo-ishora bilan koʻrsatsa — jang tugaydi. Toʻrtinchi qoida: birga-bir urishmoq. Beshinchi qoida: bir martaga bir jang, yigitlar. Oltinchisi: hech qanday poyafzallar, hech qanday koʻylaklar. Yettinchisi: Janglar qancha kerak boʻlsa, shuncha davom etadi. Va eng oxirgi, sakkizinchi qoida…: agar bu sizning Jang klubidagi birinchi kechangiz boʻlsa — siz urishishingiz shart. * Mona Lisa ham toʻkilib tushmoqda… * Biz hayotdan bir tola soch masofasida edik! * Sening ishing bu sen emas, bankdagi pullaring ham sen emas. Sen haydayotgan mashinang ham. Sen — bu sening kissangdagi pullar emas. Sen — mashinangni kaliti emassan, ming lan'at. Sen — bu qoʻshiq aytayotgan va raqsga tushayotgan ahlatsan, bu dunyoning markazi… * Faqatgina hamma narsani oxirigacha yoʻqotib, sen ozodlikka ega boʻlasan. * Sen foydasiz yotgan ahlat boʻlagisan! * Odamlar — oʻz buyumlarining qullaridirlar. * Men yagona shramsiz ham oʻlishni istamayman. * Birinchi sovunni biz qahramonlarning qoldiqlaridan qilar edik. [[Turkum:Filmlar]] n7ftdyevct8ltg7p6dj2m6fzjsjjo7q Botir Parpiyev 0 3305 30873 13553 2026-05-28T09:08:23Z Bekipediya 2189 30873 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Botir Parpiyev | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = Botir Parpiyev | Vikiombor = }} '''Parpiyev Botir Rahmatovich''' — Oʻzbekiston Respublikasi davlat soliq qoʻmitasi raisi (2004-2018), bojxona qoʻmitasi raisi (2002-2004), favqulodda vaziyatlar vaziri (2002), general-leytenant. == Iqtiboslar == * Men oddiy askarman. Rahbariyat qayerga lozim topsa, sidqidildan ishlashga tayyorman. Xonadonlarga kirib odamlarning dardu qaygʻusi bilan ishlash, xalqqa xizmat qilish katta mukofot. Bildirilgan ushbu ishonch menga katta masʼuliyat yuklaydi<ref>{{cite web|url=https://xabar.uz/fdd|title=Ботир Парпиев: «Мен оддий аскарман. Қаерга лозим топишса, ишлашга тайёрман»}}</ref>. == Manbalar == {{reflist}} [[Turkum:Oʻzbekiston generallari]] [[Turkum:Oʻzbekiston yetakchilari]] egag71vk1pejrrskesg5nghradi6khx 30874 30873 2026-05-28T09:08:32Z Bekipediya 2189 added [[Category:1946-yilda tugʻilganlar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30874 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Botir Parpiyev | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = Botir Parpiyev | Vikiombor = }} '''Parpiyev Botir Rahmatovich''' — Oʻzbekiston Respublikasi davlat soliq qoʻmitasi raisi (2004-2018), bojxona qoʻmitasi raisi (2002-2004), favqulodda vaziyatlar vaziri (2002), general-leytenant. == Iqtiboslar == * Men oddiy askarman. Rahbariyat qayerga lozim topsa, sidqidildan ishlashga tayyorman. Xonadonlarga kirib odamlarning dardu qaygʻusi bilan ishlash, xalqqa xizmat qilish katta mukofot. Bildirilgan ushbu ishonch menga katta masʼuliyat yuklaydi<ref>{{cite web|url=https://xabar.uz/fdd|title=Ботир Парпиев: «Мен оддий аскарман. Қаерга лозим топишса, ишлашга тайёрман»}}</ref>. == Manbalar == {{reflist}} [[Turkum:Oʻzbekiston generallari]] [[Turkum:Oʻzbekiston yetakchilari]] [[Turkum:1946-yilda tugʻilganlar]] an5vsley2gs2uc7vdoqqq8ifqfw43ez Platforma 0 4036 30875 20069 2026-05-28T09:09:57Z Bekipediya 2189 /* Iqtiboslar */ 30875 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Qartacha | Sarlavha = Platforma | Tasvir = El hoyo prentsaurrekoa rueda de prensa.jpg | Izoh = | Vikipediya = Platforma (film) | Vikilugʻat = | Vikimanba = | Vikiombor = | Vikiyangiliklar = }} '''Platforma''' (asl ispancha nomi: “El hoyo”; {{lang-en|The Platform}}) — 2019-yilda rejissyor Galder Gaztelu-Urrutia tomonidan suratga olingan Ispaniyaning ijtimoiy-fantastik dahshatli film. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Uch turdagi odamlar mavjud: yuqoridagilar, pastdagilar va yiqilayotganlar.|Asl matn=Ci sono tre classi di persone: quelli di sopra, quelli di sotto e quelli che cadono.}} {{Q|Koʻp gapirsam charchab qolaman. Ayniqsa, oladigan maʼlumotimdan beradiganim koʻp boʻlsa.|Trimagasi|Asl matn=Parlare mi affatica. Soprattutto quando fornisco più informazioni di quelle che ricevo.}} {{Q|Buyuk ish qiluvchilar saxiy boy boʻlmay [[yovuzlik]] namunasi boʻlsa [[baxil]]ning oʻzginasidir. Axir odamni [[boylik]]mas, uni sarflash imkoniyati borligi [[baxt]]li qiladi. Albatta, oʻzi uchun emas, oʻzgalar manfaati yoʻlida.}} === Dialoglar === *'''Trimagasi:''' Oy ham endi boshlandi. Shunday ekan, nima yeyishimiz katta masala.<br>'''Goreng:''' Xoʻsh, nima yeymiz?<br>'''Trimagasi:''' Aniq-ku? Yuqoridagilardan qolganini... *'''Goreng:''' Ey, pastdagilar. Meni eshityapsizlarmi?<br>'''Trimagasi:''' Ularni chaqirma.<br>'''Goreng:''' Nega?<br>'''Trimagasi:''' Chunki ular pastda. Yuqoridagilar esa javob bermaydi.<br>'''Goreng:''' Nega?<br>'''Trimagasi:''' Aniq-ku? Chunki ular yuqorida... *'''Goreng:''' Oʻrada 200 daraja uchun yetarli yegulik mavjud emas.<br>'''Imoguiri:''' Agar har bir kishi boʻkkunicha yemaganida, yegulik pastki qavatlarga ham yetib borgan boʻlardi.<br>'''Goreng:''' Bu yerda yashab qolish qiyin.<br>'''Imoguiri:''' Toʻgʻri, huddi tashqaridagi kabi. Biroq, oxir-oqibat bu yerda oʻz-oʻzidan nimadir sodir boʻlishi kerak. Birdamlikka yetaklovchi nimadir.<br>'''Goreng:''' Bu yerda birdamlikka yetaklovchi nimadir? Demak, laʼnati oʻra shuning uchun qurilgan ekan-da. Oʻzgarish oʻz-oʻzidan sodir boʻlmaydi, senyor.<br>'''Imoguiri:''' Balki shuning uchun shu yerdadirsiz?<br>'''Goreng:''' Bu yerdan tirik chiqsam boʻlgani... [[Turkum:Filmlar]] 64s74zg086c5jk4klpi9llgwa9gjm7c Nassim Nicholas Taleb 0 5842 30862 30861 2026-05-27T12:58:12Z Bekipediya 2189 /* Iqtiboslar */ + 30862 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] h2lw4k0dwicjd296ur46yb8exbrzxbx 30864 30862 2026-05-27T17:32:35Z Bekipediya 2189 /* Iqtiboslar */ + 30864 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hatto statistika fanining asoschilari ham tasodifiy qatorlar qandaydir naqsh (tartib) koʻrsatishga majbur ekanligini unutib qoʻyishgan... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]]... sunʼiy tasodifiy sonlar generatorlari va... simulyatsiyalar uchun kiritiladigan jadvallarni yaratishdan manfaatdor boʻlgan dastlabki olimlardan biri edi. ...Ular bu jadvallarda... muntazamlik (takrorlanish) boʻlishini xohlashmagan. Biroq, haqiqiy tasodifiylik tasodifiy koʻrinmaydi! ...Bitta tasodifiy qator qandaydir naqshni namoyon etishga majbur.|Asl matn=Even the fathers of statistical science forgot that a random series is bound to exhibit some pattern... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]] was among the first scholars interested in creating artificial random number generators, tables one could use as inputs for... simulations (precursors of our Monte Carlo simulator). ...[T]hey did not want these tables to exhibit... regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random! ...A single random run is bound to exhibit some pattern ...|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻzining mashaqqatli sinovlari davomida Nero biror marta ham oʻzini 72% tirik va 28% oʻlik deb hisoblamadi.|Asl matn=At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu shunchaki raqamli imkoniyatlar haqida emas, balki muqobil (boshqacha) natija, sabab yoki motiv mavjudligiga boʻlgan ishonch haqidadir.|Asl matn=Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz koʻrinadigan, oʻzlashtirilgan, shaxsiy, hikoya qilib berilgan va qoʻl bilan ushlab boʻladigan (moddiy) narsalarni maʼqul koʻramiz; mavhum (abstrakt) narsalarga esa past nazar bilan qaraymiz.|Asl matn=We favor the visible, the embedded, the personal, the narrated, and the tangible; we scorn the abstract.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vitgenshteyn oʻlchovi: „Agar siz oʻlchagichning ishonchliligiga ishonchingiz komil boʻlmasa, stolni oʻlchash uchun oʻlchagichdan foydalanish barobarida, siz aslida oʻlchagichni oʻlchash uchun stoldan ham foydalanayotgan boʻlishingiz mumkin“.|Asl matn=Wittgenstein's ruler: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using the table to measure the ruler."|Izoh=224-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodchilar oʻz bilimlarining haqiqiy voqelikka muvofiqligi boʻyicha emas, balki qanchalik aqlli gapirayotganlari boʻyicha baholanadilar.|Asl matn=[E]conomists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.|Izoh=85-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisod — bu hikoyaviy (narrativ) fan va tushuntirishlarni oʻtmishdagi voqealar asosida moslashtirish juda oson.|Asl matn=[E]conomics is a narrative discipline, and explanations are easy to fit retrospectively.|Izoh=257-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiyotda... siz firibgarlikni tenglamalar ogʻirligi ostiga yashirishingiz mumkin va hech kim sizni qoʻlga tushira olmaydi, chunki iqtisodiyotda „nazorat qilinadigan tajriba“ degan narsa yoʻq. Endi, tanqidchilar tomonidan „ilmiylik niqobi“ (scientism) deb ataladigan bunday usullarning ruhi moliya faniga ham kirib keldi, chunki bir guruh texnik mutaxassislar oʻzlarining matematik bilimlari bozorlarni tushunishga yordam beradi deb oʻylashdi. Moliyaviy muhandislik amaliyoti oʻzi bilan birga ulkan dozalardagi soxta ilmiylikni (psevdofan) olib keldi.|Asl matn=[In] economics... you can disguise charlatanism under the weight of equations and nobody can catch you since there is no such thing as a controlled experiment. Now the spirit of such methods, called scientism by its detractors, continued into the discipline of finance as a few technicians thought their mathematical knowledge could lead them to understand markets. The practice of financial engineering came along with massive doses of pseudoscience.|Izoh=115-bet}} ===''[[w:The Black Swan (Taleb book)|The Black Swan]]: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' (2007)=== <small>Random House, 2008, {{ISBN|0-81297-918-4}}</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Men [[Karl Marx|Marks]] va [[Adam Smith]] izdoshlari bilan kelisha olmayman: erkin bozorlarning ishlash sababi odamlarga „ragʻbat“ yoki „mukofot“ berishida emas, balki agressiv „sinash va xato qilish“ orqali ularga omadli boʻlish imkonini berishidadir.|Asl matn=I disagree with the followers of [[Karl Marx|Marx]] and those of [[Adam Smith]]: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.|Izoh=xxi-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Do‘stingizning fe’l-atvori, axloqi va shaxsiy nafosati haqida tasavvurga ega bo‘lmoqchi bo‘lsangiz, unga kundalik hayotning doimiy farahbaxsh yog‘dusi ostida emas, balki og‘ir sharoitlar sinovida nazar solishingiz kerak. Jinoyatchining oddiy kunda qiladigan ishlariga qarab, u qanchalik xavfli ekanini baholay olasizmi? Vahshiy kasalliklar va epidemiyalarni inobatga olmasdan sog‘likning mohiyatini tushuna olamizmi? Darhaqiqat, odatiy holat ko‘pincha ahamiyatsizdir.|Asl matn=If you want to get an idea of a friend's temperament, ethics, and personal elegance, you need to look at him under the tests of severe circumstances, not under the regular rosy glow of daily life. Can you assess the danger a criminal poses by examining only what he does on an ordinary day? Can we understand health without considering wild diseases and epidemics? Indeed the normal is often irrelevant.|Izoh=xxix-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Millatni bayroq, bir nechta nutq va davlat madhiyasi bilan qanchalik tez va samarali tarzda qurish mumkinligi hayratlanarlidir; shu kungacha men „livanlik“ degan yorliqdan qochib, uning oʻrniga kamroq cheklovchi „levantlik“ atamasini afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a [[nation]]ality with a [[flag]], a few speeches, and a national anthem; to this day I avoid the label "Lebanese," preferring the less restrictive "Levantine" designation.|Izoh=5-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix — shaffof emas. Siz sodir boʻlgan voqealarni koʻrasiz, lekin ularni keltirib chiqargan ssenariyni emas, [...] Tarixiy voqealarning generatori voqealarning oʻzidan farq qiladi, xuddi xudolarning aqlini ularning qilmishlariga qarab oʻqib boʻlmaganidek.|Asl matn=History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Turkumlash insonlar uchun zarur, biroq qachonki bu turkum yakuniy va oʻzgarmas deb qaralsa, u patologik (kasallik) tus oladi. Bu esa odamlarga chegaralarning noaniqligini tushunishga, qolaversa, oʻz turkumlarini qayta koʻrib chiqishga toʻsqinlik qiladi.|Asl matn=Categorizing is necessary for humans, but it becomes pathological when the category is seen as definitive, preventing people from considering the fuzziness of boundaries, let alone revising their categories.|Izoh=15-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Shu narsa haqiqatligicha qoladiki, siz nima toʻgʻri ekanini bilishdan koʻra, nima notoʻgʻri ekanini ancha yuqori ishonch bilan bilasiz.|Asl matn=But it remains the case that you know what is wrong with a lot more confidence than you know what is right.|Izoh=58-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz bilimlardan terapiya (ruhiy dalda) sifatida foydalanishga moyilmiz.|Asl matn=We tend to use knowledge as therapy.|Izoh=69-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kurkaning tajribasi nafaqat qiymatsiz, balki „salbiy qiymatga“ ega boʻlishi mumkinligini hisobga oling. U barchamizga tavsiya qilinganidek, kuzatuv orqali oʻrgangan (axir, ilmiy metod deb shuni aytishadi-ku!). Doʻstona boqib turishlar soni koʻpaygani sari uning ishonchi ortib bordi va soʻyish muqarrar boʻlib qolganiga qaramay, u oʻzini tobora xavfsizroq his qildi. Eʼtibor bering, xavf eng yuqori choʻqqiga chiqqanda, xavfsizlik hissi ham maksimal darajaga yetgan edi!|Asl matn=Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a ''negative value''. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!|Izoh=40–41-betlar (Taleb kurka haqidagi ushbu masalni [[Bertrand Rassel]]ga nisbat beradi, Rassel esa aslida tovuq haqida yozgan edi.)}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kazino — men biladigan yagona insoniy faoliyatdirki, unda ehtimolliklar maʼlum, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]]cha (yaʼni, qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq) va deyarli hisoblab chiqiladigan darajadadir.|Asl matn=The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gaussian]] (i.e., bell-curve), and almost computable.|Izoh=127-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu gumanitar fan; u skeptitsizmning (shubha qilishning) farzandidir, belida kalkulyator koʻtarib yurgan, oʻzining chiroyli hisob-kitoblar va „aniqlik“ka boʻlgan xohishini qondirmoqchi boʻlgan odamlar uchun vosita emas.|Asl matn=Probability is a liberal art; it is a child of skepticism, not a tool for people with calculators on their belts to satisfy their desire to produce fancy calculations and certainties.|Izoh=128-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tasodifiy boʻlmagan, lekin u haqidagi maʼlumotlar yetarli boʻlmagan oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish (...) bilan tasodifiy oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish oʻrtasida hech qanday samarali farq yoʻq. Shu maʼnoda, taxmin qilish (men bilmaydigan, lekin boshqa birov bilishi mumkin boʻlgan narsani) va bashorat qilish (hali sodir boʻlmagan narsani) bir xil narsadir.|Asl matn=There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.|Izoh=142-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kumulativ (yigʻilib boruvchi) xatolar asosan katta kutilmagan hodisalar va katta imkoniyatlarga bogʻliq. Iqtisodiy, moliyaviy va siyosiy bashoratchilar nafaqat ularni oʻtkazib yuborishadi, balki mijozlariga biron bir noodatiy narsa aytishdan uyalishadi — holbuki, „voqealar, maʼlum boʻlishicha, deyarli har doim noodatiy (gʻayrioddiy) boʻladi.“|Asl matn=Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet ''events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.''|Izoh=149-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar daryo oʻrtacha toʻrt fut chuqurlikda boʻlsa, uni kechib oʻtmang.|Asl matn=Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.|Izoh=161-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Byurokratlarning bashoratlari adekvat siyosat yuritish uchun emas, koʻproq xavotirni bosish (tinchlantirish) uchun ishlatiladi.|Asl matn=Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.|Izoh=162-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bir xil oʻtmishdagi maʼlumotlar ham nazariyani, ham uning mutlaqo teskarisini tasdiqlashi mumkin! Agar siz ertagacha omon qolsangiz, bu yo (a) sizning oʻlmas boʻlish ehtimolingiz yuqoriroqligini yoki (b) siz oʻlimga yana bir kun yaqinlashganingizni anglatishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.|Izoh=185-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson oʻz xatolarga moyilligini tan olish orqali hokimiyatni (obroʻni) oʻrnatolmaydi. Oddiy qilib aytganda, odamlar bilim bilan koʻr boʻlishlari kerak — biz odamlarni bir joyga toʻplay oladigan yetakchilarga ergashishga mahkum etilganmiz, chunki guruhda boʻlishning afzalliklari yolgʻiz qolishning kamchiliklaridan ustun turadi. Toʻgʻri yoʻlda yolgʻiz qolgandan koʻra, notoʻgʻri yoʻlda jipslashgan holda harakat qilish biz uchun foydaliroq boʻlib kelgan. Introspektiv (oʻzini tahlil qiluvchi) donishmanddan koʻra, oʻziga ishongan ahmoqqa ergashganlar oʻz genlarining bir qismini bizga meros qoldirganlar. Bu ijtimoiy patologiyada yaqqol koʻrinadi: psixopatlar oʻz ortidan ergashuvchilarni toʻplaydi.|Asl matn=One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.|Izoh=192-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nazariy jihatdan tasodifiylik ichki xususiyat boʻlsa-da, amalda tasodifiylik bu „toʻliq boʻlmagan maʼlumot“dir.|Asl matn=While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is ''incomplete information''.|Izoh=198-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Eʼtiqodlarni ularning haqiqatga yaqinligi (ishonarliligi) boʻyicha emas, balki ular keltirib chiqarishi mumkin boʻlgan zarar miqdori boʻyicha baholang.|Asl matn=Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.|Izoh=203-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bu katta shaharlarda yashashni bebaho qiladi, chunki siz kutilmagan baxtli hodisalar ehtimolini oshirasiz — siz „baxtli tasodiflar muhiti“ga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters — you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.|Izoh=209-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Globallashuv oʻzaro bogʻliq moʻrtlikni yaratadi, shu bilan birga oʻzgaruvchanlikni kamaytirib, barqarorlik koʻrinishini beradi. Boshqacha aytganda, u vayronkor „Qora qushlar“ni keltirib chiqaradi. Biz ilgari hech qachon global qulash tahdidi ostida yashamaganmiz. Moliya institutlari kam sonli juda yirik banklarga birlashib bormoqda. Deyarli barcha banklar oʻzaro bogʻliq. Shunday qilib, moliyaviy ekotizim gigant, qarindosh-urugʻchilikka asoslangan, byurokratik banklarga aylanib bormoqda — biri qulasa, hammasi qulaydi. Banklar oʻrtasidagi kuchayib borayotgan konsentratsiya moliyaviy inqirozni kamroq ehtimolli qilgandek tuyuladi, lekin ular yuz berganda, ular global koʻlamda boʻladi va bizga juda qattiq zarba beradi. Biz turli kredit siyosatiga ega boʻlgan kichik banklarning diversifikatsiyalangan ekotizimidan, bir-biriga oʻxshash firmalarning yanada bir xil (gomogen) tizimiga oʻtdik. Toʻgʻri, bizda endi bankrotliklar kamroq, lekin ular yuz berganda... bu oʻy haqida oʻylasam etim junjikib ketadi.|Asl matn=Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating [[w:Black swan theory|Black Swans]]. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur... I shiver at the thought.|Izoh=225–226-betlar}} === Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)=== :<small>''[[w:Financial Times|Financial Times]]'', 2009-04-07, [https://www.ft.com/content/5d5aa24e-23a4-11de-996a-00144feabdc0 source].</small> == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] 9gveb1dlr4wwiloiz5bt1iacofatol1 30865 30864 2026-05-28T02:24:45Z Bekipediya 2189 /* Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009) */ + 30865 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hatto statistika fanining asoschilari ham tasodifiy qatorlar qandaydir naqsh (tartib) koʻrsatishga majbur ekanligini unutib qoʻyishgan... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]]... sunʼiy tasodifiy sonlar generatorlari va... simulyatsiyalar uchun kiritiladigan jadvallarni yaratishdan manfaatdor boʻlgan dastlabki olimlardan biri edi. ...Ular bu jadvallarda... muntazamlik (takrorlanish) boʻlishini xohlashmagan. Biroq, haqiqiy tasodifiylik tasodifiy koʻrinmaydi! ...Bitta tasodifiy qator qandaydir naqshni namoyon etishga majbur.|Asl matn=Even the fathers of statistical science forgot that a random series is bound to exhibit some pattern... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]] was among the first scholars interested in creating artificial random number generators, tables one could use as inputs for... simulations (precursors of our Monte Carlo simulator). ...[T]hey did not want these tables to exhibit... regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random! ...A single random run is bound to exhibit some pattern ...|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻzining mashaqqatli sinovlari davomida Nero biror marta ham oʻzini 72% tirik va 28% oʻlik deb hisoblamadi.|Asl matn=At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu shunchaki raqamli imkoniyatlar haqida emas, balki muqobil (boshqacha) natija, sabab yoki motiv mavjudligiga boʻlgan ishonch haqidadir.|Asl matn=Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz koʻrinadigan, oʻzlashtirilgan, shaxsiy, hikoya qilib berilgan va qoʻl bilan ushlab boʻladigan (moddiy) narsalarni maʼqul koʻramiz; mavhum (abstrakt) narsalarga esa past nazar bilan qaraymiz.|Asl matn=We favor the visible, the embedded, the personal, the narrated, and the tangible; we scorn the abstract.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vitgenshteyn oʻlchovi: „Agar siz oʻlchagichning ishonchliligiga ishonchingiz komil boʻlmasa, stolni oʻlchash uchun oʻlchagichdan foydalanish barobarida, siz aslida oʻlchagichni oʻlchash uchun stoldan ham foydalanayotgan boʻlishingiz mumkin“.|Asl matn=Wittgenstein's ruler: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using the table to measure the ruler."|Izoh=224-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodchilar oʻz bilimlarining haqiqiy voqelikka muvofiqligi boʻyicha emas, balki qanchalik aqlli gapirayotganlari boʻyicha baholanadilar.|Asl matn=[E]conomists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.|Izoh=85-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisod — bu hikoyaviy (narrativ) fan va tushuntirishlarni oʻtmishdagi voqealar asosida moslashtirish juda oson.|Asl matn=[E]conomics is a narrative discipline, and explanations are easy to fit retrospectively.|Izoh=257-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiyotda... siz firibgarlikni tenglamalar ogʻirligi ostiga yashirishingiz mumkin va hech kim sizni qoʻlga tushira olmaydi, chunki iqtisodiyotda „nazorat qilinadigan tajriba“ degan narsa yoʻq. Endi, tanqidchilar tomonidan „ilmiylik niqobi“ (scientism) deb ataladigan bunday usullarning ruhi moliya faniga ham kirib keldi, chunki bir guruh texnik mutaxassislar oʻzlarining matematik bilimlari bozorlarni tushunishga yordam beradi deb oʻylashdi. Moliyaviy muhandislik amaliyoti oʻzi bilan birga ulkan dozalardagi soxta ilmiylikni (psevdofan) olib keldi.|Asl matn=[In] economics... you can disguise charlatanism under the weight of equations and nobody can catch you since there is no such thing as a controlled experiment. Now the spirit of such methods, called scientism by its detractors, continued into the discipline of finance as a few technicians thought their mathematical knowledge could lead them to understand markets. The practice of financial engineering came along with massive doses of pseudoscience.|Izoh=115-bet}} ===''[[w:The Black Swan (Taleb book)|The Black Swan]]: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' (2007)=== <small>Random House, 2008, {{ISBN|0-81297-918-4}}</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Men [[Karl Marx|Marks]] va [[Adam Smith]] izdoshlari bilan kelisha olmayman: erkin bozorlarning ishlash sababi odamlarga „ragʻbat“ yoki „mukofot“ berishida emas, balki agressiv „sinash va xato qilish“ orqali ularga omadli boʻlish imkonini berishidadir.|Asl matn=I disagree with the followers of [[Karl Marx|Marx]] and those of [[Adam Smith]]: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.|Izoh=xxi-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Do‘stingizning fe’l-atvori, axloqi va shaxsiy nafosati haqida tasavvurga ega bo‘lmoqchi bo‘lsangiz, unga kundalik hayotning doimiy farahbaxsh yog‘dusi ostida emas, balki og‘ir sharoitlar sinovida nazar solishingiz kerak. Jinoyatchining oddiy kunda qiladigan ishlariga qarab, u qanchalik xavfli ekanini baholay olasizmi? Vahshiy kasalliklar va epidemiyalarni inobatga olmasdan sog‘likning mohiyatini tushuna olamizmi? Darhaqiqat, odatiy holat ko‘pincha ahamiyatsizdir.|Asl matn=If you want to get an idea of a friend's temperament, ethics, and personal elegance, you need to look at him under the tests of severe circumstances, not under the regular rosy glow of daily life. Can you assess the danger a criminal poses by examining only what he does on an ordinary day? Can we understand health without considering wild diseases and epidemics? Indeed the normal is often irrelevant.|Izoh=xxix-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Millatni bayroq, bir nechta nutq va davlat madhiyasi bilan qanchalik tez va samarali tarzda qurish mumkinligi hayratlanarlidir; shu kungacha men „livanlik“ degan yorliqdan qochib, uning oʻrniga kamroq cheklovchi „levantlik“ atamasini afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a [[nation]]ality with a [[flag]], a few speeches, and a national anthem; to this day I avoid the label "Lebanese," preferring the less restrictive "Levantine" designation.|Izoh=5-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix — shaffof emas. Siz sodir boʻlgan voqealarni koʻrasiz, lekin ularni keltirib chiqargan ssenariyni emas, [...] Tarixiy voqealarning generatori voqealarning oʻzidan farq qiladi, xuddi xudolarning aqlini ularning qilmishlariga qarab oʻqib boʻlmaganidek.|Asl matn=History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Turkumlash insonlar uchun zarur, biroq qachonki bu turkum yakuniy va oʻzgarmas deb qaralsa, u patologik (kasallik) tus oladi. Bu esa odamlarga chegaralarning noaniqligini tushunishga, qolaversa, oʻz turkumlarini qayta koʻrib chiqishga toʻsqinlik qiladi.|Asl matn=Categorizing is necessary for humans, but it becomes pathological when the category is seen as definitive, preventing people from considering the fuzziness of boundaries, let alone revising their categories.|Izoh=15-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Shu narsa haqiqatligicha qoladiki, siz nima toʻgʻri ekanini bilishdan koʻra, nima notoʻgʻri ekanini ancha yuqori ishonch bilan bilasiz.|Asl matn=But it remains the case that you know what is wrong with a lot more confidence than you know what is right.|Izoh=58-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz bilimlardan terapiya (ruhiy dalda) sifatida foydalanishga moyilmiz.|Asl matn=We tend to use knowledge as therapy.|Izoh=69-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kurkaning tajribasi nafaqat qiymatsiz, balki „salbiy qiymatga“ ega boʻlishi mumkinligini hisobga oling. U barchamizga tavsiya qilinganidek, kuzatuv orqali oʻrgangan (axir, ilmiy metod deb shuni aytishadi-ku!). Doʻstona boqib turishlar soni koʻpaygani sari uning ishonchi ortib bordi va soʻyish muqarrar boʻlib qolganiga qaramay, u oʻzini tobora xavfsizroq his qildi. Eʼtibor bering, xavf eng yuqori choʻqqiga chiqqanda, xavfsizlik hissi ham maksimal darajaga yetgan edi!|Asl matn=Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a ''negative value''. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!|Izoh=40–41-betlar (Taleb kurka haqidagi ushbu masalni [[Bertrand Rassel]]ga nisbat beradi, Rassel esa aslida tovuq haqida yozgan edi.)}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kazino — men biladigan yagona insoniy faoliyatdirki, unda ehtimolliklar maʼlum, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]]cha (yaʼni, qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq) va deyarli hisoblab chiqiladigan darajadadir.|Asl matn=The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gaussian]] (i.e., bell-curve), and almost computable.|Izoh=127-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu gumanitar fan; u skeptitsizmning (shubha qilishning) farzandidir, belida kalkulyator koʻtarib yurgan, oʻzining chiroyli hisob-kitoblar va „aniqlik“ka boʻlgan xohishini qondirmoqchi boʻlgan odamlar uchun vosita emas.|Asl matn=Probability is a liberal art; it is a child of skepticism, not a tool for people with calculators on their belts to satisfy their desire to produce fancy calculations and certainties.|Izoh=128-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tasodifiy boʻlmagan, lekin u haqidagi maʼlumotlar yetarli boʻlmagan oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish (...) bilan tasodifiy oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish oʻrtasida hech qanday samarali farq yoʻq. Shu maʼnoda, taxmin qilish (men bilmaydigan, lekin boshqa birov bilishi mumkin boʻlgan narsani) va bashorat qilish (hali sodir boʻlmagan narsani) bir xil narsadir.|Asl matn=There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.|Izoh=142-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kumulativ (yigʻilib boruvchi) xatolar asosan katta kutilmagan hodisalar va katta imkoniyatlarga bogʻliq. Iqtisodiy, moliyaviy va siyosiy bashoratchilar nafaqat ularni oʻtkazib yuborishadi, balki mijozlariga biron bir noodatiy narsa aytishdan uyalishadi — holbuki, „voqealar, maʼlum boʻlishicha, deyarli har doim noodatiy (gʻayrioddiy) boʻladi.“|Asl matn=Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet ''events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.''|Izoh=149-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar daryo oʻrtacha toʻrt fut chuqurlikda boʻlsa, uni kechib oʻtmang.|Asl matn=Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.|Izoh=161-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Byurokratlarning bashoratlari adekvat siyosat yuritish uchun emas, koʻproq xavotirni bosish (tinchlantirish) uchun ishlatiladi.|Asl matn=Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.|Izoh=162-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bir xil oʻtmishdagi maʼlumotlar ham nazariyani, ham uning mutlaqo teskarisini tasdiqlashi mumkin! Agar siz ertagacha omon qolsangiz, bu yo (a) sizning oʻlmas boʻlish ehtimolingiz yuqoriroqligini yoki (b) siz oʻlimga yana bir kun yaqinlashganingizni anglatishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.|Izoh=185-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson oʻz xatolarga moyilligini tan olish orqali hokimiyatni (obroʻni) oʻrnatolmaydi. Oddiy qilib aytganda, odamlar bilim bilan koʻr boʻlishlari kerak — biz odamlarni bir joyga toʻplay oladigan yetakchilarga ergashishga mahkum etilganmiz, chunki guruhda boʻlishning afzalliklari yolgʻiz qolishning kamchiliklaridan ustun turadi. Toʻgʻri yoʻlda yolgʻiz qolgandan koʻra, notoʻgʻri yoʻlda jipslashgan holda harakat qilish biz uchun foydaliroq boʻlib kelgan. Introspektiv (oʻzini tahlil qiluvchi) donishmanddan koʻra, oʻziga ishongan ahmoqqa ergashganlar oʻz genlarining bir qismini bizga meros qoldirganlar. Bu ijtimoiy patologiyada yaqqol koʻrinadi: psixopatlar oʻz ortidan ergashuvchilarni toʻplaydi.|Asl matn=One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.|Izoh=192-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nazariy jihatdan tasodifiylik ichki xususiyat boʻlsa-da, amalda tasodifiylik bu „toʻliq boʻlmagan maʼlumot“dir.|Asl matn=While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is ''incomplete information''.|Izoh=198-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Eʼtiqodlarni ularning haqiqatga yaqinligi (ishonarliligi) boʻyicha emas, balki ular keltirib chiqarishi mumkin boʻlgan zarar miqdori boʻyicha baholang.|Asl matn=Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.|Izoh=203-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bu katta shaharlarda yashashni bebaho qiladi, chunki siz kutilmagan baxtli hodisalar ehtimolini oshirasiz — siz „baxtli tasodiflar muhiti“ga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters — you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.|Izoh=209-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Globallashuv oʻzaro bogʻliq moʻrtlikni yaratadi, shu bilan birga oʻzgaruvchanlikni kamaytirib, barqarorlik koʻrinishini beradi. Boshqacha aytganda, u vayronkor „Qora qushlar“ni keltirib chiqaradi. Biz ilgari hech qachon global qulash tahdidi ostida yashamaganmiz. Moliya institutlari kam sonli juda yirik banklarga birlashib bormoqda. Deyarli barcha banklar oʻzaro bogʻliq. Shunday qilib, moliyaviy ekotizim gigant, qarindosh-urugʻchilikka asoslangan, byurokratik banklarga aylanib bormoqda — biri qulasa, hammasi qulaydi. Banklar oʻrtasidagi kuchayib borayotgan konsentratsiya moliyaviy inqirozni kamroq ehtimolli qilgandek tuyuladi, lekin ular yuz berganda, ular global koʻlamda boʻladi va bizga juda qattiq zarba beradi. Biz turli kredit siyosatiga ega boʻlgan kichik banklarning diversifikatsiyalangan ekotizimidan, bir-biriga oʻxshash firmalarning yanada bir xil (gomogen) tizimiga oʻtdik. Toʻgʻri, bizda endi bankrotliklar kamroq, lekin ular yuz berganda... bu oʻy haqida oʻylasam etim junjikib ketadi.|Asl matn=Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating [[w:Black swan theory|Black Swans]]. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur... I shiver at the thought.|Izoh=225–226-betlar}} === Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)=== :<small>''[[w:Financial Times|Financial Times]]'', 2009-04-07, [https://www.ft.com/content/5d5aa24e-23a4-11de-996a-00144feabdc0 source].</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy muassasalar (universitetlar, regulyatorlar, markaziy bankirlar, hukumat amaldorlari va iqtisodchilar bilan toʻldirilgan turli tashkilotlar) tizimning barbod boʻlishi bilan oʻz qonuniyligini yoʻqotdi. Bizni bu botqoqlikdan chiqarib olish uchun bunday ekspertlarning qobiliyatiga ishonish mas’uliyatsizlik va ahmoqlikdir. Buning oʻrniga, qoʻli toza (tizimga aloqador boʻlmagan yoki xato qilmagan) aqlli odamlarni izlang.|Asl matn=The economics establishment (universities, regulators, central bankers, government officials, various organisations staffed with economists) lost its legitimacy with the failure of the system. It is irresponsible and foolish to put our trust in the ability of such experts to get us out of this mess. Instead, find the smart people whose hands are clean.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bizni bugungi holatga keltirgan narsa — bonus tizimidagi asimmetriya (notenglik). Jazolashsiz ragʻbatlantirish boʻlmasligi kerak: kapitalizm — bu faqat mukofot emas, balki mukofotlar va jazolarning uygʻunligidir.|Asl matn=It is the asymmetry of the bonus system that got us here. No incentives without disincentives: capitalism is about rewards and punishments, not just rewards.}} == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] kinvbyp6x9ye1o79j1pkohuyp649vht 30866 30865 2026-05-28T02:57:54Z Bekipediya 2189 /* Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009) */ + 30866 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hatto statistika fanining asoschilari ham tasodifiy qatorlar qandaydir naqsh (tartib) koʻrsatishga majbur ekanligini unutib qoʻyishgan... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]]... sunʼiy tasodifiy sonlar generatorlari va... simulyatsiyalar uchun kiritiladigan jadvallarni yaratishdan manfaatdor boʻlgan dastlabki olimlardan biri edi. ...Ular bu jadvallarda... muntazamlik (takrorlanish) boʻlishini xohlashmagan. Biroq, haqiqiy tasodifiylik tasodifiy koʻrinmaydi! ...Bitta tasodifiy qator qandaydir naqshni namoyon etishga majbur.|Asl matn=Even the fathers of statistical science forgot that a random series is bound to exhibit some pattern... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]] was among the first scholars interested in creating artificial random number generators, tables one could use as inputs for... simulations (precursors of our Monte Carlo simulator). ...[T]hey did not want these tables to exhibit... regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random! ...A single random run is bound to exhibit some pattern ...|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻzining mashaqqatli sinovlari davomida Nero biror marta ham oʻzini 72% tirik va 28% oʻlik deb hisoblamadi.|Asl matn=At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu shunchaki raqamli imkoniyatlar haqida emas, balki muqobil (boshqacha) natija, sabab yoki motiv mavjudligiga boʻlgan ishonch haqidadir.|Asl matn=Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz koʻrinadigan, oʻzlashtirilgan, shaxsiy, hikoya qilib berilgan va qoʻl bilan ushlab boʻladigan (moddiy) narsalarni maʼqul koʻramiz; mavhum (abstrakt) narsalarga esa past nazar bilan qaraymiz.|Asl matn=We favor the visible, the embedded, the personal, the narrated, and the tangible; we scorn the abstract.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vitgenshteyn oʻlchovi: „Agar siz oʻlchagichning ishonchliligiga ishonchingiz komil boʻlmasa, stolni oʻlchash uchun oʻlchagichdan foydalanish barobarida, siz aslida oʻlchagichni oʻlchash uchun stoldan ham foydalanayotgan boʻlishingiz mumkin“.|Asl matn=Wittgenstein's ruler: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using the table to measure the ruler."|Izoh=224-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodchilar oʻz bilimlarining haqiqiy voqelikka muvofiqligi boʻyicha emas, balki qanchalik aqlli gapirayotganlari boʻyicha baholanadilar.|Asl matn=[E]conomists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.|Izoh=85-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisod — bu hikoyaviy (narrativ) fan va tushuntirishlarni oʻtmishdagi voqealar asosida moslashtirish juda oson.|Asl matn=[E]conomics is a narrative discipline, and explanations are easy to fit retrospectively.|Izoh=257-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiyotda... siz firibgarlikni tenglamalar ogʻirligi ostiga yashirishingiz mumkin va hech kim sizni qoʻlga tushira olmaydi, chunki iqtisodiyotda „nazorat qilinadigan tajriba“ degan narsa yoʻq. Endi, tanqidchilar tomonidan „ilmiylik niqobi“ (scientism) deb ataladigan bunday usullarning ruhi moliya faniga ham kirib keldi, chunki bir guruh texnik mutaxassislar oʻzlarining matematik bilimlari bozorlarni tushunishga yordam beradi deb oʻylashdi. Moliyaviy muhandislik amaliyoti oʻzi bilan birga ulkan dozalardagi soxta ilmiylikni (psevdofan) olib keldi.|Asl matn=[In] economics... you can disguise charlatanism under the weight of equations and nobody can catch you since there is no such thing as a controlled experiment. Now the spirit of such methods, called scientism by its detractors, continued into the discipline of finance as a few technicians thought their mathematical knowledge could lead them to understand markets. The practice of financial engineering came along with massive doses of pseudoscience.|Izoh=115-bet}} ===''[[w:The Black Swan (Taleb book)|The Black Swan]]: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' (2007)=== <small>Random House, 2008, {{ISBN|0-81297-918-4}}</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Men [[Karl Marx|Marks]] va [[Adam Smith]] izdoshlari bilan kelisha olmayman: erkin bozorlarning ishlash sababi odamlarga „ragʻbat“ yoki „mukofot“ berishida emas, balki agressiv „sinash va xato qilish“ orqali ularga omadli boʻlish imkonini berishidadir.|Asl matn=I disagree with the followers of [[Karl Marx|Marx]] and those of [[Adam Smith]]: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.|Izoh=xxi-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Do‘stingizning fe’l-atvori, axloqi va shaxsiy nafosati haqida tasavvurga ega bo‘lmoqchi bo‘lsangiz, unga kundalik hayotning doimiy farahbaxsh yog‘dusi ostida emas, balki og‘ir sharoitlar sinovida nazar solishingiz kerak. Jinoyatchining oddiy kunda qiladigan ishlariga qarab, u qanchalik xavfli ekanini baholay olasizmi? Vahshiy kasalliklar va epidemiyalarni inobatga olmasdan sog‘likning mohiyatini tushuna olamizmi? Darhaqiqat, odatiy holat ko‘pincha ahamiyatsizdir.|Asl matn=If you want to get an idea of a friend's temperament, ethics, and personal elegance, you need to look at him under the tests of severe circumstances, not under the regular rosy glow of daily life. Can you assess the danger a criminal poses by examining only what he does on an ordinary day? Can we understand health without considering wild diseases and epidemics? Indeed the normal is often irrelevant.|Izoh=xxix-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Millatni bayroq, bir nechta nutq va davlat madhiyasi bilan qanchalik tez va samarali tarzda qurish mumkinligi hayratlanarlidir; shu kungacha men „livanlik“ degan yorliqdan qochib, uning oʻrniga kamroq cheklovchi „levantlik“ atamasini afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a [[nation]]ality with a [[flag]], a few speeches, and a national anthem; to this day I avoid the label "Lebanese," preferring the less restrictive "Levantine" designation.|Izoh=5-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix — shaffof emas. Siz sodir boʻlgan voqealarni koʻrasiz, lekin ularni keltirib chiqargan ssenariyni emas, [...] Tarixiy voqealarning generatori voqealarning oʻzidan farq qiladi, xuddi xudolarning aqlini ularning qilmishlariga qarab oʻqib boʻlmaganidek.|Asl matn=History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Turkumlash insonlar uchun zarur, biroq qachonki bu turkum yakuniy va oʻzgarmas deb qaralsa, u patologik (kasallik) tus oladi. Bu esa odamlarga chegaralarning noaniqligini tushunishga, qolaversa, oʻz turkumlarini qayta koʻrib chiqishga toʻsqinlik qiladi.|Asl matn=Categorizing is necessary for humans, but it becomes pathological when the category is seen as definitive, preventing people from considering the fuzziness of boundaries, let alone revising their categories.|Izoh=15-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Shu narsa haqiqatligicha qoladiki, siz nima toʻgʻri ekanini bilishdan koʻra, nima notoʻgʻri ekanini ancha yuqori ishonch bilan bilasiz.|Asl matn=But it remains the case that you know what is wrong with a lot more confidence than you know what is right.|Izoh=58-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz bilimlardan terapiya (ruhiy dalda) sifatida foydalanishga moyilmiz.|Asl matn=We tend to use knowledge as therapy.|Izoh=69-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kurkaning tajribasi nafaqat qiymatsiz, balki „salbiy qiymatga“ ega boʻlishi mumkinligini hisobga oling. U barchamizga tavsiya qilinganidek, kuzatuv orqali oʻrgangan (axir, ilmiy metod deb shuni aytishadi-ku!). Doʻstona boqib turishlar soni koʻpaygani sari uning ishonchi ortib bordi va soʻyish muqarrar boʻlib qolganiga qaramay, u oʻzini tobora xavfsizroq his qildi. Eʼtibor bering, xavf eng yuqori choʻqqiga chiqqanda, xavfsizlik hissi ham maksimal darajaga yetgan edi!|Asl matn=Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a ''negative value''. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!|Izoh=40–41-betlar (Taleb kurka haqidagi ushbu masalni [[Bertrand Rassel]]ga nisbat beradi, Rassel esa aslida tovuq haqida yozgan edi.)}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kazino — men biladigan yagona insoniy faoliyatdirki, unda ehtimolliklar maʼlum, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]]cha (yaʼni, qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq) va deyarli hisoblab chiqiladigan darajadadir.|Asl matn=The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gaussian]] (i.e., bell-curve), and almost computable.|Izoh=127-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu gumanitar fan; u skeptitsizmning (shubha qilishning) farzandidir, belida kalkulyator koʻtarib yurgan, oʻzining chiroyli hisob-kitoblar va „aniqlik“ka boʻlgan xohishini qondirmoqchi boʻlgan odamlar uchun vosita emas.|Asl matn=Probability is a liberal art; it is a child of skepticism, not a tool for people with calculators on their belts to satisfy their desire to produce fancy calculations and certainties.|Izoh=128-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tasodifiy boʻlmagan, lekin u haqidagi maʼlumotlar yetarli boʻlmagan oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish (...) bilan tasodifiy oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish oʻrtasida hech qanday samarali farq yoʻq. Shu maʼnoda, taxmin qilish (men bilmaydigan, lekin boshqa birov bilishi mumkin boʻlgan narsani) va bashorat qilish (hali sodir boʻlmagan narsani) bir xil narsadir.|Asl matn=There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.|Izoh=142-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kumulativ (yigʻilib boruvchi) xatolar asosan katta kutilmagan hodisalar va katta imkoniyatlarga bogʻliq. Iqtisodiy, moliyaviy va siyosiy bashoratchilar nafaqat ularni oʻtkazib yuborishadi, balki mijozlariga biron bir noodatiy narsa aytishdan uyalishadi — holbuki, „voqealar, maʼlum boʻlishicha, deyarli har doim noodatiy (gʻayrioddiy) boʻladi.“|Asl matn=Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet ''events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.''|Izoh=149-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar daryo oʻrtacha toʻrt fut chuqurlikda boʻlsa, uni kechib oʻtmang.|Asl matn=Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.|Izoh=161-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Byurokratlarning bashoratlari adekvat siyosat yuritish uchun emas, koʻproq xavotirni bosish (tinchlantirish) uchun ishlatiladi.|Asl matn=Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.|Izoh=162-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bir xil oʻtmishdagi maʼlumotlar ham nazariyani, ham uning mutlaqo teskarisini tasdiqlashi mumkin! Agar siz ertagacha omon qolsangiz, bu yo (a) sizning oʻlmas boʻlish ehtimolingiz yuqoriroqligini yoki (b) siz oʻlimga yana bir kun yaqinlashganingizni anglatishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.|Izoh=185-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson oʻz xatolarga moyilligini tan olish orqali hokimiyatni (obroʻni) oʻrnatolmaydi. Oddiy qilib aytganda, odamlar bilim bilan koʻr boʻlishlari kerak — biz odamlarni bir joyga toʻplay oladigan yetakchilarga ergashishga mahkum etilganmiz, chunki guruhda boʻlishning afzalliklari yolgʻiz qolishning kamchiliklaridan ustun turadi. Toʻgʻri yoʻlda yolgʻiz qolgandan koʻra, notoʻgʻri yoʻlda jipslashgan holda harakat qilish biz uchun foydaliroq boʻlib kelgan. Introspektiv (oʻzini tahlil qiluvchi) donishmanddan koʻra, oʻziga ishongan ahmoqqa ergashganlar oʻz genlarining bir qismini bizga meros qoldirganlar. Bu ijtimoiy patologiyada yaqqol koʻrinadi: psixopatlar oʻz ortidan ergashuvchilarni toʻplaydi.|Asl matn=One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.|Izoh=192-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nazariy jihatdan tasodifiylik ichki xususiyat boʻlsa-da, amalda tasodifiylik bu „toʻliq boʻlmagan maʼlumot“dir.|Asl matn=While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is ''incomplete information''.|Izoh=198-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Eʼtiqodlarni ularning haqiqatga yaqinligi (ishonarliligi) boʻyicha emas, balki ular keltirib chiqarishi mumkin boʻlgan zarar miqdori boʻyicha baholang.|Asl matn=Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.|Izoh=203-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bu katta shaharlarda yashashni bebaho qiladi, chunki siz kutilmagan baxtli hodisalar ehtimolini oshirasiz — siz „baxtli tasodiflar muhiti“ga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters — you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.|Izoh=209-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Globallashuv oʻzaro bogʻliq moʻrtlikni yaratadi, shu bilan birga oʻzgaruvchanlikni kamaytirib, barqarorlik koʻrinishini beradi. Boshqacha aytganda, u vayronkor „Qora qushlar“ni keltirib chiqaradi. Biz ilgari hech qachon global qulash tahdidi ostida yashamaganmiz. Moliya institutlari kam sonli juda yirik banklarga birlashib bormoqda. Deyarli barcha banklar oʻzaro bogʻliq. Shunday qilib, moliyaviy ekotizim gigant, qarindosh-urugʻchilikka asoslangan, byurokratik banklarga aylanib bormoqda — biri qulasa, hammasi qulaydi. Banklar oʻrtasidagi kuchayib borayotgan konsentratsiya moliyaviy inqirozni kamroq ehtimolli qilgandek tuyuladi, lekin ular yuz berganda, ular global koʻlamda boʻladi va bizga juda qattiq zarba beradi. Biz turli kredit siyosatiga ega boʻlgan kichik banklarning diversifikatsiyalangan ekotizimidan, bir-biriga oʻxshash firmalarning yanada bir xil (gomogen) tizimiga oʻtdik. Toʻgʻri, bizda endi bankrotliklar kamroq, lekin ular yuz berganda... bu oʻy haqida oʻylasam etim junjikib ketadi.|Asl matn=Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating [[w:Black swan theory|Black Swans]]. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur... I shiver at the thought.|Izoh=225–226-betlar}} === Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)=== :<small>''[[w:Financial Times|Financial Times]]'', 2009-04-07, [https://www.ft.com/content/5d5aa24e-23a4-11de-996a-00144feabdc0 source].</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy muassasalar (universitetlar, regulyatorlar, markaziy bankirlar, hukumat amaldorlari va iqtisodchilar bilan toʻldirilgan turli tashkilotlar) tizimning barbod boʻlishi bilan oʻz qonuniyligini yoʻqotdi. Bizni bu botqoqlikdan chiqarib olish uchun bunday ekspertlarning qobiliyatiga ishonish mas’uliyatsizlik va ahmoqlikdir. Buning oʻrniga, qoʻli toza (tizimga aloqador boʻlmagan yoki xato qilmagan) aqlli odamlarni izlang.|Asl matn=The economics establishment (universities, regulators, central bankers, government officials, various organisations staffed with economists) lost its legitimacy with the failure of the system. It is irresponsible and foolish to put our trust in the ability of such experts to get us out of this mess. Instead, find the smart people whose hands are clean.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bizni bugungi holatga keltirgan narsa — bonus tizimidagi asimmetriya (notenglik). Jazolashsiz ragʻbatlantirish boʻlmasligi kerak: kapitalizm — bu faqat mukofot emas, balki mukofotlar va jazolarning uygʻunligidir.|Asl matn=It is the asymmetry of the bonus system that got us here. No incentives without disincentives: capitalism is about rewards and punishments, not just rewards.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faqat [[w:Ponzi sxemasi|Ponzi sxemalari]] ishonchga tayanib qolishi kerak. Hukumatlar hech qachon „ishonchni tiklash“ga muhtoj boʻlmasligi kerak. Kaskadli (zanjirsimon) mish-mishlar — bu murakkab tizimlarning mahsulidir. Hukumatlar mish-mishlarni toʻxtata olmaydi. Oddiygina qilib aytganda, biz mish-mishlarga mensimay qaraydigan, ularga nisbatan mustahkam (robust) boʻlgan pozitsiyada turishimiz kerak.|Asl matn=Only [[w:Ponzi scheme|Ponzi schemes]] should depend on confidence. Governments should never need to “restore confidence.” Cascading rumours are a product of complex systems. Governments cannot stop the rumours. Simply, we need to be in a position to shrug off rumours, be robust in the face of them.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qarz muammosini koʻproq qarz olish bilan davolash — bu gomeopatiya emas, bu inkor etishdir. Qarz inqirozi vaqtinchalik muammo emas, bu tizimli muammo. Bizga reabilitatsiya (tizimli davolanish) kerak.|Asl matn=Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not [[wikt:homeopathy#Noun|homeopathy]], it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy hayot „moliya zanjirlaridan“ xalos etilishi kerak. Biz bozorlarni qiymat saqlash ombori sifatida ishlatmaslikni oʻrganishimiz lozim: ular oddiy fuqarolarga kerak boʻlgan aniqliklarni taʼminlay olmaydi. Fuqarolar oʻzlarining nazoratidagi bizneslari haqida xavotirda boʻlishlari kerak, nazorati ularning qoʻlida boʻlmagan investitsiyalari haqida emas.|Asl matn=Economic life should be [[w:financialization|definancialised]]. We should learn not to use markets as storehouses of value: they do not harbour the certainties that normal citizens require. Citizens should experience anxiety about their own businesses (which they control), not their [[investment]]s (which they do not control).|Izoh=Talebning iqtisodiy falsafasidan}} === ''[[w:The Bed of Procrustes|The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms]]'' (2010) === == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] mzsiphf6z7wyvkzbm8xh3iyskr1zov9 30867 30866 2026-05-28T03:16:30Z Bekipediya 2189 /* The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010) */ + 30867 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hatto statistika fanining asoschilari ham tasodifiy qatorlar qandaydir naqsh (tartib) koʻrsatishga majbur ekanligini unutib qoʻyishgan... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]]... sunʼiy tasodifiy sonlar generatorlari va... simulyatsiyalar uchun kiritiladigan jadvallarni yaratishdan manfaatdor boʻlgan dastlabki olimlardan biri edi. ...Ular bu jadvallarda... muntazamlik (takrorlanish) boʻlishini xohlashmagan. Biroq, haqiqiy tasodifiylik tasodifiy koʻrinmaydi! ...Bitta tasodifiy qator qandaydir naqshni namoyon etishga majbur.|Asl matn=Even the fathers of statistical science forgot that a random series is bound to exhibit some pattern... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]] was among the first scholars interested in creating artificial random number generators, tables one could use as inputs for... simulations (precursors of our Monte Carlo simulator). ...[T]hey did not want these tables to exhibit... regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random! ...A single random run is bound to exhibit some pattern ...|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻzining mashaqqatli sinovlari davomida Nero biror marta ham oʻzini 72% tirik va 28% oʻlik deb hisoblamadi.|Asl matn=At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu shunchaki raqamli imkoniyatlar haqida emas, balki muqobil (boshqacha) natija, sabab yoki motiv mavjudligiga boʻlgan ishonch haqidadir.|Asl matn=Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz koʻrinadigan, oʻzlashtirilgan, shaxsiy, hikoya qilib berilgan va qoʻl bilan ushlab boʻladigan (moddiy) narsalarni maʼqul koʻramiz; mavhum (abstrakt) narsalarga esa past nazar bilan qaraymiz.|Asl matn=We favor the visible, the embedded, the personal, the narrated, and the tangible; we scorn the abstract.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vitgenshteyn oʻlchovi: „Agar siz oʻlchagichning ishonchliligiga ishonchingiz komil boʻlmasa, stolni oʻlchash uchun oʻlchagichdan foydalanish barobarida, siz aslida oʻlchagichni oʻlchash uchun stoldan ham foydalanayotgan boʻlishingiz mumkin“.|Asl matn=Wittgenstein's ruler: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using the table to measure the ruler."|Izoh=224-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodchilar oʻz bilimlarining haqiqiy voqelikka muvofiqligi boʻyicha emas, balki qanchalik aqlli gapirayotganlari boʻyicha baholanadilar.|Asl matn=[E]conomists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.|Izoh=85-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisod — bu hikoyaviy (narrativ) fan va tushuntirishlarni oʻtmishdagi voqealar asosida moslashtirish juda oson.|Asl matn=[E]conomics is a narrative discipline, and explanations are easy to fit retrospectively.|Izoh=257-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiyotda... siz firibgarlikni tenglamalar ogʻirligi ostiga yashirishingiz mumkin va hech kim sizni qoʻlga tushira olmaydi, chunki iqtisodiyotda „nazorat qilinadigan tajriba“ degan narsa yoʻq. Endi, tanqidchilar tomonidan „ilmiylik niqobi“ (scientism) deb ataladigan bunday usullarning ruhi moliya faniga ham kirib keldi, chunki bir guruh texnik mutaxassislar oʻzlarining matematik bilimlari bozorlarni tushunishga yordam beradi deb oʻylashdi. Moliyaviy muhandislik amaliyoti oʻzi bilan birga ulkan dozalardagi soxta ilmiylikni (psevdofan) olib keldi.|Asl matn=[In] economics... you can disguise charlatanism under the weight of equations and nobody can catch you since there is no such thing as a controlled experiment. Now the spirit of such methods, called scientism by its detractors, continued into the discipline of finance as a few technicians thought their mathematical knowledge could lead them to understand markets. The practice of financial engineering came along with massive doses of pseudoscience.|Izoh=115-bet}} ===''[[w:The Black Swan (Taleb book)|The Black Swan]]: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' (2007)=== <small>Random House, 2008, {{ISBN|0-81297-918-4}}</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Men [[Karl Marx|Marks]] va [[Adam Smith]] izdoshlari bilan kelisha olmayman: erkin bozorlarning ishlash sababi odamlarga „ragʻbat“ yoki „mukofot“ berishida emas, balki agressiv „sinash va xato qilish“ orqali ularga omadli boʻlish imkonini berishidadir.|Asl matn=I disagree with the followers of [[Karl Marx|Marx]] and those of [[Adam Smith]]: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.|Izoh=xxi-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Do‘stingizning fe’l-atvori, axloqi va shaxsiy nafosati haqida tasavvurga ega bo‘lmoqchi bo‘lsangiz, unga kundalik hayotning doimiy farahbaxsh yog‘dusi ostida emas, balki og‘ir sharoitlar sinovida nazar solishingiz kerak. Jinoyatchining oddiy kunda qiladigan ishlariga qarab, u qanchalik xavfli ekanini baholay olasizmi? Vahshiy kasalliklar va epidemiyalarni inobatga olmasdan sog‘likning mohiyatini tushuna olamizmi? Darhaqiqat, odatiy holat ko‘pincha ahamiyatsizdir.|Asl matn=If you want to get an idea of a friend's temperament, ethics, and personal elegance, you need to look at him under the tests of severe circumstances, not under the regular rosy glow of daily life. Can you assess the danger a criminal poses by examining only what he does on an ordinary day? Can we understand health without considering wild diseases and epidemics? Indeed the normal is often irrelevant.|Izoh=xxix-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Millatni bayroq, bir nechta nutq va davlat madhiyasi bilan qanchalik tez va samarali tarzda qurish mumkinligi hayratlanarlidir; shu kungacha men „livanlik“ degan yorliqdan qochib, uning oʻrniga kamroq cheklovchi „levantlik“ atamasini afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a [[nation]]ality with a [[flag]], a few speeches, and a national anthem; to this day I avoid the label "Lebanese," preferring the less restrictive "Levantine" designation.|Izoh=5-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix — shaffof emas. Siz sodir boʻlgan voqealarni koʻrasiz, lekin ularni keltirib chiqargan ssenariyni emas, [...] Tarixiy voqealarning generatori voqealarning oʻzidan farq qiladi, xuddi xudolarning aqlini ularning qilmishlariga qarab oʻqib boʻlmaganidek.|Asl matn=History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Turkumlash insonlar uchun zarur, biroq qachonki bu turkum yakuniy va oʻzgarmas deb qaralsa, u patologik (kasallik) tus oladi. Bu esa odamlarga chegaralarning noaniqligini tushunishga, qolaversa, oʻz turkumlarini qayta koʻrib chiqishga toʻsqinlik qiladi.|Asl matn=Categorizing is necessary for humans, but it becomes pathological when the category is seen as definitive, preventing people from considering the fuzziness of boundaries, let alone revising their categories.|Izoh=15-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Shu narsa haqiqatligicha qoladiki, siz nima toʻgʻri ekanini bilishdan koʻra, nima notoʻgʻri ekanini ancha yuqori ishonch bilan bilasiz.|Asl matn=But it remains the case that you know what is wrong with a lot more confidence than you know what is right.|Izoh=58-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz bilimlardan terapiya (ruhiy dalda) sifatida foydalanishga moyilmiz.|Asl matn=We tend to use knowledge as therapy.|Izoh=69-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kurkaning tajribasi nafaqat qiymatsiz, balki „salbiy qiymatga“ ega boʻlishi mumkinligini hisobga oling. U barchamizga tavsiya qilinganidek, kuzatuv orqali oʻrgangan (axir, ilmiy metod deb shuni aytishadi-ku!). Doʻstona boqib turishlar soni koʻpaygani sari uning ishonchi ortib bordi va soʻyish muqarrar boʻlib qolganiga qaramay, u oʻzini tobora xavfsizroq his qildi. Eʼtibor bering, xavf eng yuqori choʻqqiga chiqqanda, xavfsizlik hissi ham maksimal darajaga yetgan edi!|Asl matn=Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a ''negative value''. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!|Izoh=40–41-betlar (Taleb kurka haqidagi ushbu masalni [[Bertrand Rassel]]ga nisbat beradi, Rassel esa aslida tovuq haqida yozgan edi.)}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kazino — men biladigan yagona insoniy faoliyatdirki, unda ehtimolliklar maʼlum, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]]cha (yaʼni, qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq) va deyarli hisoblab chiqiladigan darajadadir.|Asl matn=The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gaussian]] (i.e., bell-curve), and almost computable.|Izoh=127-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu gumanitar fan; u skeptitsizmning (shubha qilishning) farzandidir, belida kalkulyator koʻtarib yurgan, oʻzining chiroyli hisob-kitoblar va „aniqlik“ka boʻlgan xohishini qondirmoqchi boʻlgan odamlar uchun vosita emas.|Asl matn=Probability is a liberal art; it is a child of skepticism, not a tool for people with calculators on their belts to satisfy their desire to produce fancy calculations and certainties.|Izoh=128-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tasodifiy boʻlmagan, lekin u haqidagi maʼlumotlar yetarli boʻlmagan oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish (...) bilan tasodifiy oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish oʻrtasida hech qanday samarali farq yoʻq. Shu maʼnoda, taxmin qilish (men bilmaydigan, lekin boshqa birov bilishi mumkin boʻlgan narsani) va bashorat qilish (hali sodir boʻlmagan narsani) bir xil narsadir.|Asl matn=There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.|Izoh=142-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kumulativ (yigʻilib boruvchi) xatolar asosan katta kutilmagan hodisalar va katta imkoniyatlarga bogʻliq. Iqtisodiy, moliyaviy va siyosiy bashoratchilar nafaqat ularni oʻtkazib yuborishadi, balki mijozlariga biron bir noodatiy narsa aytishdan uyalishadi — holbuki, „voqealar, maʼlum boʻlishicha, deyarli har doim noodatiy (gʻayrioddiy) boʻladi.“|Asl matn=Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet ''events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.''|Izoh=149-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar daryo oʻrtacha toʻrt fut chuqurlikda boʻlsa, uni kechib oʻtmang.|Asl matn=Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.|Izoh=161-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Byurokratlarning bashoratlari adekvat siyosat yuritish uchun emas, koʻproq xavotirni bosish (tinchlantirish) uchun ishlatiladi.|Asl matn=Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.|Izoh=162-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bir xil oʻtmishdagi maʼlumotlar ham nazariyani, ham uning mutlaqo teskarisini tasdiqlashi mumkin! Agar siz ertagacha omon qolsangiz, bu yo (a) sizning oʻlmas boʻlish ehtimolingiz yuqoriroqligini yoki (b) siz oʻlimga yana bir kun yaqinlashganingizni anglatishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.|Izoh=185-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson oʻz xatolarga moyilligini tan olish orqali hokimiyatni (obroʻni) oʻrnatolmaydi. Oddiy qilib aytganda, odamlar bilim bilan koʻr boʻlishlari kerak — biz odamlarni bir joyga toʻplay oladigan yetakchilarga ergashishga mahkum etilganmiz, chunki guruhda boʻlishning afzalliklari yolgʻiz qolishning kamchiliklaridan ustun turadi. Toʻgʻri yoʻlda yolgʻiz qolgandan koʻra, notoʻgʻri yoʻlda jipslashgan holda harakat qilish biz uchun foydaliroq boʻlib kelgan. Introspektiv (oʻzini tahlil qiluvchi) donishmanddan koʻra, oʻziga ishongan ahmoqqa ergashganlar oʻz genlarining bir qismini bizga meros qoldirganlar. Bu ijtimoiy patologiyada yaqqol koʻrinadi: psixopatlar oʻz ortidan ergashuvchilarni toʻplaydi.|Asl matn=One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.|Izoh=192-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nazariy jihatdan tasodifiylik ichki xususiyat boʻlsa-da, amalda tasodifiylik bu „toʻliq boʻlmagan maʼlumot“dir.|Asl matn=While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is ''incomplete information''.|Izoh=198-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Eʼtiqodlarni ularning haqiqatga yaqinligi (ishonarliligi) boʻyicha emas, balki ular keltirib chiqarishi mumkin boʻlgan zarar miqdori boʻyicha baholang.|Asl matn=Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.|Izoh=203-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bu katta shaharlarda yashashni bebaho qiladi, chunki siz kutilmagan baxtli hodisalar ehtimolini oshirasiz — siz „baxtli tasodiflar muhiti“ga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters — you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.|Izoh=209-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Globallashuv oʻzaro bogʻliq moʻrtlikni yaratadi, shu bilan birga oʻzgaruvchanlikni kamaytirib, barqarorlik koʻrinishini beradi. Boshqacha aytganda, u vayronkor „Qora qushlar“ni keltirib chiqaradi. Biz ilgari hech qachon global qulash tahdidi ostida yashamaganmiz. Moliya institutlari kam sonli juda yirik banklarga birlashib bormoqda. Deyarli barcha banklar oʻzaro bogʻliq. Shunday qilib, moliyaviy ekotizim gigant, qarindosh-urugʻchilikka asoslangan, byurokratik banklarga aylanib bormoqda — biri qulasa, hammasi qulaydi. Banklar oʻrtasidagi kuchayib borayotgan konsentratsiya moliyaviy inqirozni kamroq ehtimolli qilgandek tuyuladi, lekin ular yuz berganda, ular global koʻlamda boʻladi va bizga juda qattiq zarba beradi. Biz turli kredit siyosatiga ega boʻlgan kichik banklarning diversifikatsiyalangan ekotizimidan, bir-biriga oʻxshash firmalarning yanada bir xil (gomogen) tizimiga oʻtdik. Toʻgʻri, bizda endi bankrotliklar kamroq, lekin ular yuz berganda... bu oʻy haqida oʻylasam etim junjikib ketadi.|Asl matn=Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating [[w:Black swan theory|Black Swans]]. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur... I shiver at the thought.|Izoh=225–226-betlar}} === Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)=== :<small>''[[w:Financial Times|Financial Times]]'', 2009-04-07, [https://www.ft.com/content/5d5aa24e-23a4-11de-996a-00144feabdc0 source].</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy muassasalar (universitetlar, regulyatorlar, markaziy bankirlar, hukumat amaldorlari va iqtisodchilar bilan toʻldirilgan turli tashkilotlar) tizimning barbod boʻlishi bilan oʻz qonuniyligini yoʻqotdi. Bizni bu botqoqlikdan chiqarib olish uchun bunday ekspertlarning qobiliyatiga ishonish mas’uliyatsizlik va ahmoqlikdir. Buning oʻrniga, qoʻli toza (tizimga aloqador boʻlmagan yoki xato qilmagan) aqlli odamlarni izlang.|Asl matn=The economics establishment (universities, regulators, central bankers, government officials, various organisations staffed with economists) lost its legitimacy with the failure of the system. It is irresponsible and foolish to put our trust in the ability of such experts to get us out of this mess. Instead, find the smart people whose hands are clean.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bizni bugungi holatga keltirgan narsa — bonus tizimidagi asimmetriya (notenglik). Jazolashsiz ragʻbatlantirish boʻlmasligi kerak: kapitalizm — bu faqat mukofot emas, balki mukofotlar va jazolarning uygʻunligidir.|Asl matn=It is the asymmetry of the bonus system that got us here. No incentives without disincentives: capitalism is about rewards and punishments, not just rewards.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faqat [[w:Ponzi sxemasi|Ponzi sxemalari]] ishonchga tayanib qolishi kerak. Hukumatlar hech qachon „ishonchni tiklash“ga muhtoj boʻlmasligi kerak. Kaskadli (zanjirsimon) mish-mishlar — bu murakkab tizimlarning mahsulidir. Hukumatlar mish-mishlarni toʻxtata olmaydi. Oddiygina qilib aytganda, biz mish-mishlarga mensimay qaraydigan, ularga nisbatan mustahkam (robust) boʻlgan pozitsiyada turishimiz kerak.|Asl matn=Only [[w:Ponzi scheme|Ponzi schemes]] should depend on confidence. Governments should never need to “restore confidence.” Cascading rumours are a product of complex systems. Governments cannot stop the rumours. Simply, we need to be in a position to shrug off rumours, be robust in the face of them.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qarz muammosini koʻproq qarz olish bilan davolash — bu gomeopatiya emas, bu inkor etishdir. Qarz inqirozi vaqtinchalik muammo emas, bu tizimli muammo. Bizga reabilitatsiya (tizimli davolanish) kerak.|Asl matn=Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not [[wikt:homeopathy#Noun|homeopathy]], it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy hayot „moliya zanjirlaridan“ xalos etilishi kerak. Biz bozorlarni qiymat saqlash ombori sifatida ishlatmaslikni oʻrganishimiz lozim: ular oddiy fuqarolarga kerak boʻlgan aniqliklarni taʼminlay olmaydi. Fuqarolar oʻzlarining nazoratidagi bizneslari haqida xavotirda boʻlishlari kerak, nazorati ularning qoʻlida boʻlmagan investitsiyalari haqida emas.|Asl matn=Economic life should be [[w:financialization|definancialised]]. We should learn not to use markets as storehouses of value: they do not harbour the certainties that normal citizens require. Citizens should experience anxiety about their own businesses (which they control), not their [[investment]]s (which they do not control).|Izoh=Talebning iqtisodiy falsafasidan}} === ''[[w:The Bed of Procrustes|The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms]]'' (2010) === {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻoya qachonki siz uni mantiqiy yakunigacha olib borishdan qoʻrqsangizgina qiziqarli boʻla boshlaydi.|Asl matn=An idea starts to be interesting when you get scared of taking it to its logical conclusion.|Izoh=3-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Akademiyaning bilimga boʻlgan munosabati — bu fohishalikning muhabbatga boʻlgan munosabati kabidir.|Asl matn=Academia is to knowledge what prostitution is to love.|Izoh=4-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Fanda siz dunyoni tushunishingiz kerak; biznesda esa boshqalar uni notoʻgʻri tushunishlari kerak.|Asl matn=In science you need to understand the world; in business you need others to misunderstand it.|Izoh=4-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Boshqalarning sogʻlom fikrga ega emasligini bahona qilishning oʻzi — sogʻlom fikrning yetishmasligidir.|Asl matn=Using, as an excuse, others’ failure of common sense is in itself a failure of common sense.|Izoh=7-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kechiktirish — bu ruhning oʻzini tutqunlikdan qutqarish uchun isyonidir.|Asl matn=Procrastination is the soul rebelling against entrapment.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrashimizni ong ostida aniq bilgan holda nimadir qilmoqchi boʻlganimizda, biz maslahat soʻraymiz — shunda muvaffaqiyatsizlik uchun boshqa birovni ayblay olamiz.|Asl matn=When we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.|Izoh=9-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar siz buni chin dildan his qilsangiz, „yoʻq“ deb aytish qiyinroq.|Asl matn=It’s harder to say no when you really mean it.|Izoh=9-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Fandan hayot va muhim masalalarni tushuntirishini soʻrash — grammatikdan sheʼriyatni tushuntirishini soʻrash bilan barobardir.|Asl matn=Asking science to explain life and vital matters is equivalent to asking a grammarian to explain poetry.|Izoh=17-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz faqat va faqat koʻzga koʻrinadigan maqsadlarsiz, hech qanday oqlovsiz va, eng muhimi, boshqa birovning hikoyasi (diktaturasi)dan tashqarida biror narsa qilishga erkin boʻlsangizgina mavjud boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=You exist if and only if you are free to do things without a visible objective, with no justification and, above all, outside the dictatorship of someone else’s narrative.|Izoh=17-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilgari odamlar ish kunlari oddiy, yakshanba kunlari esa rasmiy kiyimda yurishardi. Bugun esa buning teskarisi.|Asl matn=People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse.|Izoh=19-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kitob — bu tubanlashuv (profan) taʼsiridan hali toʻliq buzilmagan yagona vositadir.|Asl matn=The book is the only medium left that hasn’t been corrupted by the profane.|Izoh=20-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Restoranlar sizni spirtli ichimlik sotish uchun ovqat bilan oʻziga tortadi; dinlar esa sizga qoidalarni sotish uchun eʼtiqod bilan oʻziga tortadi.|Asl matn=Restaurants get you in with food to sell you liquor; religions get you in with belief to sell you rules.|Izoh=21-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gazetalardan butunlay tuzalish uchun bir yil davomida oʻtgan haftaning gazetalarini oʻqib chiqing.|Asl matn=To be completely cured of newspapers, spend a year reading the previous week’s newspapers.|Izoh=21-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muvaffaqiyat — bu oʻrta yoshda bolaligingizning oxirida orzu qilgan odamingizga aylanishdir.|Asl matn=Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.|Izoh=22-bet}} == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] 0d80e4eytwgyami44vrhctcr6fre4o7 30868 30867 2026-05-28T08:54:02Z Bekipediya 2189 /* The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010) */ + 30868 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = 1960-yil 12-sentyabr | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''Nassim Nicholas Taleb''' ({{talaffuz|Nassim Nikolas Taleb}}; 1960-yil 12-sentyabrda tugʻilgan) – amerikalik essenavis, statistik, aforist va sobiq treyder. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Iqtibos=Mening asosiy xobbim — oʻzini va oʻz bilimining sifatini haddan tashqari jiddiy qabul qiladigan hamda baʼzida '''''„Bilmayman...“''''' deyishga jurʼati yetmaydigan odamlarning gʻashiga tegishdir.|Asl matn=My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously and those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: '''''I don’t know....'''''|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz dunyoni oʻzgartira olmasligingiz mumkin, lekin hech boʻlmaganda insoniyatning epistemik kibridan biroz zavq olishingiz va shu ortidan tirikchilik qilishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment and make a living out of the [[wikt:epistemic#Adjective|epistemic]] arrogance of the human race.|Izoh=[http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/ Nassim Nicholas Talebning rasmiy veb-sayti]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirda xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmimiz miyamizning kognitiv modullari emas, balki koʻproq hissiy modullari orqali boshqarilishi ilmiy konsensus hisoblanadi. Bu bizni [[w:Pleistotsen|Pleistotsen]] davri uchun moslashtirgan boʻlishi mumkin. Bizning xavf-xatar mexanizmimiz yoʻlbarslardan qochishga moʻljallangan; u axborot bilan toʻlib-toshgan zamonaviy dunyo uchun moʻljallanmagan.|Asl matn=It is now the scientific consensus that our risk-avoidance mechanism is not mediated by the cognitive modules of our brain, but rather by the emotional ones. This may have made us fit for the [[w:Pleistocene|Pleistocene]] era. Our risk machinery is designed to run away from tigers; it is not designed for the information-laden modern world.|Izoh=Edge jurnalidagi „A Talk with Nassim Nicholas Taleb“ suhbati muqaddimasidan olingan iqtibos (Aprel, 2004) [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html]}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Insonning xavf-xatardan qochish mexanizmini oʻrganuvchi koʻplab tadqiqotlar uning eskirganini va zamonaviy dunyoga mos kelmasligini koʻrsatadi; u takrorlanuvchi hujumlarga qarshi turish va muayyan vaziyatlardan saboq olishga moʻljallangan. Agar kimdir maʼlum bir gʻorda yoʻlbarsga yem boʻlishdan zoʻrgʻa qutulib qolsa, u oʻsha gʻorga yaqinlashmaslikni oʻrganadi.|Asl matn=Much of the research into humans' risk-avoidance machinery shows that it is antiquated and unfit for the modern world; it is made to counter repeatable attacks and learn from specifics. If someone narrowly escapes being eaten by a tiger in a certain cave, then he learns to avoid that cave.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/taleb04/taleb_index.html „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“] maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz odamlarni imkonsiz narsalar haqida oʻylaganliklari uchun masxara qilishimiz emas, balki mukofotlashimiz kerak.|Asl matn=We should reward people, not ridicule them, for thinking the impossible.|Izoh=The New York Times gazetasidagi „Learning to Expect the Unexpected“ maqolasidan ([[2004-04-08]])}} ===''[[w:Fooled by Randomness|Fooled by Randomness]]'' (2001)=== {{Q|Iqtibos=Maslahat berish xatti-harakatlarimizni hissiy mexanizmimiz emas, balki kognitiv apparatimiz muayyan darajada nazorat qiladi degan farazga tayanadi.|Asl matn=Delivering advice assumes that our cognitive apparatus rather than our emotional machinery exerts some meaningful control over our actions.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar muvaffaqiyatsizlik koʻtarib boʻlmas darajada qimmatga tushsa, biror narsaning qanchalik tez-tez muvaffaqiyat qozonishi hech qanday ahamiyatga ega emas.|Asl matn=It does not matter how frequently something succeeds if failure is too costly to bear.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyding insonni chuqur fikrlashga majbur qiladi; shunchaki qattiq mehnat qiladiganlar esa odatda diqqat-eʼtiborini va intellektual quvvatini yoʻqotadilar. Bundan tashqari, ular oqibatda tasodifiylik girdobiga gʻarq boʻladilar; mehnat etikasi odamlarni asosiy signalga emas, balki shovqinga diqqat qaratishga undaydi.|Asl matn=Trading forces someone to think hard; those who merely work hard generally lose their focus and intellectual energy. In addition, they end up drowning in randomness; work ethics draw people to focus on noise rather than the signal.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻrtacha muvaffaqiyatni koʻnikma va mehnat bilan tushuntirish mumkin. Ulkan muvaffaqiyat esa tasodifiylikka (variatsiyaga) bogʻliqdir.|Asl matn=Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Omadli ahmoqlar oʻzlarining shunchaki omadli ahmoq ekanliklaridan zarracha ham shubha qilmaydilar — taʼrifiga koʻra, ular bunday toifaga mansub ekanliklarini bilmaydilar.|Asl matn=Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools - by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qoidalari aniq belgilangan rus ruletkasida oltiga koʻpaytirish va boʻlishni biladigan har bir kishi xavfni yaqqol koʻra oladi, biroq real hayotda inson voqelikning „toʻpponcha barabani“ni koʻra olmaydi.|Asl matn=Unlike a well-defined, precise game like Russian roulette, where the risks are visible to anyone capable of multiplying and dividing by six, one does not observe the barrel of reality.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Epik shoir qahramonlarga erishgan natijalariga qarab baho bermagan... ularning qismati butunlay tashqi kuchlarga bogʻliq edi... Qahramonlar gʻalaba qozonganlari yoki magʻlub boʻlganlari uchun emas, balki xatti-harakatlari qahramonona boʻlgani tufayli qahramondirlar.|Asl matn=[T]he epic poet did not judge heroes by the result... their fate depended on totally external forces... Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Prognoz va bashoratgoʻylikni aralashtirib yuborish — tasodifiylik keltirib chiqaradigan ahmoqlik alomatidir...|Asl matn=Mixing forecast and prophecy is symptomatic of randomness-foolishness...|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vaj-dalillarni imkon qadar soddalashtirish kerakligiga eʼtirozim yoʻq... biroq odamlar koʻpincha mediabop qolipga solib soddalashtirib boʻlmaydigan murakkab gʻoyalarni chalkash fikrlash mahsuli deb yanglish tushunishadi. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]] egalari moliya bozorlarida kasodga uchrashga moyil boʻlishadi, chunki ularga hamma narsani meʼyoridan... ortiq... soddalashtirish oʻrgatilgan. (...mening oʻzim ham ushbu darajaning baxtsiz sohibiman.)|Asl matn=I do not dispute that arguments should be simplified to their maximum... but people often confuse complex ideas that cannot be simplified into a media-friendly statement as symptomatic of a confused mind. ...[[w:Master of Business Administration|MBA]]s tend to blow up in financial markets, as they are trained to simplify... beyond... requirement. (...I am myself the unhappy holder of the degree.)|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Humiliated in Debates''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson ongining ehtimollikni idrok etish tizimi shov-shuvlarga shu qadar moyilki, yangiliklardan butunlay voz kechish orqali axborot borasida koʻproq yutuqqa erishish mumkin.|Asl matn=[T]he mental probabilistic map in one's mind is so geared toward the sensational that one would realize informational gains by dispensing with the news.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''A Different Kind of News''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muassasa nuqtai nazaridan, [[w:Risk management|risk menejeri]]ning mavjudligi xavf-xatarni amalda kamaytirishdan koʻra, koʻproq xavf kamayganligi haqida ''taassurot'' uygʻotishga xizmat qiladi.|Asl matn=From the standpoint of an institution, the existence of a [[w:Risk management|risk manager]] has less to do with actual risk reduction than it has to do with the ''impression'' of risk reduction.|Izoh=Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method <nowiki>|</nowiki> George Will is No Solon: On Counterintuitive Truths <nowiki>|</nowiki> ''Epiphenomena''}} {{Q|Iqtibos=1990-yillarning boshlarida... men oʻzim mustaqil ravishda yaratishni oʻrgangan turli [[w:Monte Karlo usuli|Monte-Karlo]] tizimlariga bogʻlanib qoldim... Kompyuter inqilobining bergan samarasi... elektron pochta xabarlari va... chat xonalarida namoyon boʻlmadi; u daqiqasiga millionlab tanlanma trayektoriyalarni hosil qilishga qodir boʻlgan tezkor protsessorlarning toʻsatdan foydalanishga tayyor boʻlib qolganida edi.|Asl matn=In the early 1990s... I became addicted to the various [[w:Monte Carlo method|Monte Carlo]] engines, which I taught myself to build... The dividend of the computer revolution... did not come in... e-mail messages and... chat rooms; it was in the sudden availability of fast processors capable of generating a million sample paths per minute.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Making History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modellarim yakunda deyarli hech kim haqiqatda omon qolmasligini koʻrsatdi; ralli paytida „ayiqlar“ pashshadek toʻkildi, „buqalar“ esa yakunda qirgʻinga uchradi... Ammo bitta istisno bor edi... [[w:Option (finance)|opsion]] xaridorlari... ular kasodga uchrashga qarshi sugʻurta sotib olishlari mumkin edi...|Asl matn=My models showed that ultimately almost nobody really survived; bears dropped like flies in the rally and bulls ended up being slaughtered... But there was one exception... [[w:Option (finance)|option]] buyers... could buy the insurance against blowup...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Zorglubs Crowding the Attic}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Menda tarixdan saboq olishning ikki yoʻli bor: oʻtmishdan — qadimgi donishmandlar mutolaasi orqali; hamda kelajakdan — oʻzimning Monte-Karlo „oʻyinchogʻim“ sharofati bilan.|Asl matn=I have two ways of learning from history: from the past, by reading the elders; and from the future, thanks to my Monte Carlo toy.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Denigration of History}} {{Q|Iqtibos={{w|hindsight bias}}ning... zararli oqibati shundaki, oʻtmishni „bashorat qilishda“ usta boʻlganlar... oʻzlarini kelajakni ham yaxshi bashorat qila oladigan deb oʻylashadi... Biz muhim voqealarni oldindan aytib boʻlmaydigan dunyoda yashaymiz...|Asl matn=A... vicious effect of... {{w|hindsight bias}} is that those that are good at ''predicting'' the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> Skills in Predicting Past History}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix ustida tajriba oʻtkazib boʻlmaydi. Biroq... u yakunda yomonlarni magʻlub etish uchun... yetarli darajada qudratlidir. Notoʻgʻri savdolar baribir sizni quvib yetadi... Ehtimollik matematiklari bunga... shunday nom berishgan: {{w|ergodiklik}}. Qoʻpol qilib aytganda... juda... uzun tanlanma trayektoriyasining xususiyatlari qisqaroq trayektoriyalar oʻrtacha qiymatining Monte-Karlo xususiyatlariga oʻxshash boʻladi. ...Mahorati boʻlsa-da, omadi kelmaganlar... yakunda baribir koʻtariladi. Omadli ahmoq esa... sekin-asta omadi kamroq chopgan tentak holatiga yaqinlashadi. Ularning har biri... oʻzining uzoq muddatli xususiyatlariga qaytadi.|Asl matn=[H]istory cannot lend itself to experimentation. But... is potent enough... to eventually bury the bad guy. Bad trades catch up with you... Mathematicians of probability give that a... name: ''{{w|ergodicity}}''. [R]oughly... properties of a very... long sample path would be similar to the Monte Carlo properties of an average of shorter ones. ...Those unlucky... in spite of their skills would eventually rise. The lucky fool... would slowly converge to the state of a less-lucky idiot. Each ...would revert to his long-term properties.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fun in My Attic <nowiki>|</nowiki> My Salon}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keksalik — goʻzallikdir. ...Mening ichki sezgim, yuzaki qaraganda qanchalik mukammal tuyulishidan qatʼi nazar, yangi fikrlardan koʻra sayqallangan gʻoyalarni koʻproq qadrlashga undaydi — bu karavotim yoniga [[wikt:hoary|koʻhna]] jildlarni yigʻishimning yana bir sababidir... Gʻoyaning shunchalik koʻp davrlardan omon oʻtgani uning nisbiy yashovchanligidan dalolat beradi. Shovqinlar, har holda ularning ''maʼlum bir'' qismi elab tashlangan. ...Taraqqiyot deganda baʼzi yangi maʼlumotlar oʻtmishdagisidan yaxshiroq ekani tushuniladi, yangi maʼlumotlarning oʻrtacha qiymati oʻtmishdagi bilimlarning oʻrnini bosishi emas...|Asl matn=[A]ge is beauty. ...[M]y instinct is to value distilled thought over newer thinking, regardless of its apparent sophistication—another reason to accumulate the [[wikt:hoary#Adjective|hoary]] volumes by my bedside... For an idea to have survived so many cycles is indicative of its relative fitness. Noise, at least ''some'' noise, was filtered out. ...[P]rogress means that some new information is better than past information, not that the average of new information will supplant past information...|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Breaking News}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Chuqur fikrlaydigan jurnalistlar talaygina... Biroq yetakchi OAV jurnalistikasi shunchaki odamlar eʼtiborini tortadigan axborot shovqinini yetkazib berishdan iborat oʻylamasdan qilinadigan jarayondir va ularni bir-biridan ajratish mexanizmi mavjud emas.|Asl matn=There are hordes of thoughtful journalists... [I]t is just that prominent media journalism is a thoughtless process of providing the noise that captures people's attention and there exists no mechanism for separating the two.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Shiller Redux}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men... yoshi katta treyderlarni saralab olishda jiddiy afzallik koʻrdim; bunda tanlov mezoni sifatida ularning mutloq muvaffaqiyatidan koʻra, toʻplangan koʻp yillik tajribasiga tayandim... Yoshi kattaroq insonlar kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga uzoqroq vaqt davomida duch kelishgan, shu sababli ularning bunday xavflarga chidamliligi ancha ishonchli boʻlishi mumkin.|Asl matn=I... found a significant advantage in selecting aged traders, using as a selection criterion their cumulative years of experience rather than their absolute success... [O]lder people have been exposed longer to the rare event and can be, convincingly, more resistant to it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Distilled Thinking On Your Palm Pilot <nowiki>|</nowiki> Gerontocracy}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qisqa vaqt oraligʻida odam portfelning daromadliligini emas, oʻzgaruvchanligini kuzatadi. ...inson faqat dispersiyani koʻradi, boshqa deyarli hech narsani emas. ...Hissiyotlarimiz buni anglashga moslashmagan. ...Men buni axborotga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlmaslik orqali hal qilaman. ...Sheʼriyat oʻqishni afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=Over a short time increment, one observes the variability of the portfolio, not the returns. ...[O]ne sees the variance, little else. ...Our emotions are not designed to understand the point. ...I deal with it by having no access to information. ...I prefer to read poetry.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yangiliklar... shovqinga toʻla, tarix esa... asosan undan xolidir.|Asl matn=[N]ews... is full of noise and... history is largely stripped of it.|Izoh=Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History <nowiki>|</nowiki> Philostratus in Monte Carlo: On the Difference Between Noise and Information}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Treyderning fikrlash tizimi uni aynan ''boshqa odamlar qilmaydigan'' ishni qilishga yoʻnaltirishi lozim.|Asl matn=A trader's mental construction should direct him to do precisely ''what other people do not do''.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faxriy treyder Marti O'Konnell buni „oʻt oʻchirish xonasi effekti“ (firehouse effect) deb ataydi. ...Bir-biri bilan haddan tashqari uzoq vaqt muloqot qiladigan oʻt oʻchiruvchilar... yakunda tashqi, xolis kuzatuvchiga mutloqo bemaʼni tuyuladigan koʻplab narsalarda oʻzaro hamfikr boʻlib qolishadi...|Asl matn=Veteran trader Marty O'Connell calls this the firehouse effect. ...[F]iremen ...who talk to each other for too long come to agree on many things that an outside, impartial observer would find ludicrous...|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Istalgan vaqtda eng boy treyderlar koʻpincha eng yomon treyderlar boʻladi. Men buni „kesimdagi muammo“ (cross-sectional problem) deb atayman: Muayyan vaqtda... eng muvaffaqiyatli treyderlar, odatda, eng oxirgi davrga (tsiklga) mos kelib qolganlar boʻladi.|Asl matn=[A]t any point in time, the richest traders are often the worst traders. This I will call the ''cross-sectional problem:'' At a given time... the most successful traders are likely to be those fit for the latest cycle.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> Carlos the Emerging-Markets Wizard <nowiki>|</nowiki> Lines in the Sand}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular, buning ustiga eng tasodifiy muhitlarda faoliyat koʻrsatadigan ''ashaddiy muvaffaqiyatli tasodifiylik ahmogʻi''ga xos xususiyatlarga egadir. ...Ularning boshliqlari va ish beruvchilari ham aynan shu xususiyatni baham koʻrishgan. Ular ham bozordan butunlay chiqib ketishgan.|Asl matn=[T]hey share the traits of the ''acute successful randomness fool'' who, in addition, operates in the most random of environments. ...[T]heir bosses and employers shared the same trait. They, too, are permanently out of the market.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> John the High Yield Trader <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yomon treyderlar oʻz pozitsiyalaridan voz kechishdan koʻra, turmush oʻrtoqlari bilan tezroq ajrashishadi degan gap bor. Gʻoyalarga sodiqlik treyderlar, olimlar yoki umuman hech kim uchun yaxshi narsa emas.|Asl matn=There is a saying that bad traders divorce their spouse sooner than abandon their positions. Loyalty to ideas is not a good thing for traders, scientists - or anyone.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Traits They Shared}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xuddi biror hayvon oʻz tanlanma trayektoriyasi omadli boʻlgani... evolutsion kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisadan omon qolgani sababli yashab qolishi mumkin boʻlganidek, muayyan biznesdagi „eng yaxshi“ ishtirokchilar ham [shunday omon qolishi mumkin]... Buning bitta zararli xususiyati shundaki, bular... kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisaga duch kelmasdan qanchalik uzoq vaqt oʻtkazishsa, unga nisbatan shunchalik zaif boʻlib borishadi. ...Agar vaqt cheksizlikka qadar uzaytirilsa, {{w|ergodiklik}} qonuniga koʻra, oʻsha hodisa muqarrar ravishda sodir boʻladi — tur butunlay yoʻq boʻlib ketadi! Chunki evolutsiya barcha mumkin boʻlgan muhitlarning oʻrtacha qiymatiga emas, balki faqat bitta vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikka moslashishni anglatadi.|Asl matn=Just as an animal could have survived because its sample path was lucky... free of the evolutionary rare event, the "best" operators in a given business can... One vicious attribute is that the longer these... can go without encountering the rare event, the more vulnerable they will be to it. ...[S]hould one extend time to infinity, then by {{w|ergodicity}}, that event will happen with certainty—the species will be wiped out! For evolution means fitness to... only one time series, not the average of all possible environments.|Izoh=Five: Survival of the Least Fit—Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Review of Market Fools of Randomness Constants <nowiki>|</nowiki> Can Evolution be Fooled by Randomness?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nega odamlar ehtimollik va matematik kutilmani, yaʼni ehtimollik hamda ehtimollikning natijaga (yutuq/zararga) koʻpaytmasini chalkashtirib yuborishadi? Asosan buning sababi taʼlim tizimidagi darslarning aksariyati simmetrik muhitlardan olingan misollarga asoslanganidir... qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq ({{w|Normal distribution|normal taqsimot}})... mutloqo simmetrikdir.|Asl matn=Why do [people] confuse probability and [[w:Taleb distribution#Risks|expectation]], that is, probability [vs.] probability times payoff? Mainly because much... schooling comes from examples in symmetric environments... the... [[w:Normal distribution|bell curve]]... is entirely symmetric.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Median is Not the Message}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men oʻz faoliyatim va biznesimni shunday tashkil qilganmanki... foyda koʻray... Men asimmetrik garovlar orqali kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalardan foyda olyapman.|Asl matn=I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Rare Events}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aksariyat sohalarda... asimmetriya muhim rol oʻynamaydi. ...Turli natijalar oʻrtasidagi yakuniy farq unchalik katta boʻlmaganida, koʻplab soha mutaxassislari... oʻz tanlanmalaridan ekstremal qiymatlarni olib tashlashda hech qanday muammoga duch kelishmaydi... Professor... {{w|outlier|chetga chiquvchi (ekstremal) qiymatlarni}} olib tashlaydi va qolganlarining oʻrtacha qiymatini hisoblaydi, bunda uning xulosasi... notoʻgʻri boʻlib qolmaydi. Oddiy ob-havo prognozchisi ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutadi... Shuning uchun moliya sohasi vakillari ham ushbu texnikani oʻzlashtirib, kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalarga eʼtibor berishmaydi, biroq buning oqibati... kompaniyani bankrot qilishi mumkinligini bilishmaydi.|Asl matn=In most disciplines... asymmetry does not matter. ...People in most fields ...do not have problems eliminating extreme values from their sample, when the difference in payoff between different outcomes is not significant ...A professor ...removes the ...''{{w|outlier}}s'', and takes the average of the remaining ones, without ...being ...unsound. A casual weather forecaster does the same ...So people in finance borrow the technique and ignore infrequent events, not knowing that the effect ...can bankrupt a company.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Koʻplab olimlar... shunday ahmoqlikka yoʻliqishadi... Bunga yaqqol misollardan biri — global isishdir... Bu olimlar dastlab [yuqori haroratli] keskin koʻtarilishlar kamdan-kam roʻy bersa-da, muzliklarning umumiy erishiga nomutanosib ravishda katta taʼsir koʻrsatishini hisobga olishmagan. ...Katta oqibatlarga olib keladigan hodisa, garchi u kamdan-kam sodir boʻlsa ham, uni eʼtiborsiz qoldirib boʻlmaydi.|Asl matn=Many scientists... are... subject to such foolishness... One flagrant example is... [[global warming]]... These scientists initially ignored the fact that these [high temperature] spikes, although rare, had the effect of adding disproportionately to the cumulative melting of the ice caps. ...[A]n event, although rare, that brings large consequences cannot be ignored.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Bull and Bear Zoology <nowiki>|</nowiki> Symmetry and Science}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Baʼzan bozor maʼlumotlari oddiy qopqonga aylanadi; u sizga oʻz tabiatining mutloqo teskarisini koʻrsatadi... [masalan,] tarixan eng yuqori barqarorlikni namoyish etgan valyutalar... qulashga eng moyil boʻladi.|Asl matn=Sometimes market data becomes a simple trap; it shows you the opposite of its nature... [e.g.,] Currencies that exhibit the largest historical stability... are the most prone to crashes.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men kelajakdagi natija koʻrsatkichi sifatida oʻtmishning yagona vaqtinchalik ketma-ketligini rad etaman; menga shunchaki maʼlumotlardan ancha koʻproq narsa kerak.|Asl matn=I reject a sole time series of the past as an indication of future performance; I need a lot more than data.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz yaqin oʻtmishdagi yuzaki tarixga haddan tashqari koʻp maʼno yuklaymiz... ammo umuman tarixdan saboq olmaymiz, [holbuki u] bizga ilgari hech qachon sodir boʻlmagan narsalar ham baribir sodir boʻlishini oʻrgatadi. ...bu tor doirada belgilangan vaqtinchalik ketma-ketlikdan tashqaridadir; qarash qanchalik keng boʻlsa, saboq ham shunchalik yaxshi boʻladi.|Asl matn=[W]e read too much into shallow recent history... but not from history in general [which] teaches us that things that never happened before do happen. ...outside of the narrowly defined time series; the broader the look, the better the lesson.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> Almost Everyone is Above Average}} {{Q|Iqtibos=...treyderlarning shunday toifasi borki, ularda „teskari“ kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan hodisalar kuzatiladi, ular uchun oʻzgaruvchanlik (volatillik) koʻpincha xushxabar olib keladi. Bunday treyderlar tez-tez, lekin kichik miqdorda pul yoʻqotishadi va kamdan-kam, lekin katta miqdorda pul ishlashadi. ...inqiroz ovchilari. Men ulardan biri boʻlganimdan xursandman.|Asl matn=[T]here is a category of traders who have ''inverse'' rare events, for whom volatility is often the bearer of good news. Those traders lose money frequently, but in small amounts, and make money rarely, but in large amounts. ...crisis hunters. I am happy to be one of them.|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Mother of All Deceptions}} [[File:Square root 0 25.svg|thumb|Kvadrat ildiz funksiyasining grafigi]] {{Q|Iqtibos=Statistika... butunlay ishonchlilik darajasining muntazam ravishda ortib borishiga asoslanadi... Tanlanma hajmining ''n'' marta oshishi uchun biz oʻz bilimimizni ''n'' ning kvadrat ildizi miqdorida oshiramiz. ...Statistika bizga pand beradigan joy asimmetrik boʻlgan taqsimotlarga duch kelganimizdadir... Agar asosan qora sharlar boʻlgan koʻzada qizil sharni topish ehtimoli juda kichik boʻlsa, u holda qizil sharlarning ''yoʻqligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz [yanada] sekinroq oʻsib boradi. ...Boshqa tomondan, ulardan bittasi topilishi bilanoq, qizil sharlarning ''borligi'' haqidagi bilimimiz keskin yaxshilanadi. Bilimdagi ushbu asimmetriya... [[David Hume]] va [[Karl Popper]] uchun markaziy falsafiy muammo hisoblanadi.|Asl matn=[S]tatistics... is all based on... the steady augmentation of the confidence level... [F]or an ''n'' times increase in sample size, we increase our knowledge by the square root on ''n''. ...Where statistics ...fails us, is when we have distributions that are not symmetric... If there is a very small probability of finding a red ball in an urn dominated by black ones, then our knowledge about the ''absence'' of red balls will increase [even more] slowly. ...On the other hand, our knowledge of the ''presence'' of red balls will dramatically improve once one of them is found. This asymmetry in knowledge... is the central philosophical problem for... [[David Hume]] and [[Karl Popper]].|Izoh=Six: Skewness and Symmetry <nowiki>|</nowiki> The Rare-Event Fallacy <nowiki>|</nowiki> Why Don't Statisticians Detect Rare Events?}} {{Q|Iqtibos=[[David Hume]] muammoni quyidagicha ifodalagan (bu keyinchalik... [[John Stuart Mill]] tomonidan [[w:Falsifiability|qora qush muammosi]] shaklida qayta bayon etilgan): „Oq qushlarni qanchalik koʻp kuzatmaylik, bu bizga barcha qushlar oq degan xulosaga kelishga asos boʻlolmaydi, biroq bittagina qora qushni kuzatish ushbu xulosani rad etish uchun kifoyadir“.|Asl matn=[[David Hume]] posed the issue in the following way (as rephrased in the [[w:Falsifiability|black swan problem]] by... [[John Stuart Mill]]) ''No amount of observations of white swans can allow the inference that all swans are white, but the observation of a single black swan is sufficient to refute that conclusion''.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilm-fan [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]] tufayli empirik (tajribaviy) kuzatuvlarga urgʻu berish tomonga oʻzgargan edi. Muammo shundaki, toʻgʻri metodologiyasiz empirik kuzatuvlar sizni chalgʻitib yuborishi mumkin. [[David Hume|Hume]] bilim toʻplash va uni talqin qilishda qatʼiy intizom (rigor) zarurligini taʼkidlash uchun keldi... [[epistemology|epistemologiya]]... Hume birinchi zamonaviy epistemolog hisoblanadi... u ashaddiy skeptik boʻlgan va ikki narsa oʻrtasidagi bogʻliqlikni hech qachon sabab-oqibat aloqasi sifatida qatʼiy oʻrnatish mumkinligiga ishonmagan.|Asl matn=Science had shifted, thanks to [[Francis Bacon|Bacon]], into an emphasis on empirical observation. The problem is that, without a proper method, empirical observations can lead you astray. Hume came to... stress the need for some rigor in the gathering and interpretation of knowledge... [[epistemology]]... Hume is the first modern epistemologist... he was an obsessive skeptic and never believed... that a link between two items could be established as being causal.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Cygnus Atratus}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻalaba qozonish ehtimolini maksimallashtirish, agar insonning strategiyasi asimmetriyani ({{w|skewness|asimetriya}}), yaʼni katta zarar koʻrishning kichik ehtimoli va kichik yutuq olishning katta ehtimolini oʻz ichiga olsa, oʻyindan olinadigan matematik kutilmani maksimallashtirishga olib kelmaydi. Agar siz Rus ruletkasiga oʻxshash strategiyadan foydalansangiz... deyarli barcha tanlanmalarda gʻolib boʻlib koʻrinishingiz ehtimoli yuqori — faqatgina oʻzingiz oʻladigan yildan tashqari.|Asl matn=Maximizing the probability of winning does not lead to maximizing the expectation from the game when one's strategy may include {{w|skewness}}, i.e., a small chance of a large loss and a large chance of a small win. If you engaged in a Russian Roulette-type strategy... you are likely to show up as the winner in almost all samples—except in the year when you are dead.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> From Bacon to Hume <nowiki>|</nowiki> Neiderhoffer}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz mantiqiy va ratsional (oqilona) gʻoyalarni ilgari surishni yaxshi koʻramiz, biroq ularni amalga oshirishdan (ijro etishdan) zavqlanmaymiz.|Asl matn=[W]e like to emit logical and rational ideas but we do not enjoy this execution.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Nobody is Perfect}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nimaniki eslab qolish osonroq: shunchaki bir-biriga yopishtirilgan faktlar toʻplamimi yoki mantiqiy bogʻliqliklar zanjirini taqdim etuvchi hikoyami? Sabab-oqibat aloqasini xotirada saqlash ancha oson. ...Induksiya oʻzi nima? ...U juda qulay, chunki umumiy qoida xotirada mayda-chuyda tafsilotlar toʻplamiga qaraganda ancha kam joy egallaydi. Bunday siqishning (kompressiyaning) oqibati — idrok etilayotgan tasodifiylik darajasining kamayishidir.|Asl matn=What is easier to remember, a collection of facts glued together, or a story, something that offers a series of logical links? Causality is easier to commit to memory. ...What is induction exactly? ...It is very handy, as the general takes much less room in one's memory than a collection of particulars. The effect of such compression is the reduction in the degree of detected randomness.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Induction and Memory}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men tajovuzkor (katta) garovlar tikish uchun statistika va induktiv metodlardan foydalanaman, biroq ulardan oʻz xavf-xatarlarimni (tavakkalchilikni) boshqarishda aslo foydalanmayman. ...Men tanigan va bozorda omon qolgan barcha treyderlar ham xuddi shunday yoʻl tutishgan. ...Ular xato qilganda buning qiymati (zarari) cheklangan boʻlishiga ishonch hosil qilishadi... qaysi voqea ularning taxminlari xato ekanini isbotlashini oldindan bilishadi va buni hisobga olishadi... Oʻsha zahoti ular oʻz savdosini toʻxtatishadi. Bu „{{w|Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss}}“ (zararni toʻxtatish) deb ataladi... Men buni juda kam qoʻllanilishini koʻraman.|Asl matn=I will use statistics and inductive methods to make aggressive bets, but I will not use them to manage my risks and exposure. ...[A]ll the surviving traders I know seem to have done the same. ...[T]hey make sure the cost of being wrong is limited ...they know ...which events would prove their conjecture wrong and allow for it ...They would then terminate their trade. This is called a ''[[w:Order (exchange)#Stop orders|stop loss]]'' ...I find it rarely practiced.|Izoh=Seven: The Problem of Induction <nowiki>|</nowiki> Sir Karl's Promoting Agent <nowiki>|</nowiki> Pascal's Wager}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xato — bu sodir boʻlgan voqeadan keyin (kechikib) aniqlanadigan narsa emas, balki oʻsha lahzagacha mavjud boʻlgan maʼlumotlar yorugʻida baholanishi kerak boʻlgan holatdir.|Asl matn=A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men har doim oʻzimga eslatib turaman: inson kuzatayotgan narsa — bu shunchaki sof natija (daromad) emas, balki eng yaxshi holatda ham oʻzgaruvchanlik (dispersiya) va natijaning oʻzaro birikmasidir.|Asl matn=I always remind myself that what one observes is at best a combination of variance and returns, not just returns.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Men pulni kamdan-kam, imkon qadar eng kam tezlikda ishlashga harakat qilaman; chunki men kamdan-kam roʻy beradigan (nodir) hodisalar adolatli baholanmasligiga va voqea qanchalik nodir boʻlsa, uning narxi shunchalik past baholanishiga ishonaman.|Asl matn=I try to make money infrequently, as infrequently as possible simply because I believe that rare events are not fairly valued, and that the rarer the event, the more undervalued it will be in price.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Xulosa chiqarish bilan bogʻliq asosiy muammo shundaki... maʼlumotlardan xulosa chiqarish oʻz kasbi boʻlgan insonlar koʻpincha bu qopqonga tezroq va ishonch bilan tushib qolishadi... '''Qancha koʻp maʼlumotga ega boʻlsak, unda choʻkib ketish ehtimolimiz shunchalik yuqori boʻladi.''' Umumiy qarashga koʻra... qaror qabul qilish quyidagi prinsipga asoslanadi: kimdir doimiy ravishda... yaxshi natija koʻrsatayotgan boʻlsa, demak u nimadir toʻgʻri ish qilyapti. ...[A]gar kimdir oʻtmishda yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatgan boʻlsa, kelajakda ham olomon ichida yaxshiroq natija koʻrsatish ehtimoli yuqoriroq... Ammo... ehtimollik nazariyasidan kichik bilim hech qanday bilimga ega boʻlmaslikdan ham yomonroq natijalarga olib kelishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... '''The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it.''' For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.|Izoh=Part II Monkeys on Typewriters <nowiki>|</nowiki> Survivorship and Other Biases}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ratsionalroq boʻlish yoki ijtimoiy mensimaslik (kamsitish) hislarini tuygʻularga berilmasdan qabul qilish — inson zotiga xos emas... hozirgi biologiyamiz bilan bu imkonsiz. Mantiqiy mulohaza yuritishdan hech qanday taskin topib boʻlmaydi...|Asl matn=[B]ecoming more rational, or not feeling the emotions of social slights, is not part of the human race... not with our current biology. There is no solace to be found from reasoning...|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> How to Stop the Sting of Failure <nowiki>|</nowiki> You're a Failure}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Optimistik (nekbin) qarashlar muvaffaqiyat bashoratchisi ekanligi aytiladi. ...U, shuningdek, muvaffaqiyatsizlik bashoratchisi ham boʻlishi mumkin. Optimist insonlar... ehtimolliklar haqida haddan tashqari oʻziga ishonganliklari uchun koʻproq tavakkal qilishadi; yutganlar boylar va mashhurlar qatorida koʻrinishadi, qolganlar esa muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrab, tahlil doirasidan gʻoyib boʻlishadi.|Asl matn=Optimism, it is said, is predictive of success. ...It can also be predictive of failure. Optimistic people... take more risks as they are overconfident of the about the odds; those who win show up among the rich and famous, others fail and disappear from the analysis.|Izoh=Eight: Too Many Millionaires <nowiki>|</nowiki> A Guru's Opinion}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Keling, 10 000 ta xayoliy investitsiya menejerini tasavvur qilaylik... Menejer bir yil zarar koʻrishi bilanoq, namuna (tahlil) doirasidan chiqarib tashlanadi. ...Tangani tanga tashlaymiz; „gerb“ chiqsa, menejer yil davomida 10 000 dollar daromad qiladi, „raqam“ chiqsa, 10 000 dollar yoʻqotadi. ...Adolatli oʻyinda ketma-ket besh yil foyda koʻrgan 313 nafar menejer qoladi. ...Agar biz ulardan birini real dunyoga tashlasak... uning „ajoyib uslubi“, „oʻtkir zehni“ haqida sharhlar olamiz... Uning tarjimayi holini yozuvchi... kelajakdagi buyuk daholardan biri haqida hikoya qiladi. ...Agar uning natijalari pasaya boshlasa (...uning gʻalaba qozonish ehtimoli baribir 50% ligicha qolgan boʻlsa ham), ular... uning „yomon turmush tarzi“dan kamchilik qidirishni boshlashadi. Ular u toʻxtatib qoʻygan biror narsani topib olishadi va uning muvaffaqiyatsizligini oʻsha narsaga yoʻyishadi... Haqiqat shundaki... uning shunchaki omadi tugagan edi.|Asl matn=Let us use 10,000 fictional investment managers... [O]nce a manager has a single bad year, he is thrown out of the sample. ...[T]oss a coin; ''heads'' and the manager will make $10,000 over the year, ''tails'' and he will lose $10,000. ...We have, in a fair game, 313 managers who made money five years in a row. ...[I]f we throw one of these ...into the real world we would get ...comments on his remarkable style, his incisive mind... His biographer will dwell on ...a great mind in the making. ...[S]hould he stop performing (...his odds ...have stayed at 50%) they would start ...finding fault with his dissipated lifestyle. They will find something he stopped doing, and attribute his failure... The truth ...he simply ran out of luck.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Placebo Investors}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror shaxs oʻtmishda qandaydir daromad olgani haqidagi maʼlumot... oʻz-oʻzidan na mazmunli, na ahamiyatlidir. Biz u qaysi populyatsiyadan (umumiy guruhdan) chiqqanini bilishimiz kerak. Agar boshlangʻich guruh 10 000 nafar menejerdan iborat boʻlsa, men (oʻsha bir kishining) natijalariga umuman eʼtibor bermagan boʻlardim.|Asl matn=The information that a person derived some profit in the past... by itself, is neither meaningful nor relevant. We need to know the size of the population from which he came. If the initial population is 10,000 managers, I would ignore the results.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Fooled by the Numbers <nowiki>|</nowiki> Ergodicity}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Professor [[Karl Pearson]] tasodifiy bo‘lmaganlikni aniqlaydigan birinchi testni ishlab chiqdi. U “Monte-Karlo” (ruletkaning eski nomi) deb atalgan o‘yinning millionlab yurishlarini tahlil qildi... va bu yurishlar mutlaqo tasodifiy emasligini aniqladi. ...Statistika faylasuflari buni amalda haqiqiy tasodifiylikka erishib bo‘lmasligini, u faqat nazariyada mavjudligini tushuntirish uchun “etalon holati muammosi” deb atashadi.|Asl matn=Professor Karl Pearson... devised the first test of nonrandomness... He examined millions of runs of what was called a Monte Carlo (the old name for a roulette wheel)... He discovered... the runs were not purely random. ...Philosophers of statistics call this the ''reference case problem'' to explain that there is no true attainable randomness in practice, only in theory.|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hatto statistika fanining asoschilari ham tasodifiy qatorlar qandaydir naqsh (tartib) koʻrsatishga majbur ekanligini unutib qoʻyishgan... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]]... sunʼiy tasodifiy sonlar generatorlari va... simulyatsiyalar uchun kiritiladigan jadvallarni yaratishdan manfaatdor boʻlgan dastlabki olimlardan biri edi. ...Ular bu jadvallarda... muntazamlik (takrorlanish) boʻlishini xohlashmagan. Biroq, haqiqiy tasodifiylik tasodifiy koʻrinmaydi! ...Bitta tasodifiy qator qandaydir naqshni namoyon etishga majbur.|Asl matn=Even the fathers of statistical science forgot that a random series is bound to exhibit some pattern... [[Karl Pearson|Pearson]] was among the first scholars interested in creating artificial random number generators, tables one could use as inputs for... simulations (precursors of our Monte Carlo simulator). ...[T]hey did not want these tables to exhibit... regularity. Yet real randomness does not look random! ...A single random run is bound to exhibit some pattern ...|Izoh=Nine: It is Easier to Buy and Sell than to Fry an Egg <nowiki>|</nowiki> Comparative Luck <nowiki>|</nowiki> Professor Pearson Goes to Monte Carlo (Literally): Randomness does not Look Random!}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oʻzining mashaqqatli sinovlari davomida Nero biror marta ham oʻzini 72% tirik va 28% oʻlik deb hisoblamadi.|Asl matn=At no point during his ordeal did Nero think of himself as 72% alive and 28% dead.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu shunchaki raqamli imkoniyatlar haqida emas, balki muqobil (boshqacha) natija, sabab yoki motiv mavjudligiga boʻlgan ishonch haqidadir.|Asl matn=Probability is not about the odds, but about the belief in the existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz koʻrinadigan, oʻzlashtirilgan, shaxsiy, hikoya qilib berilgan va qoʻl bilan ushlab boʻladigan (moddiy) narsalarni maʼqul koʻramiz; mavhum (abstrakt) narsalarga esa past nazar bilan qaraymiz.|Asl matn=We favor the visible, the embedded, the personal, the narrated, and the tangible; we scorn the abstract.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Vitgenshteyn oʻlchovi: „Agar siz oʻlchagichning ishonchliligiga ishonchingiz komil boʻlmasa, stolni oʻlchash uchun oʻlchagichdan foydalanish barobarida, siz aslida oʻlchagichni oʻlchash uchun stoldan ham foydalanayotgan boʻlishingiz mumkin“.|Asl matn=Wittgenstein's ruler: "Unless you have confidence in the ruler's reliability, if you use a ruler to measure a table you may also be using the table to measure the ruler."|Izoh=224-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodchilar oʻz bilimlarining haqiqiy voqelikka muvofiqligi boʻyicha emas, balki qanchalik aqlli gapirayotganlari boʻyicha baholanadilar.|Asl matn=[E]conomists are evaluated on how intelligent they sound, not on a scientific measure of their knowledge of reality.|Izoh=85-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisod — bu hikoyaviy (narrativ) fan va tushuntirishlarni oʻtmishdagi voqealar asosida moslashtirish juda oson.|Asl matn=[E]conomics is a narrative discipline, and explanations are easy to fit retrospectively.|Izoh=257-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiyotda... siz firibgarlikni tenglamalar ogʻirligi ostiga yashirishingiz mumkin va hech kim sizni qoʻlga tushira olmaydi, chunki iqtisodiyotda „nazorat qilinadigan tajriba“ degan narsa yoʻq. Endi, tanqidchilar tomonidan „ilmiylik niqobi“ (scientism) deb ataladigan bunday usullarning ruhi moliya faniga ham kirib keldi, chunki bir guruh texnik mutaxassislar oʻzlarining matematik bilimlari bozorlarni tushunishga yordam beradi deb oʻylashdi. Moliyaviy muhandislik amaliyoti oʻzi bilan birga ulkan dozalardagi soxta ilmiylikni (psevdofan) olib keldi.|Asl matn=[In] economics... you can disguise charlatanism under the weight of equations and nobody can catch you since there is no such thing as a controlled experiment. Now the spirit of such methods, called scientism by its detractors, continued into the discipline of finance as a few technicians thought their mathematical knowledge could lead them to understand markets. The practice of financial engineering came along with massive doses of pseudoscience.|Izoh=115-bet}} ===''[[w:The Black Swan (Taleb book)|The Black Swan]]: The Impact of the Highly Improbable'' (2007)=== <small>Random House, 2008, {{ISBN|0-81297-918-4}}</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Men [[Karl Marx|Marks]] va [[Adam Smith]] izdoshlari bilan kelisha olmayman: erkin bozorlarning ishlash sababi odamlarga „ragʻbat“ yoki „mukofot“ berishida emas, balki agressiv „sinash va xato qilish“ orqali ularga omadli boʻlish imkonini berishidadir.|Asl matn=I disagree with the followers of [[Karl Marx|Marx]] and those of [[Adam Smith]]: the reason free markets work is because they allow people to be lucky, thanks to aggressive trial and error, not by giving rewards or "incentives" for skill.|Izoh=xxi-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Do‘stingizning fe’l-atvori, axloqi va shaxsiy nafosati haqida tasavvurga ega bo‘lmoqchi bo‘lsangiz, unga kundalik hayotning doimiy farahbaxsh yog‘dusi ostida emas, balki og‘ir sharoitlar sinovida nazar solishingiz kerak. Jinoyatchining oddiy kunda qiladigan ishlariga qarab, u qanchalik xavfli ekanini baholay olasizmi? Vahshiy kasalliklar va epidemiyalarni inobatga olmasdan sog‘likning mohiyatini tushuna olamizmi? Darhaqiqat, odatiy holat ko‘pincha ahamiyatsizdir.|Asl matn=If you want to get an idea of a friend's temperament, ethics, and personal elegance, you need to look at him under the tests of severe circumstances, not under the regular rosy glow of daily life. Can you assess the danger a criminal poses by examining only what he does on an ordinary day? Can we understand health without considering wild diseases and epidemics? Indeed the normal is often irrelevant.|Izoh=xxix-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Millatni bayroq, bir nechta nutq va davlat madhiyasi bilan qanchalik tez va samarali tarzda qurish mumkinligi hayratlanarlidir; shu kungacha men „livanlik“ degan yorliqdan qochib, uning oʻrniga kamroq cheklovchi „levantlik“ atamasini afzal koʻraman.|Asl matn=It is remarkable how fast and how effectively you can construct a [[nation]]ality with a [[flag]], a few speeches, and a national anthem; to this day I avoid the label "Lebanese," preferring the less restrictive "Levantine" designation.|Izoh=5-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tarix — shaffof emas. Siz sodir boʻlgan voqealarni koʻrasiz, lekin ularni keltirib chiqargan ssenariyni emas, [...] Tarixiy voqealarning generatori voqealarning oʻzidan farq qiladi, xuddi xudolarning aqlini ularning qilmishlariga qarab oʻqib boʻlmaganidek.|Asl matn=History is opaque. You see what comes out, not the script that produces events, [...] The generator of historical events is different from the events themselves, much as the minds of the gods cannot be read just by witnessing their deeds.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Turkumlash insonlar uchun zarur, biroq qachonki bu turkum yakuniy va oʻzgarmas deb qaralsa, u patologik (kasallik) tus oladi. Bu esa odamlarga chegaralarning noaniqligini tushunishga, qolaversa, oʻz turkumlarini qayta koʻrib chiqishga toʻsqinlik qiladi.|Asl matn=Categorizing is necessary for humans, but it becomes pathological when the category is seen as definitive, preventing people from considering the fuzziness of boundaries, let alone revising their categories.|Izoh=15-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Shu narsa haqiqatligicha qoladiki, siz nima toʻgʻri ekanini bilishdan koʻra, nima notoʻgʻri ekanini ancha yuqori ishonch bilan bilasiz.|Asl matn=But it remains the case that you know what is wrong with a lot more confidence than you know what is right.|Izoh=58-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz bilimlardan terapiya (ruhiy dalda) sifatida foydalanishga moyilmiz.|Asl matn=We tend to use knowledge as therapy.|Izoh=69-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kurkaning tajribasi nafaqat qiymatsiz, balki „salbiy qiymatga“ ega boʻlishi mumkinligini hisobga oling. U barchamizga tavsiya qilinganidek, kuzatuv orqali oʻrgangan (axir, ilmiy metod deb shuni aytishadi-ku!). Doʻstona boqib turishlar soni koʻpaygani sari uning ishonchi ortib bordi va soʻyish muqarrar boʻlib qolganiga qaramay, u oʻzini tobora xavfsizroq his qildi. Eʼtibor bering, xavf eng yuqori choʻqqiga chiqqanda, xavfsizlik hissi ham maksimal darajaga yetgan edi!|Asl matn=Consider that the turkey's experience may have, rather than no value, a ''negative value''. It learned from observation, as we are all advised to do (hey, after all, this is what is believed to be the scientific method). Its confidence increased as the number of friendly feedings grew, and it felt increasingly safe even though the slaughter was more and more imminent. Consider that the feeling of safety reached its maximum when the risk was at the highest!|Izoh=40–41-betlar (Taleb kurka haqidagi ushbu masalni [[Bertrand Rassel]]ga nisbat beradi, Rassel esa aslida tovuq haqida yozgan edi.)}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kazino — men biladigan yagona insoniy faoliyatdirki, unda ehtimolliklar maʼlum, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gauss]]cha (yaʼni, qoʻngʻiroqsimon egri chiziq) va deyarli hisoblab chiqiladigan darajadadir.|Asl matn=The casino is the only human venture I know where the probabilities are known, [[Carl Friedrich Gauss|Gaussian]] (i.e., bell-curve), and almost computable.|Izoh=127-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ehtimollik — bu gumanitar fan; u skeptitsizmning (shubha qilishning) farzandidir, belida kalkulyator koʻtarib yurgan, oʻzining chiroyli hisob-kitoblar va „aniqlik“ka boʻlgan xohishini qondirmoqchi boʻlgan odamlar uchun vosita emas.|Asl matn=Probability is a liberal art; it is a child of skepticism, not a tool for people with calculators on their belts to satisfy their desire to produce fancy calculations and certainties.|Izoh=128-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Tasodifiy boʻlmagan, lekin u haqidagi maʼlumotlar yetarli boʻlmagan oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish (...) bilan tasodifiy oʻzgaruvchini taxmin qilish oʻrtasida hech qanday samarali farq yoʻq. Shu maʼnoda, taxmin qilish (men bilmaydigan, lekin boshqa birov bilishi mumkin boʻlgan narsani) va bashorat qilish (hali sodir boʻlmagan narsani) bir xil narsadir.|Asl matn=There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.|Izoh=142-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kumulativ (yigʻilib boruvchi) xatolar asosan katta kutilmagan hodisalar va katta imkoniyatlarga bogʻliq. Iqtisodiy, moliyaviy va siyosiy bashoratchilar nafaqat ularni oʻtkazib yuborishadi, balki mijozlariga biron bir noodatiy narsa aytishdan uyalishadi — holbuki, „voqealar, maʼlum boʻlishicha, deyarli har doim noodatiy (gʻayrioddiy) boʻladi.“|Asl matn=Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet ''events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.''|Izoh=149-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar daryo oʻrtacha toʻrt fut chuqurlikda boʻlsa, uni kechib oʻtmang.|Asl matn=Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average.|Izoh=161-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Byurokratlarning bashoratlari adekvat siyosat yuritish uchun emas, koʻproq xavotirni bosish (tinchlantirish) uchun ishlatiladi.|Asl matn=Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.|Izoh=162-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bir xil oʻtmishdagi maʼlumotlar ham nazariyani, ham uning mutlaqo teskarisini tasdiqlashi mumkin! Agar siz ertagacha omon qolsangiz, bu yo (a) sizning oʻlmas boʻlish ehtimolingiz yuqoriroqligini yoki (b) siz oʻlimga yana bir kun yaqinlashganingizni anglatishi mumkin.|Asl matn=The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.|Izoh=185-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Inson oʻz xatolarga moyilligini tan olish orqali hokimiyatni (obroʻni) oʻrnatolmaydi. Oddiy qilib aytganda, odamlar bilim bilan koʻr boʻlishlari kerak — biz odamlarni bir joyga toʻplay oladigan yetakchilarga ergashishga mahkum etilganmiz, chunki guruhda boʻlishning afzalliklari yolgʻiz qolishning kamchiliklaridan ustun turadi. Toʻgʻri yoʻlda yolgʻiz qolgandan koʻra, notoʻgʻri yoʻlda jipslashgan holda harakat qilish biz uchun foydaliroq boʻlib kelgan. Introspektiv (oʻzini tahlil qiluvchi) donishmanddan koʻra, oʻziga ishongan ahmoqqa ergashganlar oʻz genlarining bir qismini bizga meros qoldirganlar. Bu ijtimoiy patologiyada yaqqol koʻrinadi: psixopatlar oʻz ortidan ergashuvchilarni toʻplaydi.|Asl matn=One cannot assert authority by accepting one's own fallibility. Simply, people need to be blinded by knowledge - we are made to follow leaders who can gather people together because the advantages of being in groups trump the disadvantages of being alone. It has been more profitable for us to bind together in the wrong direction than to be alone in the right one. Those who have followed the assertive idiot rather than the introspective wise person have passed us some of their genes. This is apparent from a social pathology: psychopaths rally followers.|Izoh=192-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Nazariy jihatdan tasodifiylik ichki xususiyat boʻlsa-da, amalda tasodifiylik bu „toʻliq boʻlmagan maʼlumot“dir.|Asl matn=While in theory randomness is an intrinsic property, in practice, randomness is ''incomplete information''.|Izoh=198-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Eʼtiqodlarni ularning haqiqatga yaqinligi (ishonarliligi) boʻyicha emas, balki ular keltirib chiqarishi mumkin boʻlgan zarar miqdori boʻyicha baholang.|Asl matn=Rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but by the harm they may cause.|Izoh=203-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bu katta shaharlarda yashashni bebaho qiladi, chunki siz kutilmagan baxtli hodisalar ehtimolini oshirasiz — siz „baxtli tasodiflar muhiti“ga kirish imkoniga ega boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=This makes living in big cities invaluable because you increase the odds of serendipitous encounters — you gain exposure to the envelope of serendipity.|Izoh=209-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Globallashuv oʻzaro bogʻliq moʻrtlikni yaratadi, shu bilan birga oʻzgaruvchanlikni kamaytirib, barqarorlik koʻrinishini beradi. Boshqacha aytganda, u vayronkor „Qora qushlar“ni keltirib chiqaradi. Biz ilgari hech qachon global qulash tahdidi ostida yashamaganmiz. Moliya institutlari kam sonli juda yirik banklarga birlashib bormoqda. Deyarli barcha banklar oʻzaro bogʻliq. Shunday qilib, moliyaviy ekotizim gigant, qarindosh-urugʻchilikka asoslangan, byurokratik banklarga aylanib bormoqda — biri qulasa, hammasi qulaydi. Banklar oʻrtasidagi kuchayib borayotgan konsentratsiya moliyaviy inqirozni kamroq ehtimolli qilgandek tuyuladi, lekin ular yuz berganda, ular global koʻlamda boʻladi va bizga juda qattiq zarba beradi. Biz turli kredit siyosatiga ega boʻlgan kichik banklarning diversifikatsiyalangan ekotizimidan, bir-biriga oʻxshash firmalarning yanada bir xil (gomogen) tizimiga oʻtdik. Toʻgʻri, bizda endi bankrotliklar kamroq, lekin ular yuz berganda... bu oʻy haqida oʻylasam etim junjikib ketadi.|Asl matn=Globalization creates interlocking fragility, while reducing volatility and giving the appearance of stability. In other words it creates devastating [[w:Black swan theory|Black Swans]]. We have never lived before under the threat of a global collapse. Financial Institutions have been merging into a smaller number of very large banks. Almost all banks are interrelated. So the financial ecology is swelling into gigantic, incestuous, bureaucratic banks — when one fails, they all fall. The increased concentration among banks seems to have the effect of making financial crisis less likely, but when they happen they are more global in scale and hit us very hard. We have moved from a diversified ecology of small banks, with varied lending policies, to a more homogeneous framework of firms that all resemble one another. True, we now have fewer failures, but when they occur... I shiver at the thought.|Izoh=225–226-betlar}} === Ten principles for a Black Swan-proof world (2009)=== :<small>''[[w:Financial Times|Financial Times]]'', 2009-04-07, [https://www.ft.com/content/5d5aa24e-23a4-11de-996a-00144feabdc0 source].</small> {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy muassasalar (universitetlar, regulyatorlar, markaziy bankirlar, hukumat amaldorlari va iqtisodchilar bilan toʻldirilgan turli tashkilotlar) tizimning barbod boʻlishi bilan oʻz qonuniyligini yoʻqotdi. Bizni bu botqoqlikdan chiqarib olish uchun bunday ekspertlarning qobiliyatiga ishonish mas’uliyatsizlik va ahmoqlikdir. Buning oʻrniga, qoʻli toza (tizimga aloqador boʻlmagan yoki xato qilmagan) aqlli odamlarni izlang.|Asl matn=The economics establishment (universities, regulators, central bankers, government officials, various organisations staffed with economists) lost its legitimacy with the failure of the system. It is irresponsible and foolish to put our trust in the ability of such experts to get us out of this mess. Instead, find the smart people whose hands are clean.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Bizni bugungi holatga keltirgan narsa — bonus tizimidagi asimmetriya (notenglik). Jazolashsiz ragʻbatlantirish boʻlmasligi kerak: kapitalizm — bu faqat mukofot emas, balki mukofotlar va jazolarning uygʻunligidir.|Asl matn=It is the asymmetry of the bonus system that got us here. No incentives without disincentives: capitalism is about rewards and punishments, not just rewards.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faqat [[w:Ponzi sxemasi|Ponzi sxemalari]] ishonchga tayanib qolishi kerak. Hukumatlar hech qachon „ishonchni tiklash“ga muhtoj boʻlmasligi kerak. Kaskadli (zanjirsimon) mish-mishlar — bu murakkab tizimlarning mahsulidir. Hukumatlar mish-mishlarni toʻxtata olmaydi. Oddiygina qilib aytganda, biz mish-mishlarga mensimay qaraydigan, ularga nisbatan mustahkam (robust) boʻlgan pozitsiyada turishimiz kerak.|Asl matn=Only [[w:Ponzi scheme|Ponzi schemes]] should depend on confidence. Governments should never need to “restore confidence.” Cascading rumours are a product of complex systems. Governments cannot stop the rumours. Simply, we need to be in a position to shrug off rumours, be robust in the face of them.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qarz muammosini koʻproq qarz olish bilan davolash — bu gomeopatiya emas, bu inkor etishdir. Qarz inqirozi vaqtinchalik muammo emas, bu tizimli muammo. Bizga reabilitatsiya (tizimli davolanish) kerak.|Asl matn=Using leverage to cure the problems of too much leverage is not [[wikt:homeopathy#Noun|homeopathy]], it is denial. The debt crisis is not a temporary problem, it is a structural one. We need rehab.}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Iqtisodiy hayot „moliya zanjirlaridan“ xalos etilishi kerak. Biz bozorlarni qiymat saqlash ombori sifatida ishlatmaslikni oʻrganishimiz lozim: ular oddiy fuqarolarga kerak boʻlgan aniqliklarni taʼminlay olmaydi. Fuqarolar oʻzlarining nazoratidagi bizneslari haqida xavotirda boʻlishlari kerak, nazorati ularning qoʻlida boʻlmagan investitsiyalari haqida emas.|Asl matn=Economic life should be [[w:financialization|definancialised]]. We should learn not to use markets as storehouses of value: they do not harbour the certainties that normal citizens require. Citizens should experience anxiety about their own businesses (which they control), not their [[investment]]s (which they do not control).|Izoh=Talebning iqtisodiy falsafasidan}} === ''[[w:The Bed of Procrustes|The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms]]'' (2010) === {{Q|Iqtibos=Gʻoya qachonki siz uni mantiqiy yakunigacha olib borishdan qoʻrqsangizgina qiziqarli boʻla boshlaydi.|Asl matn=An idea starts to be interesting when you get scared of taking it to its logical conclusion.|Izoh=3-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Akademiyaning bilimga boʻlgan munosabati — bu fohishalikning muhabbatga boʻlgan munosabati kabidir.|Asl matn=Academia is to knowledge what prostitution is to love.|Izoh=4-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Fanda siz dunyoni tushunishingiz kerak; biznesda esa boshqalar uni notoʻgʻri tushunishlari kerak.|Asl matn=In science you need to understand the world; in business you need others to misunderstand it.|Izoh=4-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Boshqalarning sogʻlom fikrga ega emasligini bahona qilishning oʻzi — sogʻlom fikrning yetishmasligidir.|Asl matn=Using, as an excuse, others’ failure of common sense is in itself a failure of common sense.|Izoh=7-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kechiktirish — bu ruhning oʻzini tutqunlikdan qutqarish uchun isyonidir.|Asl matn=Procrastination is the soul rebelling against entrapment.|Izoh=8-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biz muvaffaqiyatsizlikka uchrashimizni ong ostida aniq bilgan holda nimadir qilmoqchi boʻlganimizda, biz maslahat soʻraymiz — shunda muvaffaqiyatsizlik uchun boshqa birovni ayblay olamiz.|Asl matn=When we want to do something while unconsciously certain to fail, we seek advice so we can blame someone else for the failure.|Izoh=9-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Agar siz buni chin dildan his qilsangiz, „yoʻq“ deb aytish qiyinroq.|Asl matn=It’s harder to say no when you really mean it.|Izoh=9-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Fandan hayot va muhim masalalarni tushuntirishini soʻrash — grammatikdan sheʼriyatni tushuntirishini soʻrash bilan barobardir.|Asl matn=Asking science to explain life and vital matters is equivalent to asking a grammarian to explain poetry.|Izoh=17-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz faqat va faqat koʻzga koʻrinadigan maqsadlarsiz, hech qanday oqlovsiz va, eng muhimi, boshqa birovning hikoyasi (diktaturasi)dan tashqarida biror narsa qilishga erkin boʻlsangizgina mavjud boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=You exist if and only if you are free to do things without a visible objective, with no justification and, above all, outside the dictatorship of someone else’s narrative.|Izoh=17-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ilgari odamlar ish kunlari oddiy, yakshanba kunlari esa rasmiy kiyimda yurishardi. Bugun esa buning teskarisi.|Asl matn=People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse.|Izoh=19-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Kitob — bu tubanlashuv (profan) taʼsiridan hali toʻliq buzilmagan yagona vositadir.|Asl matn=The book is the only medium left that hasn’t been corrupted by the profane.|Izoh=20-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Restoranlar sizni spirtli ichimlik sotish uchun ovqat bilan oʻziga tortadi; dinlar esa sizga qoidalarni sotish uchun eʼtiqod bilan oʻziga tortadi.|Asl matn=Restaurants get you in with food to sell you liquor; religions get you in with belief to sell you rules.|Izoh=21-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Gazetalardan butunlay tuzalish uchun bir yil davomida oʻtgan haftaning gazetalarini oʻqib chiqing.|Asl matn=To be completely cured of newspapers, spend a year reading the previous week’s newspapers.|Izoh=21-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Muvaffaqiyat — bu oʻrta yoshda bolaligingizning oxirida orzu qilgan odamingizga aylanishdir.|Asl matn=Success is becoming in middle adulthood what you dreamed to be in late childhood.|Izoh=22-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modernlik boy boʻlish va boyib borish matematik, shaxsiy, ijtimoiy va axloqiy jihatdan bir xil narsa emasligini tushunib yetishi kerak.|Asl matn=Modernity needs to understand that being rich and becoming rich are not mathematically, personally, socially, and ethically the same thing.|Izoh=22-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qariyalar yoshlarda yetishmaydigan xislatlarga ega boʻlganlarida eng goʻzal koʻrinishadi: vazminlik, eruditsiya, donishmandlik, fronesis (amaliy donolik) va bu post-qahramonona xotirjamlik.|Asl matn=Older people are most beautiful when they have what is lacking in the young: poise, erudition, wisdom, phronesis, and this post-heroic absence of agitation.|Izoh=24-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ahmoqlar „vaqtni behuda sarflash“ deb ataydigan narsa koʻpincha eng yaxshi sarmoyadir.|Asl matn=What fools call “wasting time” is most often the best investment.|Izoh=24-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Oxirgi yuz yil ichida yozilgan hech narsani oʻqimang; oxirgi ming yil ichida paydo boʻlgan hech qanday mevani yemang; oxirgi toʻrt ming yil ichida paydo boʻlgan hech narsani ichmang (faqat vino va suv); lekin qirq yoshdan oshgan oddiy odamlar bilan gaplashmang.|Asl matn=Read nothing from the past one hundred years; eat no fruits from the past one thousand years; drink nothing from the past four thousand years (just wine and water); but talk to no ordinary man over forty.|Izoh=25-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qahramonona intilishga ega boʻlmagan erkak oʻttiz yoshidan boshlab oʻlishni boshlaydi.|Asl matn=A man without a heroic bent starts dying at the age of thirty.|Izoh=25-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=„Men bandman“ deydigan odam yo oʻz layoqatsizligini (va hayoti ustidan nazoratni yoʻqotganini) tan olayotgan boʻladi, yo boʻlmasa sizdan qutulishga urinayotgan boʻladi.|Asl matn=Someone who says “I am busy” is either declaring incompetence (and lack of control of his life) or trying to get rid of you.|Izoh=26-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Rim va Usmonlilar davridagi qullar bilan bugungi xodimlar oʻrtasidagi farq shundaki, qullar oʻz xoʻjayiniga xushomad qilishlari shart emas edi.|Asl matn=The difference between slaves in Roman and Ottoman days and today’s employees is that slaves did not need to flatter their boss.|Izoh=26-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz faqat va faqat rad etgan pulingiz qabul qilgan pulingizdan koʻra shirinroq (qadrliroq) tuyulsa boy hisoblanasiz.|Asl matn=You are rich if and only if money you refuse tastes better than money you accept.|Izoh=27-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Modernlik (zamonaviylik): biz qahramonliksiz yoshlikni, donishmandliksiz qarilikni va ulugʻvorliksiz hayotni yaratdik.|Asl matn=Modernity: we created youth without heroism, age without wisdom, and life without grandeur.|Izoh=27-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Biror odamning qanchalik zerikarli ekanligini, u kimni qiziqarli deb bilishini soʻrash orqali bilib olishingiz mumkin.|Asl matn=You can tell how uninteresting a person is by asking him whom he finds interesting.|Izoh=28-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Samaradorlikka haddan tashqari berilib ketish — sheʼriy, nafis, mustahkam va qahramonona hayot yoʻlidagi asosiy toʻsiqdir.|Asl matn=Preoccupation with efficacy is the main obstacle to a poetic, elegant, robust and heroic life.|Izoh=29-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Joziba — odamlarni ranjitmay haqorat qilish qobiliyati; o‘zbilarmonlik esa buning aksi.|Asl matn=Charm is the ability to insult people without offending them; nerdiness the reverse.|Izoh=30-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yollanma ishni tizimli qullik deb hisoblamaydiganlar yo ko‘r, yoki o‘zlari yollanma ishchidir.|Asl matn=Those who do not think that employment is systemic slavery are either blind or employed.|Izoh=30-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ular qutida dunyoga kelishadi; qutida yashash uchun uylariga qaytishadi; qutichalarni belgilab, o‘qishadi; “ish” deb ataladigan joylariga qutida borib, o‘zlarining quti kabi xonalarida o‘tirishadi; do‘konga qutida borib, qutidagi oziq-ovqatni sotib olishadi; “qutidan tashqarida” fikrlash haqida gapirishadi va vafot etishgach, ularni qutiga solishadi.|Asl matn=They are born, put in a box; they go home to live in a box; they study by ticking boxes; they go to what is called “work” in a box, where they sit in their cubicle box; they drive to the grocery store in a box to buy food in a box; they talk about thinking “outside the box”; and when they die they are put in a box.|Izoh=31-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Yigirmanchi asr ijtimoiy utopiyaning bankrotligi bo‘ldi; yigirma birinchisi esa texnologik utopiyaning bankrotligi bo‘ladi.|Asl matn=The twentieth century was the bankruptcy of the social utopia; the twenty-first will be that of the technological one.|Izoh=31-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Qachonki biror ishingizda hech kim bilan raqobatlashmasangiz, ana o‘shandagina chinakam hayot kechirayotgan boʻlasiz.|Asl matn=You have a real life if and only if you do not compete with anyone in any of your pursuits.|Izoh=39-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Faqat yaqin o‘tmishdagina “astoydil ishlash” iste’dod, mahorat va eng asosiysi, sprezzatura (tabiiy beparvolik) yetishmasligidan uyalishni emas, aksincha, g‘urur-iftixorni bildira boshladi.|Asl matn=Only in recent history has “working hard” signaled pride rather than shame for lack of talent, finesse and, mostly, sprezzatura.|Izoh=39-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ularning “o‘yin” deb ataydigan narsalari (sport zali, sayohat, sport turlari) xuddi ishga o‘xshaydi.|Asl matn=What they call “play” (gym, travel, sports) looks like work.|Izoh=40-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ko‘pchilikning “parchalanishi” erkin, ijtimoiy va beg‘ubor kollej hayotini tark etib, kasb va oila qurishdek yolg‘izlik “qamog‘iga” tushib qolganida boshlanadi.|Asl matn=Decomposition, for most, starts when they leave the free, social, and uncorrupted college life for the solitary confinement of professions and nuclear families.|Izoh=41-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Raqobatchi sportchiga qarash azobli; u odam bo‘lishdan ko‘ra hayvonga aylanishga qattiq urinsa-da, hech qachon geparddek tez yugura olmaydi, ho‘kizdek baquvvat bo‘la olmayd.|Asl matn=A competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying hard to become an animal rather than a man, he will never be as fast as a cheetah or as strong as an ox.|Izoh=41-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Aniq fanlar dahshatli zerikarli jarayon evaziga shov-shuvli natijalar beradi; falsafa shov-shuvli jarayon evaziga zerikarli natijalar beradi; adabiyot shov-shuvli jarayon evaziga shov-shuvli natijalar beradi; iqtisodiyot esa zerikarli jarayon evaziga zerikarli natijalar beradi.|Asl matn=Hard science gives sensational results with a horribly boring process; philosophy gives boring results with a sensational process; literature gives sensational results with a sensational process; and economics gives boring results with a boring process.|Izoh=45-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Dono naql suhbatni boshlamay turib ham so‘nggi so‘zni aytish imkonini beradi.|Asl matn=A good maxim allows you to have the last word without even starting a conversation.|Izoh=45-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ahmoq juz’iylikni umumlashtiradi; nodon umumiylikni juz’iylashtiradi; ... dono esa ikkisini ham qilmaydi.|Asl matn=The fool generalizes the particular; the nerd particularizes the general; ... the wise does neither.|Izoh=53-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Siz o‘zligingizni saqlab qolishni, o‘ziga xos bo‘lishni istaysiz; jamoa (maktab, qoidalar, ish, texnologiya) esa sizning bu xosligingizni yo‘qotib, umumiy qolipga tushishingizni xohlaydi.|Asl matn=You want to be yourself, idiosyncratic; the collective (school, rules, jobs, technology) wants you generic to the point of castration.|Izoh=54-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Ahmoqning qopqoni — bu boshqalarning nimalar bilishiyu siz nimalarni bilmasligingizga emas, aksincha, o‘zingiz bilgan va boshqalar bilmagan narsalarga e’tibor qaratishingizdir.|Asl matn=The sucker’s trap is when you focus on what you know and what others don’t know, rather than the reverse.|Izoh=56-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Zehn ravshanligi jasoratning farzandi, aksincha emas.|Asl matn=Mental clarity is the child of courage, not the other way around.|Izoh=57-bet}} {{Q|Iqtibos=Hozirjavoblik zerikarlilikdan xoli aql-idrokni namoyon etib, o‘ziga maftun qiladi.|Asl matn=Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness.|Izoh=60-bet}} == Manbalar == {{manbalar|2}} [[Turkum:1960-yilda tugʻilganlar]] dk75ipsh5mvpoa4pqqvgxuqsgp87s4a Andoza:Women-stub 10 6264 30869 24028 2026-05-28T09:05:03Z Bekipediya 2189 30869 wikitext text/x-wiki {{asbox | tasvir = Pink Venus symbol.svg | pix = 50 | haqidagi = [[Ayol]]lar | maqola = | oid = | turkum = Ayollar haqidagi chala maqolalar | tempsort = no | andozanomi = Andoza:Women-stub }} <noinclude> [[Turkum:Chala maqola xabar andozalari]] </noinclude> 26chr22ktmfp2sy9s1lsp03579yolir Andoza:Businesspeople-stub 10 6266 30870 24027 2026-05-28T09:06:47Z Bekipediya 2189 30870 wikitext text/x-wiki {{asbox | tasvir = Businessperson (3287) - The Noun Project.svg | pix = 50 | haqidagi = [[Biznesmen]]lar | maqola = | oid = | turkum = Biznesmenlar haqidagi chala maqolalar | tempsort = no | andozanomi = Andoza:Businesspeople-stub }} <noinclude> [[Turkum:Chala maqola xabar andozalari]] </noinclude> a1kc5ms3jdnstxdb0i30fd6wq6whww9 Eva Warigia 0 7093 30871 23878 2026-05-28T09:07:26Z Bekipediya 2189 30871 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Eva Warigia | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = Eva Warigia | Vikiombor = }} '''Eva Warigia''' – keniyalik tadbirkor ayol va korporativ menejer. == Iqtiboslar == {{Q|Xususiy qarz uzoq muddatli [[kapital]] tuzilishiga ega boʻlib, juda maqul foiz stavkasiga ega. Bu esa kompaniyalarga [[Sharqiy Afrika]] mintaqasiga kirishni osonlashtirmoqda<ref>[https://www.monitor.co.ug/uganda/business/finance/east-africa-private-equity-funds-are-shifting-to-long-term-debt-1835358 Eva Warigia aytdi] (Monitor, 2021-yil 2-yanvar)</ref>.|Asl matn=Private debt has a long-term equity structure, with a fairly reasonable interest rate, which is making it easier for companies to venture into the East African region.}} == Manbalar == {{manbalar}} == Havolalar == {{women-stub}} {{Businesspeople-stub}} [[Turkum:Keniyalik ayollar]] 62jhjoi5aa0g56kawupqvoawo8aozam Vikiiqtibos:Viki-bahor/Ishtirok etish 4 7616 30878 30837 2026-05-28T11:26:50Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 /* Ishtirok etish */ 30878 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Viki-bahor/tepasi}} <div style="max-width:1100px;margin:auto"> {| style="width:100%;background:#f8f9fa;border:1px solid #eaecf0;border-radius:10px;padding:1em" |- | style="width:70%;vertical-align:top" | == Ishtirok etish == Maqolani yaratganingizdan keyin uni quyidagi jadvalga kiritishingiz zarur (tanlov ishtirokchilari buni mustaqil ravishda bajaradilar). Tanlovda faqat jadvalga kiritilgan maqolalar koʻrib chiqiladi. Iltimos, maqolalarni baholashda xatolikka yoʻl qoʻyilmasligi uchun tugallanmagan maqolalarni jadvalga kiritmang. Yaratgan maqolangizni chop etishda <code><nowiki>#Quoteme</nowiki></code> hashtagini qoʻshishni unutmang. {| class="wikitable sortable" |- align="left" ! Ishtirokchi ! Maqola ! Maqola soni ! Ball |- |-style="background:#a5fd7d" ||<small>'''Namuna uchun:'''</small><br />[[Foydalanuvchi:Panpanchik|Panpanchik]] |[[Melanie Klein]], [[Alsu]], [[Martina Navratilova]], [[Hana Maria Pravda]], [[Edith Templeton]], [[Cansu Canca]], [[Elif Shafak]], [[Ayşe Zarakol]], [[Hilal Altınbilek]], [[Konkordiya Antarova]], [[Kiki Dimoula]], [[Helen Vlachos]], [[Xanthippe]], [[Maria Spiropulu]], [[Atalanta Kërçyku]], [[Dhora Leka]], [[Maryam Firuz]], [[Bibi Xonim Astrabodiy]] |18 |0 |- |[[Foydalanuvchu:Husanowar|Husanowar]] |[[Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović]], [[Snježana Kordić]], [[Katerina Sakellaropoulou]], [[Melina Mercouri]], [[ Georgia Tourassi]], [[Farah Pahlavi]], [[Ashraf Pahlavi]] |7 |0 |- |[[Foydalanuvchi:Mupapap29|Mupapap]] |[[Nancy Hafkin]], [[Hulda Swai]], [[Alaa Sarhan]],[[Kandia Camara]], [[Sharon Fonn]],[[Gina Marie Raimondo]], [[Itunu Hotonu]],[[Carrie Johnson]], [[Mulenga Kapwepwe]],[[Mo'Cheddah]],[[Sussan Penelope Ley]], [[Michèle A'Court]],[[Tod A]],[[Shamsia Hassani]],[[Farzana Wahidy]],[[Afgʻonistonda ayollar]],[[Shabana Basij-Rasikh]],[[Haybatulloh Oxundzoda]],[[Ashraf Gʻani]],[[Hamid Karzay]],[[Nurmuhammad Taraqqiy]],[[Hafizulloh Amin]],[[Haydar Aliyev]],[[Ayaz Mütəllibov]],[[Ilhom Aliyev]],[[Václav Klaus]],[[Petr Pavel]],[[Ali Asadov]],[[Věra Jourová]],[[Joachim Gauck]],[[Horst Köhler]],[[Paul von Hindenburg]],[[Frank-Walter Steinmeier]],[[Lothar de Maizière]] |34 |0 |- |- |[[Foydalanuvchi:MrKrasav4ik|MrKrasav4ik]] |[[Roza Otunbayeva]], [[Bübüsara Beyshenalieva]], [[Maryna Lazebna]], [[Inna Sovsun]], [[Iryna Vereshchuk]], [[Natalya Poklonskaya]], [[Lea Cohen]], [[Halina Poświatowska]], [[Nasim Łuczaj]], [[Mariya Bakalova]], [[Nina Dobrev]], [[Kapka Kassabova]], [[Julia Kristeva]], [[Anna-Maria Ravnopolska-Dean]], [[Radosveta Vassileva]], [[Zsa Zsa Gabor]], [[Johanna Mikl-Leitner]], [[Mari Frayfray fon Ebner-Eshenbax]], [[Maria Theresia]], [[Elizabeth Báthory]], [[Emma Orczy]], [[Georg von Békésy]], [[Dennis Gabor]], [[László Krasznahorkai]], [[Albert Szent-Györgyi]], [[Eugene Wigner]], [[Franz Alexander]], [[Géza Anda]], [[Robert Capa]], [[George Gerbner]], [[Árpád Göncz]], [[Paul Halmos]], [[Harry Houdini]], [[Marcell Jankovics]], [[Theodore von Kármán]], [[Gottlieb Wilhelm Leitner]], [[György Lukács]], [[Róbert Puzsér]], [[Valentine Telegdi]], [[Sándor Bökönyi]], [[János Harmatta]], [[Imre Lakatos]], [[Franz Liszt]], [[László Moholy-Nagy]], [[Géza Révész]], [[Geza Vermes]], [[Peter Lorre]], [[Stephen Vizinczey]], [[Lajos Kossuth]], [[George Mikes]], [[Béla Bartók]], [[György Ligeti]], [[János Áder]], [[Péter Magyar]], [[Farkas Bolyai]], [[Tivadar Csontváry Kosztka]] |56 |0 |- |} </div> [[Turkum:Loyiha:Viki-bahor]] tvdkig4lg8z32gq3pgpwfae4hcn6wp2 30881 30878 2026-05-28T11:36:36Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 /* Ishtirok etish */ 30881 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Viki-bahor/tepasi}} <div style="max-width:1100px;margin:auto"> {| style="width:100%;background:#f8f9fa;border:1px solid #eaecf0;border-radius:10px;padding:1em" |- | style="width:70%;vertical-align:top" | == Ishtirok etish == Maqolani yaratganingizdan keyin uni quyidagi jadvalga kiritishingiz zarur (tanlov ishtirokchilari buni mustaqil ravishda bajaradilar). Tanlovda faqat jadvalga kiritilgan maqolalar koʻrib chiqiladi. Iltimos, maqolalarni baholashda xatolikka yoʻl qoʻyilmasligi uchun tugallanmagan maqolalarni jadvalga kiritmang. Yaratgan maqolangizni chop etishda <code><nowiki>#Quoteme</nowiki></code> hashtagini qoʻshishni unutmang. {| class="wikitable sortable" |- align="left" ! Ishtirokchi ! Maqola ! Maqola soni ! Ball |- |-style="background:#a5fd7d" ||<small>'''Namuna uchun:'''</small><br />[[Foydalanuvchi:Panpanchik|Panpanchik]] |[[Melanie Klein]], [[Alsu]], [[Martina Navratilova]], [[Hana Maria Pravda]], [[Edith Templeton]], [[Cansu Canca]], [[Elif Shafak]], [[Ayşe Zarakol]], [[Hilal Altınbilek]], [[Konkordiya Antarova]], [[Kiki Dimoula]], [[Helen Vlachos]], [[Xanthippe]], [[Maria Spiropulu]], [[Atalanta Kërçyku]], [[Dhora Leka]], [[Maryam Firuz]], [[Bibi Xonim Astrabodiy]] |18 |0 |- |[[Foydalanuvchu:Husanowar|Husanowar]] |[[Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović]], [[Snježana Kordić]], [[Katerina Sakellaropoulou]], [[Melina Mercouri]], [[ Georgia Tourassi]], [[Farah Pahlavi]], [[Ashraf Pahlavi]] |7 |0 |- |[[Foydalanuvchi:Mupapap29|Mupapap]] |[[Nancy Hafkin]], [[Hulda Swai]], [[Alaa Sarhan]],[[Kandia Camara]], [[Sharon Fonn]],[[Gina Marie Raimondo]], [[Itunu Hotonu]],[[Carrie Johnson]], [[Mulenga Kapwepwe]],[[Mo'Cheddah]],[[Sussan Penelope Ley]], [[Michèle A'Court]],[[Tod A]],[[Shamsia Hassani]],[[Farzana Wahidy]],[[Afgʻonistonda ayollar]],[[Shabana Basij-Rasikh]],[[Haybatulloh Oxundzoda]],[[Ashraf Gʻani]],[[Hamid Karzay]],[[Nurmuhammad Taraqqiy]],[[Hafizulloh Amin]],[[Haydar Aliyev]],[[Ayaz Mütəllibov]],[[Ilhom Aliyev]],[[Václav Klaus]],[[Petr Pavel]],[[Ali Asadov]],[[Věra Jourová]],[[Joachim Gauck]],[[Horst Köhler]],[[Paul von Hindenburg]],[[Frank-Walter Steinmeier]],[[Lothar de Maizière]] |34 |0 |- |- |[[Foydalanuvchi:MrKrasav4ik|MrKrasav4ik]] |[[Roza Otunbayeva]], [[Bübüsara Beyshenalieva]], [[Maryna Lazebna]], [[Inna Sovsun]], [[Iryna Vereshchuk]], [[Natalya Poklonskaya]], [[Lea Cohen]], [[Halina Poświatowska]], [[Nasim Łuczaj]], [[Mariya Bakalova]], [[Nina Dobrev]], [[Kapka Kassabova]], [[Julia Kristeva]], [[Anna-Maria Ravnopolska-Dean]], [[Radosveta Vassileva]], [[Zsa Zsa Gabor]], [[Johanna Mikl-Leitner]], [[Mari Frayfray fon Ebner-Eshenbax]], [[Maria Theresia]], [[Elizabeth Báthory]], [[Emma Orczy]], [[Georg von Békésy]], [[Dennis Gabor]], [[László Krasznahorkai]], [[Albert Szent-Györgyi]], [[Eugene Wigner]], [[Franz Alexander]], [[Géza Anda]], [[Robert Capa]], [[George Gerbner]], [[Árpád Göncz]], [[Paul Halmos]], [[Harry Houdini]], [[Marcell Jankovics]], [[Theodore von Kármán]], [[Gottlieb Wilhelm Leitner]], [[György Lukács]], [[Róbert Puzsér]], [[Valentine Telegdi]], [[Sándor Bökönyi]], [[János Harmatta]], [[Imre Lakatos]], [[Franz Liszt]], [[László Moholy-Nagy]], [[Géza Révész]], [[Geza Vermes]], [[Peter Lorre]], [[Stephen Vizinczey]], [[Lajos Kossuth]], [[George Mikes]], [[Béla Bartók]], [[György Ligeti]], [[János Áder]], [[Péter Magyar]], [[Farkas Bolyai]], [[Tivadar Csontváry Kosztka]], [[Péter Szijjártó]] |57 |0 |- |} </div> [[Turkum:Loyiha:Viki-bahor]] db9lbw1yf1xgt563vym1wtacb3gp9nm Tivadar Csontváry Kosztka 0 11628 30876 2026-05-28T11:25:47Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 #Quoteme 30876 wikitext text/x-wiki [[File:Csontvary-pecs1.jpg|thumb|right|Hayot nazariya emas. U haqiqatdir, hamma narsa va hammaga nisbatan oʻz majburiyatlari bilan.]] '''Tivadar Csontváry Kosztka''' (5-iyul 1853-yil – 20-iyun 1919-yil) – vengriyalik rassom. == Iqtiboslar == [[File:Csontváry Kosztka, Tivadar - Pilgrimage to the Cedars of Lebanon - Google Art Project.jpg|thumb|right|Men narsalardan savdo-sotiq qilmadim, chunki dallollik gʻavgʻosini xohlamadim; aksincha dunyodan chekinib, Lubnon choʻqqilariga chiqdim va sadr daraxtlarini chizdim.]] * '''Ey, nuqsonli insonlar! Siz nafaqat sehrgarlar yoʻlida adashib qoldingiz, balki ilohiy tabiatga ham qarshi chiqdingiz.''' Sizga boy, toza havo kam kelmadi – uni tutun va kuyik hidi bilan zaharlading iz; sizga eng sof buloq suvi kam kelmadi – turli-tuman kuchli ichimliklar bilan oʻzingizni toʻldirdingiz; quyosh siz uchun behuda nur sochdi – unga qaramadingliz… ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Pozitívum|Pozitivum]]''. 1910–1920-yillar orasida yozilgan. * '''Men, Tivadar Kosztka – koʻzga koʻrinmas Ruhning chaqirigʻini qabul qilib, dunyoning qayta tugʻilishi yoʻlida yoshligining gultojini fido qilgan men''' – oʻsha paytlarda oddiy fuqarolik ishim, osoyishtaligim, boyligim bor edi… 1907-yilda Parijga borib, ilohiy taqdirning faqat mevasiga tayanib, millionlar oldida yolgʻiz turib, dunyo hisobiga qarama-qarshi chiqdim va dunyoning bekorchiligini magʻlub etdim – lekin oʻn million odamni oʻldirmadim, shunchaki ularni hushiga keltirdim. Men narsalardan savdo-sotiq qilmadim, chunki dallollik gʻavgʻosini xohlamadim; aksincha dunyodan chekinib, Lubnon choʻqqilariga chiqdim va sadr daraxtlarini chizdim. ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Pozitívum|Pozitivum]]''. 1910–1920-yillar orasida yozilgan. * Men bosib oʻtishim kerak boʻlgan yoʻlni bilaman. Men hisobga olishim kerak boʻlgan ruhiy kuch va olamni yaratuvchi energiyani bilaman. Shubhasiz: biz yanada goʻzal bir dunyoga qadam qoʻyamiz va soʻnmas adolatdan bahra olamiz. ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Túlvilág|Narigi dunyo]]'' * Sen yerni yaxshi koʻrasan, Inson, va – yerga tiqilib – Xudo haqida oʻylaysan; kichik goʻdak seni taniydi va muhabbat bilan seni esga oladi, chunki Xudo unda ham yashaydi. Rivojlanayotgan kichik mavjudotlarga – oʻsimlikka ham, hayvonga ham – ozuqa ber, u sening hayratingga sahna boʻlib oʻsadi. Och qolgan yirtqich hayvonga ovqat ber – u senga yaqinlashadi. ** ''Hokimiyat'' * '''Hayot nazariya emas. U haqiqatdir, hamma narsa va hammaga nisbatan oʻz majburiyatlari bilan.''' ** ''Hokimiyat'' * Abadiy asarlar yaratish faqat Haqiqatga choʻmgan holda mumkin; Haqiqatga esa faqat Xudodan erishish mumkin. Kimga yaratish qobiliyati berilgan boʻlsa, unga oʻlmaslik qobiliyati ham berilgan. Bu qobiliyat faqat insonga xos emas – uni hayvonlarda, qushlarda va hasharotlarda ham koʻrish mumkin. ** ''Hokimiyat'' == Havolalar == * [http://www.hung-art.hu/frames-e.html?/english/c/csontvar/index.html Qisqa tarjimai hol] * [http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0080577/ Csontváry haqidagi filmning IMDB havolasi] e67xh7hhny29hl6bxh8ake5tyv4rdz7 30877 30876 2026-05-28T11:26:23Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 added [[Category:Vengriyalik rassomlar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30877 wikitext text/x-wiki [[File:Csontvary-pecs1.jpg|thumb|right|Hayot nazariya emas. U haqiqatdir, hamma narsa va hammaga nisbatan oʻz majburiyatlari bilan.]] '''Tivadar Csontváry Kosztka''' (5-iyul 1853-yil – 20-iyun 1919-yil) – vengriyalik rassom. == Iqtiboslar == [[File:Csontváry Kosztka, Tivadar - Pilgrimage to the Cedars of Lebanon - Google Art Project.jpg|thumb|right|Men narsalardan savdo-sotiq qilmadim, chunki dallollik gʻavgʻosini xohlamadim; aksincha dunyodan chekinib, Lubnon choʻqqilariga chiqdim va sadr daraxtlarini chizdim.]] * '''Ey, nuqsonli insonlar! Siz nafaqat sehrgarlar yoʻlida adashib qoldingiz, balki ilohiy tabiatga ham qarshi chiqdingiz.''' Sizga boy, toza havo kam kelmadi – uni tutun va kuyik hidi bilan zaharlading iz; sizga eng sof buloq suvi kam kelmadi – turli-tuman kuchli ichimliklar bilan oʻzingizni toʻldirdingiz; quyosh siz uchun behuda nur sochdi – unga qaramadingliz… ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Pozitívum|Pozitivum]]''. 1910–1920-yillar orasida yozilgan. * '''Men, Tivadar Kosztka – koʻzga koʻrinmas Ruhning chaqirigʻini qabul qilib, dunyoning qayta tugʻilishi yoʻlida yoshligining gultojini fido qilgan men''' – oʻsha paytlarda oddiy fuqarolik ishim, osoyishtaligim, boyligim bor edi… 1907-yilda Parijga borib, ilohiy taqdirning faqat mevasiga tayanib, millionlar oldida yolgʻiz turib, dunyo hisobiga qarama-qarshi chiqdim va dunyoning bekorchiligini magʻlub etdim – lekin oʻn million odamni oʻldirmadim, shunchaki ularni hushiga keltirdim. Men narsalardan savdo-sotiq qilmadim, chunki dallollik gʻavgʻosini xohlamadim; aksincha dunyodan chekinib, Lubnon choʻqqilariga chiqdim va sadr daraxtlarini chizdim. ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Pozitívum|Pozitivum]]''. 1910–1920-yillar orasida yozilgan. * Men bosib oʻtishim kerak boʻlgan yoʻlni bilaman. Men hisobga olishim kerak boʻlgan ruhiy kuch va olamni yaratuvchi energiyani bilaman. Shubhasiz: biz yanada goʻzal bir dunyoga qadam qoʻyamiz va soʻnmas adolatdan bahra olamiz. ** ''[[oldwikisource:Csontváry Kosztka Tivadar:A Túlvilág|Narigi dunyo]]'' * Sen yerni yaxshi koʻrasan, Inson, va – yerga tiqilib – Xudo haqida oʻylaysan; kichik goʻdak seni taniydi va muhabbat bilan seni esga oladi, chunki Xudo unda ham yashaydi. Rivojlanayotgan kichik mavjudotlarga – oʻsimlikka ham, hayvonga ham – ozuqa ber, u sening hayratingga sahna boʻlib oʻsadi. Och qolgan yirtqich hayvonga ovqat ber – u senga yaqinlashadi. ** ''Hokimiyat'' * '''Hayot nazariya emas. U haqiqatdir, hamma narsa va hammaga nisbatan oʻz majburiyatlari bilan.''' ** ''Hokimiyat'' * Abadiy asarlar yaratish faqat Haqiqatga choʻmgan holda mumkin; Haqiqatga esa faqat Xudodan erishish mumkin. Kimga yaratish qobiliyati berilgan boʻlsa, unga oʻlmaslik qobiliyati ham berilgan. Bu qobiliyat faqat insonga xos emas – uni hayvonlarda, qushlarda va hasharotlarda ham koʻrish mumkin. ** ''Hokimiyat'' == Havolalar == * [http://www.hung-art.hu/frames-e.html?/english/c/csontvar/index.html Qisqa tarjimai hol] * [http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0080577/ Csontváry haqidagi filmning IMDB havolasi] [[Turkum:Vengriyalik rassomlar]] 22t0k4qonpy1tjnqtt0vne90r21j20a Péter Szijjártó 0 11629 30879 2026-05-28T11:34:46Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 „[[File:Péter Szijjártó - Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade (44613275674) (cropped).jpg|thumb|right|Péter Szijjártó 2018-yilda]] '''Péter Szijjártó''' (tugʻilgan: 30-oktabr 1978-yil) – 2014-yildan beri Tashqi ishlar va savdo vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritayotgan [[w:Vengriya|vengriyalik]] siyosatchi. U ilgari Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirining oʻrinbosari hamda Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirligi Parlament davlat kotibi lav...“ yozuvi orqali yangi sahifa yaratildi 30879 wikitext text/x-wiki [[File:Péter Szijjártó - Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade (44613275674) (cropped).jpg|thumb|right|Péter Szijjártó 2018-yilda]] '''Péter Szijjártó''' (tugʻilgan: 30-oktabr 1978-yil) – 2014-yildan beri Tashqi ishlar va savdo vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritayotgan [[w:Vengriya|vengriyalik]] siyosatchi. U ilgari Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirining oʻrinbosari hamda Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirligi Parlament davlat kotibi lavozimlarida ishlagan. 2012-yil iyunida u [[w:Viktor Orbán|Bosh vazir]] idorasining Tashqi ishlar va tashqi iqtisodiy munosabatlar boʻyicha davlat kotibi etib tayinlangan. Szijjártó 1998-yilda Fideszga qoʻshilgan. Oʻsha yili Gyor shahrida shahar boshqaruviga saylangan, soʻngra 2006–2010-yillarda yana mandatga ega boʻlgan. 2005-yilda Fideszning yoshlar tashkiloti Fidelitas prezidenti etib saylangan va bu lavozimni 2009-yilgacha egallab turgan. U birinchi marta 2002-yilda Milliy Majlis aʼzosi boʻlgan. 2006, 2010, 2014 va 2018-yillarda ham mandatlar olgan; hozirda parlament aʼzosi sifatida toʻrtinchi muddatini oʻtamoqda. == Iqtiboslar == * 2015-yildan keyin Ukraina qadamma-qadam, qonundan qonunga oʻtib, vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlarini kamsitdi va qisqartirdi. Haqiqat shuki, ular etnik vengriyaliklardan ona tilida toʻliq taʼlim olish huquqini tortib oldi. Bu nafaqat ikki tomonlama shartnomalarni, balki Evropa Ittifoqi qonunlarini ham shunchalik darajada buzadiki, bu Ukrainaning eʼlon qilgan koʻplab niyatlarini shubha ostiga qoʻyadi. Urush boshlanganida, biz bu masalaning hammasini qavsga oldik. Biz uni unutmadik, faqat qavsga oldik. Chunki urush paytida bu masalani koʻtarishning toʻgʻri emasligini his qildik. Soʻngra yaqinda Ukraina milliy ozchiliklarga oid yana bir qonun qabul qildi, bu qonun milliy ozchiliklarning ahvolini yanada yomonlashtirdi. Va ular milliy ozchiliklardan yanada koʻproq huquqlarni tortib oldi. ** [https://tsarizm.com/news/central-europe/2023/02/11/szijjarto-condemns-ukraines-oppression-of-hungarian-minority/ Szijjártó Ukrainaning vengriyalik ozchilikka munosabatini qoraladi], 2023-yil 11-fevral. * Vengriya mustaqil davlat va tashqaridan hech kim bizga qanday yashashni ayta olmaydi. ** [https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/top-hungarian-diplomat-lashes-out-at-us-ambassadors-comments/2805008 Vengriyalik yuqori diplomatdan AQSh elchisining izohlariga keskin javob], 2023-yil 3-fevral. * Ukrainadagi vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlari tiklanmaguncha, biz Ukrainaning NATO yoki Evropa Ittifoqiga integratsiyalashuv yoʻnalishidagi hech qanday muhim yondashuvni qoʻllab-quvvatlamaymiz. ** [https://hungary.postsen.com/news/139849/NATO-has-decided-they-will-bypass-the-Hungarian-government-they-will-definitely-convene-the-Ukraine-summit.html NATO qaror qildi: ular vengriya hukumatini chetlab oʻtadi, Ukraina sammitini albatta chaqiradi], 2023-yil 21-mart. * Soʻnggi bir necha kunda Ukraina prezidenti ([[w:Volodimir Zelenskiy|Volodimir Zelenskiy]]) Vengriyaga boradigan [[w:Druzhba neft quvuri|Druzhba neft quvuri]]ni portlatish bilan tahdid qilgani haqida xabarlar tarqaldi. Barchamizga maʼlumki, Vengriya hozirda aynan shu quvur orqali neft bilan taʼminlanmoqda. Agar bu quvur orqali Vengriyaga neft kelmasa, mamlakatni neft bilan taʼminlash jismonan imkonsiz boʻlib qoladi. Boshqa davlatlar ham Druzhba quvuriga neft taʼminoti jihatidan asosiy ravishda bogʻliqligini aytmasa ham boʻladi. Shuning uchun bunday tahdid Vengriya suverenitetiga qarshi, chunki energiya taʼminotining xavfsizligi suverenitet masalasidir. Demak, kimki Vengriyaning energiya taʼminotini imkonsiz qilishga chaqirsa, u aslida Vengriya suverenitetiga tajovuz qilayotgan boʻladi. ** Zoltan Kovacs [https://twitter.com/zoltanspox/status/1658860321384144897 tviti]dan, 2023-yil 17-may. prmgohq0tc8m165htgpdu3hsl92wd16 30880 30879 2026-05-28T11:35:03Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 added [[Category:Vengriyalik siyosatchilar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30880 wikitext text/x-wiki [[File:Péter Szijjártó - Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade (44613275674) (cropped).jpg|thumb|right|Péter Szijjártó 2018-yilda]] '''Péter Szijjártó''' (tugʻilgan: 30-oktabr 1978-yil) – 2014-yildan beri Tashqi ishlar va savdo vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritayotgan [[w:Vengriya|vengriyalik]] siyosatchi. U ilgari Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirining oʻrinbosari hamda Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirligi Parlament davlat kotibi lavozimlarida ishlagan. 2012-yil iyunida u [[w:Viktor Orbán|Bosh vazir]] idorasining Tashqi ishlar va tashqi iqtisodiy munosabatlar boʻyicha davlat kotibi etib tayinlangan. Szijjártó 1998-yilda Fideszga qoʻshilgan. Oʻsha yili Gyor shahrida shahar boshqaruviga saylangan, soʻngra 2006–2010-yillarda yana mandatga ega boʻlgan. 2005-yilda Fideszning yoshlar tashkiloti Fidelitas prezidenti etib saylangan va bu lavozimni 2009-yilgacha egallab turgan. U birinchi marta 2002-yilda Milliy Majlis aʼzosi boʻlgan. 2006, 2010, 2014 va 2018-yillarda ham mandatlar olgan; hozirda parlament aʼzosi sifatida toʻrtinchi muddatini oʻtamoqda. == Iqtiboslar == * 2015-yildan keyin Ukraina qadamma-qadam, qonundan qonunga oʻtib, vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlarini kamsitdi va qisqartirdi. Haqiqat shuki, ular etnik vengriyaliklardan ona tilida toʻliq taʼlim olish huquqini tortib oldi. Bu nafaqat ikki tomonlama shartnomalarni, balki Evropa Ittifoqi qonunlarini ham shunchalik darajada buzadiki, bu Ukrainaning eʼlon qilgan koʻplab niyatlarini shubha ostiga qoʻyadi. Urush boshlanganida, biz bu masalaning hammasini qavsga oldik. Biz uni unutmadik, faqat qavsga oldik. Chunki urush paytida bu masalani koʻtarishning toʻgʻri emasligini his qildik. Soʻngra yaqinda Ukraina milliy ozchiliklarga oid yana bir qonun qabul qildi, bu qonun milliy ozchiliklarning ahvolini yanada yomonlashtirdi. Va ular milliy ozchiliklardan yanada koʻproq huquqlarni tortib oldi. ** [https://tsarizm.com/news/central-europe/2023/02/11/szijjarto-condemns-ukraines-oppression-of-hungarian-minority/ Szijjártó Ukrainaning vengriyalik ozchilikka munosabatini qoraladi], 2023-yil 11-fevral. * Vengriya mustaqil davlat va tashqaridan hech kim bizga qanday yashashni ayta olmaydi. ** [https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/top-hungarian-diplomat-lashes-out-at-us-ambassadors-comments/2805008 Vengriyalik yuqori diplomatdan AQSh elchisining izohlariga keskin javob], 2023-yil 3-fevral. * Ukrainadagi vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlari tiklanmaguncha, biz Ukrainaning NATO yoki Evropa Ittifoqiga integratsiyalashuv yoʻnalishidagi hech qanday muhim yondashuvni qoʻllab-quvvatlamaymiz. ** [https://hungary.postsen.com/news/139849/NATO-has-decided-they-will-bypass-the-Hungarian-government-they-will-definitely-convene-the-Ukraine-summit.html NATO qaror qildi: ular vengriya hukumatini chetlab oʻtadi, Ukraina sammitini albatta chaqiradi], 2023-yil 21-mart. * Soʻnggi bir necha kunda Ukraina prezidenti ([[w:Volodimir Zelenskiy|Volodimir Zelenskiy]]) Vengriyaga boradigan [[w:Druzhba neft quvuri|Druzhba neft quvuri]]ni portlatish bilan tahdid qilgani haqida xabarlar tarqaldi. Barchamizga maʼlumki, Vengriya hozirda aynan shu quvur orqali neft bilan taʼminlanmoqda. Agar bu quvur orqali Vengriyaga neft kelmasa, mamlakatni neft bilan taʼminlash jismonan imkonsiz boʻlib qoladi. Boshqa davlatlar ham Druzhba quvuriga neft taʼminoti jihatidan asosiy ravishda bogʻliqligini aytmasa ham boʻladi. Shuning uchun bunday tahdid Vengriya suverenitetiga qarshi, chunki energiya taʼminotining xavfsizligi suverenitet masalasidir. Demak, kimki Vengriyaning energiya taʼminotini imkonsiz qilishga chaqirsa, u aslida Vengriya suverenitetiga tajovuz qilayotgan boʻladi. ** Zoltan Kovacs [https://twitter.com/zoltanspox/status/1658860321384144897 tviti]dan, 2023-yil 17-may. [[Turkum:Vengriyalik siyosatchilar]] adsu0mxjev3xmhhdosycird9b3n7chp 30882 30880 2026-05-28T11:37:06Z MrKrasav4ik 2870 #Quoteme 30882 wikitext text/x-wiki [[File:Péter Szijjártó - Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade (44613275674) (cropped).jpg|thumb|right|Péter Szijjártó 2018-yilda]] '''Péter Szijjártó''' (tugʻilgan: 30-oktabr 1978-yil) – 2014-yildan beri Tashqi ishlar va savdo vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritayotgan [[w:Vengriya|vengriyalik]] siyosatchi. U ilgari Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirining oʻrinbosari hamda Tashqi ishlar va savdo vazirligi Parlament davlat kotibi lavozimlarida ishlagan. 2012-yil iyunida u [[w:Viktor Orbán|Bosh vazir]] idorasining Tashqi ishlar va tashqi iqtisodiy munosabatlar boʻyicha davlat kotibi etib tayinlangan. Szijjártó 1998-yilda Fideszga qoʻshilgan. Oʻsha yili Gyor shahrida shahar boshqaruviga saylangan, soʻngra 2006–2010-yillarda yana mandatga ega boʻlgan. 2005-yilda Fideszning yoshlar tashkiloti Fidelitas prezidenti etib saylangan va bu lavozimni 2009-yilgacha egallab turgan. U birinchi marta 2002-yilda Milliy Majlis aʼzosi boʻlgan. 2006, 2010, 2014 va 2018-yillarda ham mandatlar olgan; hozirda parlament aʼzosi sifatida toʻrtinchi muddatini oʻtamoqda. == Iqtiboslar == * 2015-yildan keyin Ukraina qadamma-qadam, qonundan qonunga oʻtib, vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlarini kamsitdi va qisqartirdi. Haqiqat shuki, ular etnik vengriyaliklardan ona tilida toʻliq taʼlim olish huquqini tortib oldi. Bu nafaqat ikki tomonlama shartnomalarni, balki Evropa Ittifoqi qonunlarini ham shunchalik darajada buzadiki, bu Ukrainaning eʼlon qilgan koʻplab niyatlarini shubha ostiga qoʻyadi. Urush boshlanganida, biz bu masalaning hammasini qavsga oldik. Biz uni unutmadik, faqat qavsga oldik. Chunki urush paytida bu masalani koʻtarishning toʻgʻri emasligini his qildik. Soʻngra yaqinda Ukraina milliy ozchiliklarga oid yana bir qonun qabul qildi, bu qonun milliy ozchiliklarning ahvolini yanada yomonlashtirdi. Va ular milliy ozchiliklardan yanada koʻproq huquqlarni tortib oldi. ** [https://tsarizm.com/news/central-europe/2023/02/11/szijjarto-condemns-ukraines-oppression-of-hungarian-minority/ Szijjártó Ukrainaning vengriyalik ozchilikka munosabatini qoraladi], 2023-yil 11-fevral. * Vengriya mustaqil davlat va tashqaridan hech kim bizga qanday yashashni ayta olmaydi. ** [https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/top-hungarian-diplomat-lashes-out-at-us-ambassadors-comments/2805008 Vengriyalik yuqori diplomatdan AQSh elchisining izohlariga keskin javob], 2023-yil 3-fevral. * Ukrainadagi vengriyalik milliy hamjamiyatning huquqlari tiklanmaguncha, biz Ukrainaning NATO yoki Evropa Ittifoqiga integratsiyalashuv yoʻnalishidagi hech qanday muhim yondashuvni qoʻllab-quvvatlamaymiz. ** [https://hungary.postsen.com/news/139849/NATO-has-decided-they-will-bypass-the-Hungarian-government-they-will-definitely-convene-the-Ukraine-summit.html NATO qaror qildi: ular vengriya hukumatini chetlab oʻtadi, Ukraina sammitini albatta chaqiradi], 2023-yil 21-mart. * Soʻnggi bir necha kunda Ukraina prezidenti ([[w:Volodimir Zelenskiy|Volodimir Zelenskiy]]) Vengriyaga boradigan [[w:Druzhba neft quvuri|Druzhba neft quvuri]]ni portlatish bilan tahdid qilgani haqida xabarlar tarqaldi. Barchamizga maʼlumki, Vengriya hozirda aynan shu quvur orqali neft bilan taʼminlanmoqda. Agar bu quvur orqali Vengriyaga neft kelmasa, mamlakatni neft bilan taʼminlash jismonan imkonsiz boʻlib qoladi. Boshqa davlatlar ham Druzhba quvuriga neft taʼminoti jihatidan asosiy ravishda bogʻliqligini aytmasa ham boʻladi. Shuning uchun bunday tahdid Vengriya suverenitetiga qarshi, chunki energiya taʼminotining xavfsizligi suverenitet masalasidir. Demak, kimki Vengriyaning energiya taʼminotini imkonsiz qilishga chaqirsa, u aslida Vengriya suverenitetiga tajovuz qilayotgan boʻladi. ** Zoltan Kovacs [https://twitter.com/zoltanspox/status/1658860321384144897 tviti]dan, 2023-yil 17-may. == Havolalar == [[Turkum:Vengriyalik siyosatchilar]] 3zv74w2oh2f6q7efucgws0izgdmapf4 Muxtor Tleuberdi 0 11630 30883 2026-05-28T11:41:31Z Panpanchik 2278 #quoteme 30883 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Muxtor Tleuberdi | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Muxtor Tleuberdi|Muxtor Tleuberdi]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Мұхтар Бескенұлы Тілеуберді; 1968-yil 30-iyunda tugʻilgan) — [[Qozogʻiston]]lik diplomat boʻlib, 2019-yil 18-sentyabrdan buyon Qozogʻiston tashqi ishlar vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritadi. U avval Malayziya, Indoneziya, Bruney, Filippin va Shveysariyadagi elchi sifatida xizmat qilgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]] tomonidan Donetsk va Lugansk Xalq Respublikalarini tan olish masalasi kun tartibida emas. Biz xalqaro huquq hamda [[w:Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti|BMT (Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti) nizomi]]ning asosiy tamoyillari asosida ish yuritamiz. ** Muxtor Tleuberdi (2022) iqtibosi: "[https://eurasianet.org/central-asian-leaders-mute-on-ukraine-but-markets-and-public-reel Markaziy Osiyo yetakchilari Ukraina masalasida sukut saqlamoqda, biroq bozorlar va jamoatchilik larzaga kelmoqda]" — ''eurasianet'', 2022-yil 24-fevral. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} 6ccochyor5sf5jvamy5jp6tqaencpmt 30884 30883 2026-05-28T11:42:22Z Panpanchik 2278 added [[Category:Qozogʻistonlik siyosatchilar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30884 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Muxtor Tleuberdi | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Muxtor Tleuberdi|Muxtor Tleuberdi]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Мұхтар Бескенұлы Тілеуберді; 1968-yil 30-iyunda tugʻilgan) — [[Qozogʻiston]]lik diplomat boʻlib, 2019-yil 18-sentyabrdan buyon Qozogʻiston tashqi ishlar vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritadi. U avval Malayziya, Indoneziya, Bruney, Filippin va Shveysariyadagi elchi sifatida xizmat qilgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]] tomonidan Donetsk va Lugansk Xalq Respublikalarini tan olish masalasi kun tartibida emas. Biz xalqaro huquq hamda [[w:Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti|BMT (Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti) nizomi]]ning asosiy tamoyillari asosida ish yuritamiz. ** Muxtor Tleuberdi (2022) iqtibosi: "[https://eurasianet.org/central-asian-leaders-mute-on-ukraine-but-markets-and-public-reel Markaziy Osiyo yetakchilari Ukraina masalasida sukut saqlamoqda, biroq bozorlar va jamoatchilik larzaga kelmoqda]" — ''eurasianet'', 2022-yil 24-fevral. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} [[Turkum:Qozogʻistonlik siyosatchilar]] 1b30ft7nholnsiksd1hbta5eimacef2 30885 30884 2026-05-28T11:42:39Z Panpanchik 2278 #quoteme 30885 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Muxtor Tleuberdi | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Muxtor Tleuberdi|Muxtor Tleuberdi]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Мұхтар Бескенұлы Тілеуберді; 1968-yil 30-iyunda tugʻilgan) — [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]]lik diplomat boʻlib, 2019-yil 18-sentyabrdan buyon Qozogʻiston tashqi ishlar vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritadi. U avval Malayziya, Indoneziya, Bruney, Filippin va Shveysariyadagi elchi sifatida xizmat qilgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]] tomonidan Donetsk va Lugansk Xalq Respublikalarini tan olish masalasi kun tartibida emas. Biz xalqaro huquq hamda [[w:Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti|BMT (Birlashgan Millatlar Tashkiloti) nizomi]]ning asosiy tamoyillari asosida ish yuritamiz. ** Muxtor Tleuberdi (2022) iqtibosi: "[https://eurasianet.org/central-asian-leaders-mute-on-ukraine-but-markets-and-public-reel Markaziy Osiyo yetakchilari Ukraina masalasida sukut saqlamoqda, biroq bozorlar va jamoatchilik larzaga kelmoqda]" — ''eurasianet'', 2022-yil 24-fevral. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} [[Turkum:Qozogʻistonlik siyosatchilar]] a5yp694gxj9uds2y3cb90aj2e3tdeuh Asqar Mamin 0 11631 30886 2026-05-28T11:46:32Z Panpanchik 2278 #quoteme 30886 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Asqar Mamin|Asqar Mamin]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Асқар Ұзақбайұлы Мамин; 1965-yil 23-oktyabrda tugʻilgan) — [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]]lik siyosatchi boʻlib, 2019–2022-yillarda Qozogʻiston bosh vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * Qozogʻistonning birinchi prezidenti [[Nursultan Nazarbayev]] siyosati tufayli ikki davlat (Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston) qozoq-moʻgʻul munosabatlarining izchil rivojlanishi uchun asos yaratdi. Prezident [[Qasim-Jomart Toqayev]] tashqi siyosatdagi davomiylik tamoyiliga amal qiladi hamda [[w:Moʻgʻuliston|Moʻgʻuliston]] bilan hamkorlikni samarali rivojlantirishga alohida eʼtibor qaratadi. ** Asqar Mamin (2019) iqtibosi: "[https://en.inform.kz/news/kazakh-mongolian-pms-hold-talks-in-nur-sultan_a3574003/ Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston bosh vazirlari Nur-Sultonda muzokaralar oʻtkazdi]" — ''Kazinform'', 2019-yil 10-oktyabr. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} poco2lznxvl1zcoq76jzs985m21ktl5 30887 30886 2026-05-28T11:46:50Z Panpanchik 2278 30887 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Asqar Mamin | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Asqar Mamin|Asqar Mamin]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Асқар Ұзақбайұлы Мамин; 1965-yil 23-oktyabrda tugʻilgan) — [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]]lik siyosatchi boʻlib, 2019–2022-yillarda Qozogʻiston bosh vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * Qozogʻistonning birinchi prezidenti [[Nursultan Nazarbayev]] siyosati tufayli ikki davlat (Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston) qozoq-moʻgʻul munosabatlarining izchil rivojlanishi uchun asos yaratdi. Prezident [[Qasim-Jomart Toqayev]] tashqi siyosatdagi davomiylik tamoyiliga amal qiladi hamda [[w:Moʻgʻuliston|Moʻgʻuliston]] bilan hamkorlikni samarali rivojlantirishga alohida eʼtibor qaratadi. ** Asqar Mamin (2019) iqtibosi: "[https://en.inform.kz/news/kazakh-mongolian-pms-hold-talks-in-nur-sultan_a3574003/ Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston bosh vazirlari Nur-Sultonda muzokaralar oʻtkazdi]" — ''Kazinform'', 2019-yil 10-oktyabr. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} 1roox03qyvoy1mzv2q2pd5u2v1l2cct 30888 30887 2026-05-28T11:47:01Z Panpanchik 2278 added [[Category:Qozogʻistonlik siyosatchilar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30888 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Asqar Mamin | Tasvir = | Izoh = | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''[[w:Asqar Mamin|Asqar Mamin]]''' ([[w:qozoq tili|qozoqcha]]: Асқар Ұзақбайұлы Мамин; 1965-yil 23-oktyabrda tugʻilgan) — [[w:Qozogʻiston|Qozogʻiston]]lik siyosatchi boʻlib, 2019–2022-yillarda Qozogʻiston bosh vaziri lavozimida faoliyat yuritgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} ==Iqtiboslar== * Qozogʻistonning birinchi prezidenti [[Nursultan Nazarbayev]] siyosati tufayli ikki davlat (Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston) qozoq-moʻgʻul munosabatlarining izchil rivojlanishi uchun asos yaratdi. Prezident [[Qasim-Jomart Toqayev]] tashqi siyosatdagi davomiylik tamoyiliga amal qiladi hamda [[w:Moʻgʻuliston|Moʻgʻuliston]] bilan hamkorlikni samarali rivojlantirishga alohida eʼtibor qaratadi. ** Asqar Mamin (2019) iqtibosi: "[https://en.inform.kz/news/kazakh-mongolian-pms-hold-talks-in-nur-sultan_a3574003/ Qozogʻiston va Moʻgʻuliston bosh vazirlari Nur-Sultonda muzokaralar oʻtkazdi]" — ''Kazinform'', 2019-yil 10-oktyabr. == Havolalar == {{Vikipediya}} [[Turkum:Qozogʻistonlik siyosatchilar]] pkxir4yflh45m48rl8xyl0z3t5w770s Egils Levits 0 11632 30889 2026-05-28T11:51:21Z Panpanchik 2278 #quoteme 30889 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Egils Levits | Tasvir = Зустріч Глави держави з Президентом Латвії та Прем’єр-міністром Польщі 05 (cropped).jpg | Izoh = Egils Levits 2022-yilda | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''{{w|Egils Levits}}''' (1955-yil 30-iyunda tugʻilgan) — latviyalik siyosatchi, huquqshunos, siyosatshunos va yurist boʻlib, 2019-yil 8-iyuldan buyon Latviyaning oʻninchi prezidenti sifatida faoliyat yuritadi. U 2004–2019-yillarda Yevropa Adliya sudining aʼzosi boʻlgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} == Iqtiboslar == * Latviya tili, madaniyati, tarixi va dunyoqarashi faqat latviyaliklarga tegishli emas. Oʻzini biror ozchilik vakili deb bilgan har bir inson oʻz ozchilik madaniyati, tili va anʼanalarini parallel ravishda saqlagan holda mamlakat hayotida ishtirok etishi mamnuniyat bilan qabul qilinadi. Bu Latviya madaniyatining boyligi va xilma-xilligiga qoʻshilgan hissadir. (Saeimada soʻzlangan inauguratsion nutqdan) * Ideal davlat mavjud emas, aks holda taraqqiyot toʻxtab qolardi. Ideallarsiz hayot individual jihatdan ayanchli va siyosiy jihatdan foydasiz boʻladi. (Saeimada soʻzlangan inauguratsion nutqdan) * Oʻttiz yil avval biz Boltiq yoʻlida birlashdik va Estoniya hamda Litva bilan birga hammamiz uchun mustaqillik va erkinlikni qayta qoʻlga kiritdik. Biz Temir pardaning oʻrnida demokratik va birlashgan Yevropani barpo etdik hamda xalqlarimiz uchun xavfsiz va tinch kelajak qurmoqdamiz. Tarix rivojlanadi va biz kelajakni birgalikda yaratamiz. Bizning umumiy Boltiq yoʻlimiz hech qachon tugamaydi. (Ozodlik monumentida Boltiq yoʻlining 30 yilligiga bagʻishlangan nutqdan) == Havolalar == * [https://www.president.lv/en/quotes-president-latvia-egils-levits Latviya prezidenti Egils Levitsning iqtiboslari] {{Vikipediya}} 8vs5kqortujugpjldcl6xduej55fclk 30890 30889 2026-05-28T11:51:34Z Panpanchik 2278 added [[Category:Latviyalik siyosatchilar]] using [[Help:Gadget-HotCat|HotCat]] 30890 wikitext text/x-wiki {{Shaxsiyat bilgiqutisi | Ism = Egils Levits | Tasvir = Зустріч Глави держави з Президентом Латвії та Прем’єр-міністром Польщі 05 (cropped).jpg | Izoh = Egils Levits 2022-yilda | Tavallud sanasi = | Tavallud joyi = | Vafot sanasi = | Vafot joyi = | Vikipediya = | Vikiombor = | nocat = }} '''{{w|Egils Levits}}''' (1955-yil 30-iyunda tugʻilgan) — latviyalik siyosatchi, huquqshunos, siyosatshunos va yurist boʻlib, 2019-yil 8-iyuldan buyon Latviyaning oʻninchi prezidenti sifatida faoliyat yuritadi. U 2004–2019-yillarda Yevropa Adliya sudining aʼzosi boʻlgan. {{siyosatchi-stub}} == Iqtiboslar == * Latviya tili, madaniyati, tarixi va dunyoqarashi faqat latviyaliklarga tegishli emas. Oʻzini biror ozchilik vakili deb bilgan har bir inson oʻz ozchilik madaniyati, tili va anʼanalarini parallel ravishda saqlagan holda mamlakat hayotida ishtirok etishi mamnuniyat bilan qabul qilinadi. Bu Latviya madaniyatining boyligi va xilma-xilligiga qoʻshilgan hissadir. (Saeimada soʻzlangan inauguratsion nutqdan) * Ideal davlat mavjud emas, aks holda taraqqiyot toʻxtab qolardi. Ideallarsiz hayot individual jihatdan ayanchli va siyosiy jihatdan foydasiz boʻladi. (Saeimada soʻzlangan inauguratsion nutqdan) * Oʻttiz yil avval biz Boltiq yoʻlida birlashdik va Estoniya hamda Litva bilan birga hammamiz uchun mustaqillik va erkinlikni qayta qoʻlga kiritdik. Biz Temir pardaning oʻrnida demokratik va birlashgan Yevropani barpo etdik hamda xalqlarimiz uchun xavfsiz va tinch kelajak qurmoqdamiz. Tarix rivojlanadi va biz kelajakni birgalikda yaratamiz. Bizning umumiy Boltiq yoʻlimiz hech qachon tugamaydi. (Ozodlik monumentida Boltiq yoʻlining 30 yilligiga bagʻishlangan nutqdan) == Havolalar == * [https://www.president.lv/en/quotes-president-latvia-egils-levits Latviya prezidenti Egils Levitsning iqtiboslari] {{Vikipediya}} [[Turkum:Latviyalik siyosatchilar]] 6pz6t9mntexrk6u8bsj7x38rg1puibd